
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,已经是明显的高竞争、低利润、偏饱和赛道。 新品牌一共20个,已经触发过度拥挤警戒;新发布产品56个里只有1个能盈利,成功率1.79%,而且新产品里98.18%都不赚钱,最近一批新品也几乎全军覆没,说明这是实打实的价格战环境,不是靠正常打法能轻松切进去的市场。
证据很直接:利润区间已经被压到很低。 新发布产品的利润范围是-6.37%到8.68%,整体属于高难度且被价格竞争拖垮的状态;按时间看,2025到2026年新进产品大多落在“其他/未验证盈利”区间,真正被确认盈利的极少,且没有任何新产品本身形成稳定的高利润带。这意味着市场不是在扩张,而是在挤压,越晚进入越难。
短结论:不要进。 500000 CNY 只能覆盖单品前期测试,无法解决这个赛道的长期品牌、研发和持续投放压力;如果一定要做,只能走大品牌式升级路线,否则小商家胜率极低。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:不建议进入,这个市场对新卖家和小商家都不友好。 你的预算 50万人民币够做一条单品的入场测试,但不够支撑长期突围;市场里可确认盈利的产品只占 12.90%,而新品盈利率只有 1.79%,这说明新品几乎很难靠正常打法跑出来,已经是明显的价格竞争区。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:不是增量市场,而是高度拥挤的抽屉收纳赛道。样本里只有 25.00% 的品牌产品可盈利,且新品牌 ShinyDew、Neuqiho 的可盈利率都是 0%,说明新进入者基本没有站稳;更关键的是,像 Marbrasse 这样的老品牌能靠旧款持续出单,但它的新品只有 1/4 能赚钱,说明市场已经进入“靠老款吃红利、新品很难打穿”的阶段。对小商家来说,这个赛道不是正常竞争,而是逼近价格战/高投放环境,不建议进入。
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显偏向饱和和低利润内卷。 新品里只有极少数能做到15%以上利润,且新品牌几乎没有真正跑通的成功样本;想靠普通小卖家模式进入,胜率很低。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CNCWVDQL | Marbrasse | 2023-11-15 | Yes | $39.36 | 300pcs | $11808.0 | 18.82% | $2222.27 |
![]() | B0DHV5JD8T | Oubonun | 2024-09-24 | Yes | $27.01 | 600pcs | $16206.0 | 11.48% | $1860.45 |
![]() | B0BH4MBS55 | ITAYVAN | 2022-10-03 | Yes | $15.19 | 500pcs | $7595.0 | 14.1% | $1070.9 |
![]() | B08PDQZHZW | Simple Houseware | 2020-12-01 | Yes | $28.87 | 300pcs | $8661.0 | 12.07% | $1045.39 |
![]() | B0F18GJWZH | Vtopmart | 2025-03-12 | Yes | $18.75 | 300pcs | $5625.0 | 13.9% | $781.88 |
![]() | B07JPH1PNC | Oubonun | 2018-10-25 | Yes | $36.92 | 200pcs | $7384.0 | 10.42% | $769.42 |
![]() | B0CNCMTKRQ | Marbrasse | 2023-11-15 | Yes | $40.12 | 50pcs | $2006.0 | 19.23% | $385.76 |
![]() | B0DPZSBXQR | Briwooody | 2024-12-10 | Yes | $37.33 | 50pcs | $1866.5 | 14.96% | $279.23 |
![]() | B0DFLVD83P | Briwooody | 2024-08-29 | Yes | $34.97 | 50pcs | $1748.5 | 15.51% | $271.2 |
![]() | B0G1RGLXW6 | Marbrasse | 2025-11-11 | Yes | $34.54 | 50pcs | $1727.0 | 14.78% | $255.26 |
![]() | B0DJVCR62M | Marbrasse | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $21.61 | 100pcs | $2161.0 | 10.44% | $225.61 |
![]() | B0D2GPRDB1 | Marbrasse | 2023-07-21 | Yes | $21.66 | 100pcs | $2166.0 | 10.27% | $222.45 |
![]() | B0CLTNTFHQ | Marbrasse | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $21.63 | 100pcs | $2163.0 | 10.2% | $220.63 |
![]() | B0DSWKWQY4 | ITAYVAN | 2025-01-13 | Yes | $29.99 | 50pcs | $1499.5 | 13.83% | $207.39 |
![]() | B0CJQZL9PR | YOOUSOO | 2023-09-25 | Yes | $25.4 | 50pcs | $1270.0 | 15.05% | $191.14 |
![]() | B0CKVDKLRH | Marbrasse | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $21.6 | 50pcs | $1080.0 | 10.46% | $112.97 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0G1RGLXW6 | Marbrasse | 2025-11-11 | Yes | $34.54 | 50pcs | $1727.0 | 14.78% | $255.26 |
这个市场不适合进入,且对新品牌和小商家都不友好。整体可识别利润产品只有12.90%,新发布产品的成功率只有1.79%,而新品牌这边是36个新产品里0个盈利,说明不是“有机会”,而是已经进入了明显的失败高发区。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场已经进入过度拥挤区,结论是不建议进入。 新品牌进入很多,但新品牌做出来的有效利润几乎没有;最近一批新品里,40个样本里有36个失败,成功率只有0%,而且新品牌总数已到20个,处在明显的危险区。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| 2026 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |