
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 现在不是蓝海,而是已经进入高竞争、近似价格战的阶段;新品牌成功率只有22.22%,且新入场品牌总数只有4个,明显还没形成“新品牌机会窗口”,反而是老品牌在持续吃掉利润。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 用户预算 50万人民币,表面上足够覆盖单个新款起步成本,但市场已经出现明显的价格战和挤压,新品牌新上架的盈利率只有 22.22%,而所有可识别盈利产品里,整体盈利占比也只有 42.86%,说明不是“人人能赚”的市场。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:它已经进入高竞争、近似价格战状态,新品牌成功空间很窄。 样本里新品牌新上架产品的盈利率只有22.22%,非盈利率高达55.56%;同时市场里旧品牌占据新上架产品的比例达到75%,说明真正能吃到新增需求的,主要还是老牌玩家。
这个市场不适合进入,属于明显的价格战环境,但还没到‘必须立刻停止’的那种彻底拥挤;对小商家尤其不友好。 新品里真正能跑出来的多是老品牌或已经有旧款基础的品牌,靠普通上新几乎很难赢,想赚钱要么靠更高预算做功能差异化,要么直接避开。
证据很直接:新产品可见利润区间主要集中在20%~40%,其中30%~40%占44.44%,20%~30%占19.44%,而40%以上为0;可见新品里没有高利润“轻松赢”的空间。 另一方面,新品牌新品里已出现失败样本:MUSEFITR 两个新品 B0GX9CB8DN、B0GX967K8V 全部不盈利;TENKAIWICK 作为新品牌,3个产品里2个盈利、1个亏损,说明新品牌不是不能做,但必须有更强的产品设计和投放能力,且它的盈利款 B0FHK17FV8、B0G6KVNRPY 都是基于旧款思路做功能强化,不是纯创新硬碰硬。老品牌方面,ZMZPA 新品盈利率约50.00%,但它的新品里也有大量失败款,像 B0H38V98LY、B0H79HWBJ4、B0GV2YN4VB 这类都没有跑起来,说明这个市场对“照搬式上新”惩罚很重。更关键的是,当前市场分析里新产品利润难度被标为偏低,但这不是机会,而是因为竞争把利润压低了;再看趋势,2025年新品释放和失败都很多,2026年失败新品继续增加,市场不是在变蓝海,而是在持续堆量,竞争在加重。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FF8R1T76 | ZMZPA | 2025-06-24 | Yes | $24.79 | 6000pcs | $148740.0 | 28.3% | $42093.42 |
![]() | B0FY1JQW4Y | ZMZPA | 2025-11-06 | Yes | $49.3 | 1000pcs | $49300.0 | 35.35% | $17427.55 |
![]() | B0BNPSMM9G | Dimora | 2023-02-16 | Yes | $35.09 | 1000pcs | $35090.0 | 35.27% | $12376.25 |
![]() | B0FC2G1K6V | ZMZPA | 2025-06-05 | Yes | $35.64 | 1000pcs | $35640.0 | 33.63% | $11985.74 |
![]() | B0CH4YFZN4 | NEUHEILS | 2023-10-30 | Yes | $32.94 | 1000pcs | $32940.0 | 34.75% | $11446.65 |
![]() | B0D3PZMWLX | NEUHEILS | 2024-07-01 | Yes | $30.84 | 1000pcs | $30840.0 | 36.77% | $11339.87 |
![]() | B0BY7H69PD | NEUHEILS | 2021-08-19 | Yes | $32.13 | 1000pcs | $32130.0 | 33.77% | $10850.31 |
B0BNPT76P1 | Dimora | 2023-02-16 | Yes | $33.93 | 900pcs | $30537.0 | 32.91% | $10049.73 | |
B0CQ4HYRM7 | Dimora | 2024-04-28 | Yes | $33.17 | 600pcs | $19902.0 | 36.43% | $7250.3 | |
![]() | B0G6KVNRPY | TENKAIWICK | 2025-11-03 | Yes | $30.28 | 700pcs | $21196.0 | 27.2% | $5765.32 |
B0DQBZSJSF | Dimora | 2025-04-07 | Yes | $53.08 | 300pcs | $15924.0 | 36.2% | $5764.49 | |
![]() | B0C7CX4MZ7 | NEUHEILS | 2023-08-09 | Yes | $19.29 | 1000pcs | $19290.0 | 25.92% | $4999.97 |
B0DQBTGPJ2 | Dimora | 2025-04-07 | Yes | $57.08 | 200pcs | $11416.0 | 37.04% | $4228.49 | |
![]() | B0FS1C3H4S | ZMZPA | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $24.79 | 600pcs | $14874.0 | 28.27% | $4204.88 |
![]() | B08ZMMDDP5 | CARBOU | 2021-04-26 | Yes | $38.99 | 300pcs | $11697.0 | 35.31% | $4130.22 |
![]() | B0FHK17FV8 | TENKAIWICK | 2025-08-27 | Yes | $17.34 | 1000pcs | $17340.0 | 22.82% | $3956.99 |
![]() | B09RVTTWQN | Niceful | 2022-02-06 | Yes | $37.41 | 300pcs | $11223.0 | 34.95% | $3922.44 |
![]() | B009BP0BKY | ConvaTec | 2012-06-02 | Yes | $34.35 | 300pcs | $10305.0 | 35.27% | $3634.58 |
![]() | B0FNJX8XR8 | NEUHEILS | 2025-11-06 | Yes | $49.43 | 200pcs | $9886.0 | 36.35% | $3593.57 |
![]() | B0GWJX2MVL | ZMZPA | 2026-04-08 | Yes | $26.34 | 500pcs | $13170.0 | 27.08% | $3566.44 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FY1JQW4Y | ZMZPA | 2025-11-06 | Yes | $49.3 | 1000pcs | $49300.0 | 35.35% | $17427.55 |
![]() | B0G6KVNRPY | TENKAIWICK | 2025-11-03 | Yes | $30.28 | 700pcs | $21196.0 | 27.2% | $5765.32 |
![]() | B0FS1C3H4S | ZMZPA | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $24.79 | 600pcs | $14874.0 | 28.27% | $4204.88 |
![]() | B0FHK17FV8 | TENKAIWICK | 2025-08-27 | Yes | $17.34 | 1000pcs | $17340.0 | 22.82% | $3956.99 |
![]() | B0FNJX8XR8 | NEUHEILS | 2025-11-06 | Yes | $49.43 | 200pcs | $9886.0 | 36.35% | $3593.57 |
![]() | B0GWJX2MVL | ZMZPA | 2026-04-08 | Yes | $26.34 | 500pcs | $13170.0 | 27.08% | $3566.44 |
![]() | B0FY1T312N | ZMZPA | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $45.74 | 200pcs | $9148.0 | 35.96% | $3289.63 |
![]() | B0FY1RCS5P | ZMZPA | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $45.11 | 200pcs | $9022.0 | 35.65% | $3216.35 |
这个市场不适合进入,结论很直接:品牌侧已经高度拥挤,老品牌和新品牌都在打同质化硅胶泡棉敷料,整体是高风险、接近价格战的环境。 现有数据里,新品成功率只有22.22%,但失败率高达75.00%,而且 2026 年新上架的产品大量落在“未盈利”区间,说明最近入场并没有变容易,反而更像在加剧竞争。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这不是适合进入的市场:已经明显进入拥挤和价格战区,继续投入的回报率很差。 近期新品新增并没有转化成更高的盈利,反而是失败样本持续堆积;你有 500000 CNY 预算,但问题不是钱不够,而是这个赛道的胜率太低。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |