58A Toner Cartridge Black Compatible for HP 58A CF258A M428fdw M404n 2-Pack
Toner Cartridges - 产品分析报告
  • Benchmark ASIN
    B0CQXX5LX8
  • Marketplace
    US
  • Category ID
    23575470011
  • Analyzed Products
  • Keyword
    black toner cartridge, laser toner cartridge, replacement toner cartridge
  • Price Range
    -
  • Minimum Net Profit Margin
    10.00%
  • MOQ
    100
  • Est. Purchasing Cost
    ¥33.89estimated
  • Data Date
    2026-08-10
  • Your Budget (for new listing) (CNY)
    ¥500,000.00
Profitability Difficulty
Medium
Moderate Risk for New Products
Newly Released Counts (All Brands)
11
New Brand (6)
Old Brand (5)
Success rate (all brands)
9.09%
New Brand (16.67%)
Old Brand (0.00%)
Most products net profit margin range
20.74% - 34.94%
Listing

Report summary from Keble AI Agent: Listing

结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。它已经接近价格战区,且新品牌成功率过低,小品牌不应进场;大品牌如果没有明显功能升级、渠道优势或品牌势能,也不适合硬闯。

从数据看,市场里只有5个新品牌,但新上架产品里能跑通的极少:新品牌新发布盈利率只有16.67%,按全部新发布计算只有9.09%真正确认赚钱;新产品整体成功率也只有12.5%,也就是8个新产品里只有1个盈利。更糟的是,最近一年里能看到的盈利样本几乎都集中在少数少数品牌上,SUDLTO 的单品 B0G4QVVQFG 以 25.11% 利润率、约 4.765 美元售价、月销量300、月收入约14.3万,才是少数正例;而 Diegees 的 B0FZQBMRWL 和 B0H8NRSQBF 都亏损,HP 的新发 B0GHK6XPQ9、B0GHH3MWLX 也都不赚钱。说明这里不是“普通新品就能赢”的市场,而是被更强的产品细节和更高强度的推广压住了。

对小品牌来说,门槛很高,而且需要接近掠夺式的打法才可能挤进去;对大品牌来说,也不是轻松市场。 目前可参考的成功样本里,SUDLTO 是唯一真正的新品牌成功案例,且它是靠“预装芯片、即装即用、低维护”这类明确功能差异赢的;失败样本则普遍死在“缺乏差异化、竞争太挤、利润不够”上。旧品牌里,HP 这类成熟品牌虽然有 3893.4 万的月收入体量,但它的新发布产品成功率为0,说明老品牌能守住老款,但新款也并不轻松。用户预算 50万 CNY 足够启动单个ASIN的前期投入,但不足以支撑长期品牌建设、研发和持续投放;如果想模仿成功路径,至少要做出明显产品升级、稳定芯片/兼容性优势、以及能打得过现有链接的价格和流量策略,否则大概率会被卷成亏损。最终判断:不建议进入。

Recommended Products Features Direction
B08QMQNR76
Why do customers choose it?
  • 经典黑色原装盒彩盒设计,强品牌识别度高
  • 原装耗材,具备防泄漏、防早期失效及防篡改芯片/固件安全保护
  • 偏好原装正品、重视打印稳定性与数据安全的HP激光打印机用户
  • Sales
    Avg. price: $64.89|Latest price: $64.89|Approx. recent monthly revenue: $389,340.00 (6000 pcs)|Net profit margin: 37.76%
    B0CP9K8N22
    Why do customers choose it?
  • 带升级芯片,免转移原装芯片,兼容常见HP 58A机型
  • 需要替换HP 58A黑色碳粉、且希望直接装机使用的办公室/小型企业用户
  • Sales
    Avg. price: $50.32|Latest price: $45.98|Approx. recent monthly revenue: - (- pcs)|Net profit margin: 15.81%

    These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.

    New Brands
    VS
    Old Brands
    5 new brands5 old brands
    5 brands have new listings4 brands have new listings
    6 new listings5 new listings
    1 succeeded
    0 succeeded
    3 failed
    4 failed

    Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.

    New Brands
    ...
    Old Brands
    ...

      How much did others invest?

      Collapse
    • #Budget Requirement

      Listing

      结论:这个市场不值得进入,且用户预算足够启动单个ASIN,但不足以证明能在这个市场长期活下来。 关键问题不是钱不够,而是新品牌成功率太低、头部品牌强势、而且新进入者正在被老品牌和同类产品挤压。

      Early sourcing + logistics + marketing budget (USD)
      N/A
      Explains the budget

      With all these investments, who has profitable new releases

      How many new listings are released by old brands?
      45.45%
      New listing success rate (old brands):
      0.00%
      New listing success rate (new brands):
      16.67%
      Which new brands have these successful new listings?
      Alternatives
      1. 鼓粉分离方案(仅更换硒鼓/成像鼓,继续使用现有碳粉)
      2. 高印量兼容黑色墨粉套装(整机维护周期更长,单页成本通常更低)
      3. 加粉服务/上门加粉方案(适合只想快速恢复打印、不想自己更换整盒彩盒的用户)
      4. 原装/兼容耗材订阅补给(按月自动配送,减少临时采购与断货风险)
      5. 租赁打印机含耗材方案(把一次性购卡替换为按页计费,更适合需求不稳定的用户)

      Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.

    • #Brands Investment Analysis

      Listing

      这个市场不值得进入:已经是价格战区,而且明显被大品牌主导。 现有样本里,新品利润主要集中在20%~30%,新品牌新品盈利率只有16.67%,老品牌新品盈利率是0%,说明现在能赚钱的不是靠“普通新品”,而是靠品牌力、老链接复用和更强的功能升级。

      SUDLTO
      Least investment in new productsNew products with Highest revenueMost investment in new products
      CF258A 58A Toner- 58X CF258X Replacement for HP 58A Toner Cartridge Black
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):$14,295.00(300pcs/month)
      B0G4QVVQFG (4.9/5 (59 Reviews))Brand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseSufficient Sales to Meet MOQWhite HatThis listing is deemed profitable
      HP
      Old brand with the most profitable new products
      HP 134A Black Toner Cartridge Printers | Works with LaserJet M209 Series; LaserJet MFP M234 Series | W1340A
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):$389,340.00(6000pcs/month)
      B08QMQNR76 (4.7/5 (2781 Reviews))Brand is an old entry in this market
      Old ReleaseSufficient Sales to Meet MOQOld ReleaseThis listing is deemed profitable
      Diegees
      Least profitable new products
      58A CF258A Toner Cartridges Black (2 Pack) Laser Jet M428fdw M404dn
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):-(-)
      B0FZQBMRWL (5/5 (2 Reviews))Brand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      58A CF258A 58X CF258X Toner Cartridges Black Laser Jet M428fdw M404dn Compatible with HP 58A 58X Toner Cartridges
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):-(-)
      B0H8NRSQBFBrand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
    • #Differentiations

      Unique productsCommon products
      HP 134A Black Toner Cartridge Printers | Works with LaserJet M209 Series; LaserJet MFP M234 Series | W1340A
      Differentiation:
      1. 原装HP黑色盒装,品牌识别强
      2. 适配明确,办公用户一眼可选
      3. 高销量高评价,更易吸引点击
      B08QMQNR76 (4.7/5 (2781 Reviews))Brand is an old entry in this market
      Old ReleaseSufficient Sales to Meet MOQOld ReleaseThis listing is deemed profitable
      58A Toner Cartridge Compatible for HP 58A CF258A M428fdw M404n M406 2-Pack
      Differentiation:
      1. 绿色包装与HP原装明显不同
      2. 双支装+升级芯片,卖点直观
      3. 适合想省心替换的办公用户
      B0CP9K8N22 (5/5 (2 Reviews))Brand is an old entry in this market
      Old ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQOld ReleaseNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
    • What net profit margin are others making?

      Collapse
    • #Net Profit Margins: All vs New

      Listing

      这个市场不值得进入,已经明显偏向价格战和品牌压制。 新品利润率主要集中在20.74%~34.94%,看起来并非全线低利润,但新品牌里真正跑出来的只有SUDLTO一个,11个新发布里只有1个盈利,成功率只有9.09%;同时新品牌新发失败率非常高,Diegees已经连发2个新品都亏,HP、Brother这类老品牌的新发也没有形成稳定盈利,说明这里不是“小品牌轻松切入”的市场。

      Profitability difficulty
      Moderate Risk for New Products

      All products distribution on different profit levels

      All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.

      x < -10.0%
      -10.0% <= x < 0.0%
      0.0% <= x < 10.0%
      10.0% <= x < 20.0%
      20.0% <= x < 30.0%
      30.0% <= x < 40.0%
      x >= 40.0%
      other

      New products distribution on different profit levels

      This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'

      x < -10.0%
      -10.0% <= x < 0.0%
      0.0% <= x < 10.0%
      10.0% <= x < 20.0%
      20.0% <= x < 30.0%
      30.0% <= x < 40.0%
      x >= 40.0%
      other
    • #Top Products by Net Profit Margin

      Top 20 Profitable Products

      Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.

      B08QMQNR76
      B08QMQNR76
      HP
      2021-01-14
      Yes
      $64.89
      6000pcs
      $389340.0
      37.76%
      $147014.79
      B0CQXX5LX8
      B0CQXX5LX8
      ALLWORK
      2023-12-25
      Yes
      $56.49
      700pcs
      $39543.0
      27.95%
      $11052.27
      B0DLG9S5C8
      B0DLG9S5C8
      inkalfa
      2024-10-30
      Yes
      $48.99
      700pcs
      $34293.0
      25.71%
      $8816.74
      B0G4QVVQFG
      B0G4QVVQFG
      SUDLTO
      2025-12-02
      Yes
      $47.65
      300pcs
      $14295.0
      25.11%
      $3589.48

      Top 20 Profitable New Products

      Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.

      B0G4QVVQFG
      B0G4QVVQFG
      SUDLTO
      2025-12-02
      Yes
      $47.65
      300pcs
      $14295.0
      25.11%
      $3589.48
    • Is this a good time to enter the market?

      Collapse
    • #New Product Success Rates

      Listing

      这个市场不适合进入,尤其不适合小品牌。 现有数据已经显示出明显的高压竞争:新品牌新上架产品盈利率只有9.09%,整体可识别盈利产品占比也只有28.57%;更关键的是,旧品牌新上架产品盈利率为0%,说明新人很难靠常规打法切进去,市场已经被成熟品牌和低价、功能微差异产品卡死。

      New products success rate.

      What is the ratio of profitable products

      Profitable (Unidentifiable released date)
      Profitable (Old product)
      Profitable (New product)
      Profitable (New product on old listing)
      New products but non profitable

      Profitable new products divide by brands

      What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products

      SUDLTO

      Nonprofitable new products divide by brands

      What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products

      greencycle
      HP
      Diegees
      Brother
      Topcolor
    • #Success Rate by Entry Time

      Listing

      结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,已经接近价格战区,而且新品牌成功率低,继续做只会更卷。 过去一年里真正能跑通的只有 1 个新品牌成功案例,4 个新品牌新上架里只有 1 个赚钱,成功率 25%;而最近 2025 下半年到 2026 年的新释放产品里,几乎都是失败或无法验证,市场不是变得更容易,而是明显更难。

      How many products released each year

      Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing

      How many products released each month

      Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing

    • #Net Profit Margins by Entry Time

      Different profit ratios of products released in year

      Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.

      Time/Profit%x < -10.0%-10.0% <= x < 0.0%0.0% <= x < 10.0%10.0% <= x < 20.0%20.0% <= x < 30.0%30.0% <= x < 40.0%x >= 40.0%other
      202200000000
      202300000000
      202400000000
      202500001003
      202600000007
      ≥ 10% Profitable
      < 10% Unprofitable
      Unidentifiable

      Different profit ratios of products released in month

      Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.

      Time/Profit%x < -10.0%-10.0% <= x < 0.0%0.0% <= x < 10.0%10.0% <= x < 20.0%20.0% <= x < 30.0%30.0% <= x < 40.0%x >= 40.0%other
      2025/800000000
      2025/900000000
      2025/1000000000
      2025/1100000002
      2025/1200001001
      2026/100000002
      2026/200000000
      2026/300000001
      2026/400000000
      2026/500000001
      2026/600000000
      2026/700000000
      ≥ 10% Profitable
      < 10% Unprofitable
      Unidentifiable
    • What factors contribute to success or failure?

      Collapse
    • #Case Study

      Success Cases
      HP 134A Black Toner Cartridge Printers | Works with LaserJet M209 Series; LaserJet MFP M234 Series | W1340A
      Price (USD)
      $64.89
      Released Type
      Old Release (2021-01-14)
      Brand is an old entry in this market
      Size and Weight
      36.2 x 13.7 x 11.1 cm, 499.00g

      Profitable Factors

      Established brand with longevityBased on old ASIN

      Design & Appearance

      经典黑色原装盒彩盒设计,强品牌识别度高

      Key Buying Motive

      原装耗材,具备防泄漏、防早期失效及防篡改芯片/固件安全保护

      Target Customers

      偏好原装正品、重视打印稳定性与数据安全的HP激光打印机用户

      Early Investment

      Investment

      Monthly Revenue (Recent) (USD)
      $389,340.00
      6000 sold in the past 30 days · as of 2026年8月

      Net Profit Margin

      Sea Freight
      35.70% / 37.76%
      Peak / Non Peak
      Rail Freight
      - / -
      Peak / Non Peak
      Air Freight
      28.79% / 30.84%
      Peak / Non Peak

      Sales & BSR Performance

      58A Toner Cartridge Black Compatible for HP 58A CF258A M428fdw M404n 2-Pack
      Price (USD)
      $56.49
      Released Type
      Old Release (2023-12-25)
      Brand is an old entry in this market
      Size and Weight
      33.2 x 31.9 x 10.4 cm, 1692.00g

      Profitable Factors

      Based on old ASINDistinct functions and features

      Design & Appearance

      黑色标准耗材外观,无明显差异化配色, 通用黑色双支装硒鼓盒装设计,属于成熟公共市场外观

      Key Buying Motive

      采用最新专利芯片,支持固件兼容与碳粉余量识别/色彩校正

      Target Customers

      面向HP 58A/CF258A机型的办公用户,尤其是需要稳定兼容与高页容量的中小企业打印场景

      Early Investment

      Investment

      Monthly Revenue (Recent) (USD)
      $39,543.00
      700 sold in the past 30 days · as of 2026年8月

      Net Profit Margin

      Sea Freight
      23.65% / 27.95%
      Peak / Non Peak
      Rail Freight
      - / -
      Peak / Non Peak
      Air Freight
      7.76% / 12.07%
      Peak / Non Peak

      Sales & BSR Performance

      Loading samples... 50%
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