
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显进入低利润、强竞争的价格战区。 新品牌并不少,14个新品牌里只有4个新上架产品跑通,成功率15.38%;但一旦看全部新品,41个里只有5个能盈利,整体成功率9.76%,87.80% 的新品都没跑出来,说明这不是靠普通上新就能赚钱的赛道。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入,这个市场已经接近价格战区,且对新卖家并不友好。 用户预算 50万 CNY 虽然能覆盖单个新品前期上架与投放,但对真正能跑出来的打法来说偏紧:市场里可识别盈利产品占 15.96%,新上架产品盈利率只有 12.20%,低于你要求的“可接受”水平;同时大量产品利润只在 0%~20% 之间,10%以下的低毛利产品已经明显成堆,说明一旦进场,很容易被迫卷价格。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显接近价格战区,且新品牌成功率低。 你现在看到的是一个高度拥挤的细分:市场里新品牌有14个、老品牌有20个,新上架产品共41个,其中只有12.20% 的新品能做到可验证盈利,整体可盈利产品也只有15.96%;更关键的是,很多产品利润率已经压到10%以下,像 Tiizze 的 B0FMDNF2LP 只有 6.43%,B0D1YPQ21C 只有 6.9%,XXBUSSING 的 B0GZV2WGZ9 甚至是 -2.55%。这不是一个适合大品牌或小品牌“正常切入”的市场,应该直接谨慎或放弃。
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:它已经进入低利润、强竞争的价格战区,小品牌和大品牌都不值得现在下场。 新品里可识别利润率只有41个样本中,0%-10%占29.27%,连同负利润一起看,低于10%的占51.22%;而没有任何新品跑到30%以上,说明想靠普通上新拿高利润几乎不可能。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FRXZHZBH | UEHSNI | 2025-09-19 | Yes | $10.84 | 2000pcs | $21680.0 | 20.6% | $4466.08 |
![]() | B0FPG1MNJ3 | Sherr | 2025-09-02 | Yes | $16.94 | 100pcs | $1694.0 | 23.8% | $403.18 |
![]() | B086BL4HM8 | Outus | 2020-03-25 | Yes | $11.99 | 100pcs | $1199.0 | 19.34% | $231.89 |
![]() | B0CG8FPCYZ | BOBOKA | 2023-08-22 | Yes | $12.73 | 100pcs | $1273.0 | 16.18% | $205.98 |
![]() | B0CR47H7M2 | Freewindo | 2023-12-28 | Yes | $10.01 | 100pcs | $1001.0 | 19.72% | $197.4 |
![]() | B0CR45FS1M | Freewindo | 2023-12-28 | Yes | $10.0 | 100pcs | $1000.0 | 19.54% | $195.4 |
![]() | B0GXF6ZQRT | Engrowtic | 2026-04-16 | Yes | $17.76 | 50pcs | $888.0 | 20.21% | $179.47 |
![]() | B0F5Q97ZK1 | Tinrbip | 2025-05-20 | Yes | $12.96 | 50pcs | $648.0 | 17.69% | $114.64 |
![]() | B0DT946CVL | VZZNN | 2025-01-17 | Yes | $12.95 | 50pcs | $647.5 | 17.53% | $113.51 |
![]() | B0CR45ZFLY | Freewindo | 2023-12-28 | Yes | $10.08 | 50pcs | $504.0 | 19.65% | $99.04 |
![]() | B0H65G2RDJ | UEHSNI | 2026-06-20 | Yes | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 18.25% | $91.16 |
![]() | B0GJ9L45TQ | Mkway | 2026-01-23 | Yes | $13.17 | 50pcs | $658.5 | 11.95% | $78.7 |
![]() | B0CF1WC3Q9 | AIERSA | 2023-08-08 | Yes | $8.98 | 50pcs | $449.0 | 11.42% | $51.28 |
![]() | B0D96S4T7P | Freewindo | 2024-07-10 | Yes | $7.9 | 50pcs | $395.0 | 10.95% | $43.26 |
![]() | B0D96SHQSH | Freewindo | 2024-07-10 | Yes | $7.89 | 50pcs | $394.5 | 10.9% | $43.01 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FRXZHZBH | UEHSNI | 2025-09-19 | Yes | $10.84 | 2000pcs | $21680.0 | 20.6% | $4466.08 |
![]() | B0FPG1MNJ3 | Sherr | 2025-09-02 | Yes | $16.94 | 100pcs | $1694.0 | 23.8% | $403.18 |
![]() | B0GXF6ZQRT | Engrowtic | 2026-04-16 | Yes | $17.76 | 50pcs | $888.0 | 20.21% | $179.47 |
![]() | B0H65G2RDJ | UEHSNI | 2026-06-20 | Yes | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 18.25% | $91.16 |
![]() | B0GJ9L45TQ | Mkway | 2026-01-23 | Yes | $13.17 | 50pcs | $658.5 | 11.95% | $78.7 |
这个市场不适合进入:新品牌成功率只有12.20%,整体新产品成功率只有9.76%,而失败品占87.80%,已经接近高风险价格战区;再看旧品牌,新品成功几乎被压制,说明这是一个被成熟玩家主导、门槛很高的市场。对小商家来说,只有像 UEHSNI、Engrowtic 这类真正靠差异化做出来的新品有机会,但样本里多数新品牌都在亏,不能把它当成容易赚钱的赛道。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入。 近一年新品牌大量涌入,但盈利新品只有4个、非盈利新品有36个,新品牌新品盈利率仅15.38%,整体新产品盈利率只有9.76%,已经落入明显的价格战和高失败率区间。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |