
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:它已经是典型的低利润价格战区,新品牌几乎没有可复制的成功样本。 目前用户预算 50万人民币表面上够做单个 ASIN 的启动,但对这个类目来说,钱不是最大问题,真正的问题是新品进去后也很难跑出盈利。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入这个市场。 这不是一个适合现在切入的盘:新品牌里几乎没有可复制的盈利样本,已知新品牌 KEMETHY 7 个新/近新品全部非盈利,盈利率 0%;同时可见的低价收纳赛道已经被老品牌和成熟品牌占住,且新品牌要想跑出来,必须打出更高预算和更强投放。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,而且已经明显进入价格战区:整体可盈利产品只占9.38%,新上架产品盈利率是0.00%,说明新进入者几乎没有跑通。更关键的是,最近一年新品牌密集入场但几乎全军覆没,KEMETHY 这类新品牌虽有销量,却没有一款盈利,市场对大小卖家都不友好。
这不是一个适合进入的市场:新品牌只有1个、老品牌17个,最近新推出产品的可识别成功率为0%,而新产品利润率主要卡在1.6%~6.69%,明显是低利润价格战区。 对小商家来说,几乎没有不靠激进打法还能稳定赚钱的空间;对大品牌来说,即使有500000 CNY预算,也只是勉强够启动,不能改变这个市场已经很挤、很卷的事实。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CNCWVDQL | Marbrasse | 2023-11-15 | Yes | $39.36 | 300pcs | $11808.0 | 18.82% | $2222.27 |
![]() | B0CNCMTKRQ | Marbrasse | 2023-11-15 | Yes | $40.12 | 50pcs | $2006.0 | 19.23% | $385.76 |
![]() | B0DJVCR62M | Marbrasse | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $21.61 | 100pcs | $2161.0 | 10.44% | $225.61 |
![]() | B0D2GPRDB1 | Marbrasse | 2023-07-21 | Yes | $21.66 | 100pcs | $2166.0 | 10.27% | $222.45 |
![]() | B0CLTNTFHQ | Marbrasse | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $21.63 | 100pcs | $2163.0 | 10.2% | $220.63 |
![]() | B0CKVDKLRH | Marbrasse | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $21.6 | 50pcs | $1080.0 | 10.46% | $112.97 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FPWT5S3F | KEMETHY | 2025-09-07 | No | $16.78 | 2000pcs | $33560.0 | -11.54% | $-3872.82 |
![]() | B0FPWX5MNM | KEMETHY | 2025-09-11 | No | $18.62 | 200pcs | $3724.0 | -0.01% | $-0.37 |
![]() | B0FQ2G41BW | WOWBOX | 2025-11-01 | No | $19.92 | 50pcs | $996.0 | 0.54% | $5.38 |
![]() | B0FPWV5DMK | KEMETHY | 2025-09-07 | No | $16.8 | 200pcs | $3360.0 | 1.84% | $61.83 |
![]() | B0FPWTX4KB | KEMETHY | 2025-09-11 | No | $17.71 | 50pcs | $885.5 | 7.23% | $64.03 |
![]() | B0FQ2J1N36 | WOWBOX | 2025-11-01 | No | $21.35 | 100pcs | $2135.0 | 3.72% | $79.43 |
![]() | B0F9PL376L | BiuLeon | 2025-08-20 | No | $18.62 | 100pcs | $1862.0 | 6.97% | $129.79 |
![]() | B0F9PKKPLY | BiuLeon | 2025-08-27 | No | $18.82 | 100pcs | $1882.0 | 7.05% | $132.69 |
![]() | B0FPWTP3CH | KEMETHY | 2025-09-11 | No | $17.57 | 200pcs | $3514.0 | 3.98% | $139.86 |
![]() | B0FPWQYN6B | KEMETHY | 2025-09-11 | No | $17.6 | 200pcs | $3520.0 | 4.2% | $147.85 |
![]() | B0F9PJ3YQX | BiuLeon | 2025-08-27 | No | $18.36 | 400pcs | $7344.0 | 5.93% | $435.5 |
![]() | B0FYQ1XNCX | KEMETHY | 2025-10-31 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GG8YM4XT | ARSTPEOE | 2026-01-12 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入,结论非常明确:它已经接近价格战区,而且新品牌几乎没有真正的成功样本。 用户预算 50万人民币,表面上足够覆盖单个ASIN的启动成本,但这个类目里新上架产品的成功率是 0%,新品牌也是 0%,而且整体只有 9.38% 的产品是盈利的,说明不是“能不能做”,而是“做进去也很难活下来”。
证据很直接:市场里新产品全部13个样本都不盈利,盈利率 0%;新品牌样本 7 个也全部失败。 旧品牌同样没有任何新上架盈利案例,说明这不是新手友好的增量市场,而是老品牌主导、同质化严重的存量竞争。产品利润分布也显示,10%以下利润区间占绝大多数,甚至低于0%的样本也不少,这符合高压价格竞争环境;另外,你提供的样本里,KEMETHY、WOWBOX、BiuLeon 等新/旧品牌的失败ASIN集中出现,失败样本被少数品牌反复占据,说明不是偶发失手,而是结构性竞争过热。真正能赚钱的样本几乎都来自 Marbrasse 这种老品牌,且其代表ASIN B0CNCWVDQL 需要约 7,793 美元早期投入、月营收 11,808 美元、利润率 18.8%,看起来不错,但这类成功明显依赖老品牌积累、差异化结构设计和持续投放,不是普通小卖家可直接复制的路径。
小商家不能指望靠普通打法进入;如果硬做,至少要走“差异化功能+外观+可能的模具/研发”路线,而且这更像大品牌打法。 Marbrasse 的成功样本都在 21.6~40.1 美元价位,核心卖点是可伸缩结构、可调隔板、金属网格外观、按抽屉尺寸适配,这些都不是纯铺货能解决的;更重要的是,成功样本多为旧品牌老链接延伸,说明进入门槛在“产品创新+品牌心智+长期投放”而不是单纯采购上。对小商家来说,真实可行的成功案例没有出现,反而看到大量低利润、低差异、失败的同类产品;如果要进入,基本等于要和老品牌打硬仗,且预算还得额外覆盖研发、品牌和认证成本。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品 100% 失败,利润率整体落在 1.60%~6.69%,已经是典型价格战区。 2025 年共出现 13 个新发布,全部都没有跑出可验证盈利;其中新品牌 KEMETHY 7 个新产品全部亏,老品牌 ARSTPEOE、WOWBOX、BiuLeon 也全部亏,说明不是“谁更会做新品”,而是整个赛道都在低毛利互砍。
证据很直接:新品牌只有 1 个,老品牌有 17 个;新发布里可见的成功率是 0%,失败率是 100%。 这意味着市场不是开放型机会,而是被成熟品牌和低价产品挤压后的存量博弈。按你给的规则,10% 以下利润就是高风险,当前新产品分布里 69.23% 落在 0%~10% 利润,另有 15.38% 甚至是“其他/未验证”,再加上没有任何 10% 以上的新发布胜出,说明这个类目已经进入明显的利润压缩期。品牌层面看,KEMETHY 7 个新货全部不赚钱;WOWBOX 的新发布也全亏;BiuLeon 的 3 个新发布也全亏。小卖家能拿来当案例的“真成功”基本没有,反而更像是需要大量投放、压价和流量堆出来的结果。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |