
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入过度拥挤的价格战区。 新品牌已经有10个,老品牌12个,且2026年新上架47个里只有4个赚钱,成功率只有8.70%;更糟的是,2026年新产品里91.30%都不赚钱,说明现在不是“能不能做”的问题,而是“谁烧得起钱”的问题。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 用户预算 100,000 CNY 只够覆盖少量入场成本,但市场已经被老品牌主导,新品牌几乎没有成功窗口;同时利润率和新品牌成功率都偏弱,属于高风险、偏价格战的赛道。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入过度拥挤的价格战区。 新品进入非常多,但真正赚钱的新品极少;对小品牌和大品牌都不是好市场,尤其不适合按当前预算贸然下场。
这个市场不适合进入:利润结构偏低、2025-2026新入场表现很差,而且新品牌成功几乎看不到,已经是明显的高风险/接近价格战市场。 现有数据里,市场整体可识别产品的盈利率只有28.40%,但新发布产品的盈利率只有8.51%,直接低于10%的高风险线;利润分布也很差,所有新产品里91.30%集中在“非盈利”区间,只有8.70%达到10%以上利润,说明新货一上架就很难跑出正收益。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 300pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GLV8Z3FJ | CRIOLPO | 2026-02-06 | Yes | €44.76 | 100pcs | €4476.0 | 21.52% | €963.24 |
![]() | B0DWXBX725 | ROKR | 2025-02-12 | Yes | €67.69 | 50pcs | €3384.5 | 21.74% | €735.8 |
![]() | B0FJ7XLHWV | CUTEBEE | 2025-07-21 | Yes | €37.22 | 100pcs | €3722.0 | 19.35% | €720.21 |
![]() | B0DNSQ56D3 | FUNPOLA | 2024-11-21 | Yes | €59.52 | 50pcs | €2976.0 | 23.66% | €704.13 |
![]() | B0FYQ5ZTT4 | FUNPOLA | 2025-10-31 | Yes | €61.62 | 50pcs | €3081.0 | 22.82% | €703.09 |
![]() | B0FYQ432J4 | FUNPOLA | 2025-10-31 | Yes | €59.52 | 50pcs | €2976.0 | 23.55% | €700.85 |
![]() | B0FR8FCH93 | Teoryieer | 2025-09-16 | Yes | €37.45 | 100pcs | €3745.0 | 18.56% | €695.08 |
![]() | B0DYJ7G4QR | CUTEBEE | 2025-02-26 | Yes | €45.3 | 50pcs | €2265.0 | 21.94% | €496.95 |
![]() | B0FMXSWL44 | CUTEBEE | 2025-08-19 | Yes | €38.64 | 50pcs | €1932.0 | 20.91% | €403.99 |
![]() | B0GR4W47D7 | NookMaster | 2026-03-05 | Yes | €41.47 | 50pcs | €2073.5 | 18.87% | €391.27 |
![]() | B0DYTRZ1CL | STRUCWOOD | 2025-02-28 | Yes | €38.11 | 50pcs | €1905.5 | 20.07% | €382.44 |
![]() | B0FQWP8HHZ | Teoryieer | 2025-09-12 | Yes | €38.08 | 50pcs | €1904.0 | 18.75% | €357.0 |
![]() | B0FG7NGY3M | Cutywood | 2025-07-01 | Yes | €39.7 | 30pcs | €1191.0 | 21.49% | €255.95 |
![]() | B0FMXXT3T3 | CUTEBEE | 2025-08-19 | Yes | €38.19 | 30pcs | €1145.7 | 20.45% | €234.3 |
![]() | B0FBFHGGV5 | CUTEBEE | 2025-05-30 | Yes | €46.14 | 20pcs | €922.8 | 23.57% | €217.51 |
![]() | B0DLKS8FLM | MiniCity | 2024-10-31 | Yes | €48.56 | 20pcs | €971.2 | 20.47% | €198.81 |
![]() | B0FKGTMNRX | Cutywood | 2025-07-30 | Yes | €39.41 | 20pcs | €788.2 | 21.46% | €169.15 |
![]() | B0D4YZ4XDS | Rolife | 2024-05-23 | Yes | €18.92 | 50pcs | €946.0 | 13.98% | €132.26 |
![]() | B0D4YX9G9N | Rolife | 2024-05-23 | Yes | €18.89 | 50pcs | €944.5 | 13.73% | €129.68 |
![]() | B0FMRSBT3D | NookMaster | 2025-09-15 | Yes | €29.13 | 30pcs | €873.9 | 12.07% | €105.48 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GLV8Z3FJ | CRIOLPO | 2026-02-06 | Yes | €44.76 | 100pcs | €4476.0 | 21.52% | €963.24 |
![]() | B0FYQ5ZTT4 | FUNPOLA | 2025-10-31 | Yes | €61.62 | 50pcs | €3081.0 | 22.82% | €703.09 |
![]() | B0FYQ432J4 | FUNPOLA | 2025-10-31 | Yes | €59.52 | 50pcs | €2976.0 | 23.55% | €700.85 |
![]() | B0GR4W47D7 | NookMaster | 2026-03-05 | Yes | €41.47 | 50pcs | €2073.5 | 18.87% | €391.27 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显过热且接近价格战区。 新品成功率只有8.51%,远低于10%的高风险线;在可识别样本里,46个新上架里只有4个赚钱,91.30%不赚钱,说明新品牌进去大概率先亏钱。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场已经明显过热,且不适合现在进入。 最近新品牌几乎全军覆没:新品牌样本 16 个里 16 个都不盈利,成功率 0%;按年度看,2026 年新入场新品 37 个里只有 2 个盈利,其余 36 个都不盈利,说明竞争已经从“能不能做”变成“谁能烧更多钱”。
证据很直接:市场在快速升温,但利润在快速塌缩。 2025 年还有 2 个盈利新品,2026 年盈利只剩 2 个,而非盈利新品暴增到 36 个;月度上,2026 年 4 月、6 月、8 月分别出现 6、7、6 个非盈利新品,都是成片出现,说明不是偶发失败,而是系统性价格战。用户预算 10 万元人民币,只能覆盖单个 ASIN 的前期投入,但这里真正跑出来的成功品基本都靠老品牌力量和差异化设计:FUNPOLA 的 B0FYQ5ZTT4、B0FYQ432J4 都是盈利样本,月销 50 件左右,月营收约 29,760–30,810 元;CRIOLPO 的 B0GLV8Z3FJ 也盈利,月营收约 44,760 元;NookMaster 的 B0GR4W47D7 也是盈利,月营收约 20,735 元。反过来,真正的新品牌样本里,Teglu 的 B0HHJZ6HXK、WEBYEARO 的 B0GSFKT2X8 都不盈利,CUTEBEE、NookMaster、Rolife、ROKR 等一批品牌在 2026 年密集上新后大多亏损,说明新品牌不是靠正常打法就能赢。
结论:不要进入。 大品牌如果硬要做,至少要按 FUNPOLA / CRIOLPO / NookMaster 这类老品牌路线,投入更强的差异化模具、功能设计和品牌预算;小品牌没有真实可复制的成功案例,且大量失败产品都属于“外观差不多、功能差不多”的同质化款,根本撑不起 10 万元以内的常规进入。更关键的是,市场里没有看到健康的新品牌成功样本,反而是新品牌 100% 失败,这不是机会市场,是过度拥挤的价格战市场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 300 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 300 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |