
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战区,对新卖家不友好。 目前新品牌只有8个,但新上架产品里真正跑出盈利的只有Scribbles That Matter,盈利率只有18.18%,而且近一批新入场产品大多亏损,市场是在变差,不是在变好。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入,这个市场已经明显偏向价格战,且对新卖家不友好。 现在可见的新品牌里,真正跑出盈利的几乎只有 Scribbles That Matter,其他新入场品牌大多亏损;按已识别样本看,整体盈利率只有17.39%,新上架产品盈利率只有16.67%,但近期新增产品里亏损占绝对多数,2026年4月到6月连续出现多家新品牌新品亏损,市场是在变差,不是在变好。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入价格战区,而且利润质量太差。 新品牌和旧品牌都在硬碰硬:整体可识别盈利产品只有17.39%,新发布产品盈利率只有16.67%,而非盈利新发布产品占到72.73%;这不是健康增长,而是低利润、低容错的竞争环境。
大品牌方面,能抄的只有强品牌加差异化功能,不是靠低价硬冲。 典型成功样本是 Scribbles That Matter 的 B0FW1L7LQ3,售价 $24.97,月销约50件,月营收约 $124,850,盈利,关键是横向周视图、周计划+习惯追踪+月度总览的组合,并且是强品牌效应;同品牌的 B0FXBBXPZG 也盈利,售价 $22.97,月销约100件,月营收约 $229,700。对应的进入门槛不低,单个新品早期投入已到 $1,332.54,且页面数据明确显示这是靠品牌力和差异化功能赢,不是普通小卖家可复制的低成本打法。
这个市场不适合进入,原因很明确:新品牌盈利率太低、非盈利新产品占绝对多数,而且 2026 年新进入品牌明显增多,已经接近过热。 对大品牌和小商家都不是好市场;想靠正常打法进入,胜率偏低。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FXBBXPZG | Scribbles That Matter | 2025-10-22 | Yes | $22.97 | 100pcs | $2297.0 | 20.82% | $478.24 |
![]() | B0FW1L7LQ3 | Scribbles That Matter | 2025-10-13 | Yes | $24.97 | 50pcs | $1248.5 | 23.36% | $291.65 |
![]() | B0D1VKSD4T | Lamare | 2024-07-14 | Yes | $23.73 | 50pcs | $1186.5 | 16.71% | $198.27 |
![]() | B07GC9YQLC | Two Tumbleweeds | 2018-09-04 | Yes | $9.95 | 100pcs | $995.0 | 12.43% | $123.68 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FXBBXPZG | Scribbles That Matter | 2025-10-22 | Yes | $22.97 | 100pcs | $2297.0 | 20.82% | $478.24 |
![]() | B0FW1L7LQ3 | Scribbles That Matter | 2025-10-13 | Yes | $24.97 | 50pcs | $1248.5 | 23.36% | $291.65 |
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌新上架成功率只有16.67%,但新品牌新上架失败率高达80%,整体可识别盈利产品仅17.39%,而且老品牌新上架成功率为0%,说明这里不是增量市场,而是强竞争、强筛选的高压市场。 对小商家来说,只有极少数真正的新品牌成功案例能参考;对大品牌来说,也不是好市场,因为现有成功高度集中在少数头部品牌,进入门槛高、试错成本大。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,属于明显的高风险、接近过热的竞争环境。 近一年新品牌几乎没有形成稳定可复制的成功,新增品牌成功率只有16.67%,而近期新进入的9个可判断样本里只有2个盈利、7个不盈利,竞争正在变难,不是在变容易。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |