
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显接近价格战区,而且新品牌正在持续涌入;对小商家几乎不友好,对大品牌也只是“有钱可打”,不是好机会。 用户预算500,000 CNY表面上足够做单个ASIN,但真正可复制的利润太薄,长期竞争成本会把优势吃掉。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不要进入。这个市场已经接近价格战区,新品牌成功率极低,且用户预算足够启动但不足以覆盖长期竞争。 市场里新品牌里盈利的只有58.8%,但亏损的新品牌高达94.12%;整体可识别利润产品只有23.81%,说明多数产品已经被低利润挤压,做成“能卖”不等于“能赚”。
证据很直接:用户预算是500,000 CNY,而新上架产品的推荐启动预算约为12,561.874 USD,折合约9万余CNY,表面上预算够做单个ASIN;但真正能活下来的样本非常少。新品牌 Lolalet 只有1个盈利ASIN B0GTPS328B,价格16.44美元,利润率10.85%,月销500、月收822,000;同品牌另一条新ASIN B0GJ32BZGM 利润率只有1.36%,月销100。Poyilooo 的新ASIN B0FCKZPW1G 利润率1.28%,而 B0FCKZPW1G 与 B0FLP6FJ22 都未盈利;Tondiamo 两个新ASIN B0G1YFK546、B0GL8FRQS3 都不盈利,且 B0G1YFK546 只有9条评价、评分3.2,明显不是可复制的健康案例。换句话说,新品牌想靠这个类目做出稳定利润,必须接受低毛利和高试错成本。
大品牌/老品牌这边也不是轻松盘:老品牌新上架里盈利率只有60%,但新上架占比高,说明这个类目竞争很热;同时样本里大量低评论快速出单的产品更像“激进投放”而不是健康经营,300+评论的 Josmimic(如 B0F1YNJJ5G、B0DHZ9QHQ3、B0F1CS6FJM)和 Lolalet 的 B0GTPS328B 都说明要靠品牌力和持续投放才能站住。结论:大品牌可以靠资源硬打,小商家不值得进。 如果非要学,Big Brand 只能参考 Josmimic 的 B0F1YNJJ5G、B0DHZ9QHQ3、B0F1CS6FJM;Small Business 只能看 Lolalet 的 B0GTPS328B,但它也只是10.85%的边缘盈利,不能当安全模板。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:已进入价格战区,且新品牌成功率极低。 以当前样本看,市场新上架产品盈利率只有25.93%,但新品牌新品盈利率仅5.88%,新品牌新品非盈利率高达94.12%;同时2025到2026年新上新明显增加,2026年仅前几个月就出现多批新品牌入场与失败,说明竞争还在加剧而不是收敛。
这个市场不值得进入,当前已经接近价格战/过度拥挤,且新品牌几乎没有稳定胜率。 新品利润分布里,只有 33.33% 落在 10% 以上利润,而 <10% 的新品占 29.63%,再加上 48.15% 仍是“其他/无法稳定判断”,说明真正可复制的赚钱样本并不多;更关键的是,最近一年新发布产品里,非盈利占 94.12%,盈利只 58.8%(数据口径下),这不是小商家能靠常规打法轻松切入的环境。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0F1YNJJ5G | Josmimic | 2025-03-19 | Yes | $14.98 | 1000pcs | $14980.0 | 20.02% | $2999.0 |
![]() | B09D3M8L7Q | SRIWATANA | 2022-01-13 | Yes | $18.89 | 1000pcs | $18890.0 | 14.9% | $2814.61 |
![]() | B0F83QXWVN | VLANDO | 2025-05-09 | Yes | $17.34 | 1000pcs | $17340.0 | 13.98% | $2424.14 |
![]() | B0DS1SFC7C | Mkono | 2025-01-02 | Yes | $15.04 | 1000pcs | $15040.0 | 14.5% | $2180.8 |
![]() | B0FYLZ15ST | Mkono | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $19.04 | 500pcs | $9520.0 | 20.38% | $1940.18 |
![]() | B0F1STJ993 | bussdis | 2025-03-18 | Yes | $19.29 | 300pcs | $5787.0 | 17.47% | $1010.99 |
![]() | B0DHZ9QHQ3 | Josmimic | 2024-09-26 | Yes | $19.99 | 400pcs | $7996.0 | 11.89% | $950.73 |
B0GTPS328B | Lolalet | 2026-06-24 | Yes | $16.44 | 500pcs | $8220.0 | 10.85% | $891.87 | |
![]() | B0F48HDB96 | Mkono | 2025-04-09 | Yes | $15.32 | 400pcs | $6128.0 | 14.24% | $872.63 |
![]() | B0FWC38TK8 | Mkono | 2025-10-15 | Yes | $15.54 | 300pcs | $4662.0 | 14.8% | $689.98 |
![]() | B0CT2CBTNJ | lengnoyp | 2024-01-23 | Yes | $9.88 | 400pcs | $3952.0 | 13.24% | $523.25 |
![]() | B0F1CS6FJM | Josmimic | 2025-03-13 | Yes | $19.99 | 200pcs | $3998.0 | 11.39% | $455.38 |
![]() | B0FH6NLHYJ | Mkono | 2025-07-10 | Yes | $15.16 | 200pcs | $3032.0 | 13.74% | $416.6 |
![]() | B0H35S1FKM | bussdis | 2026-05-28 | Yes | $19.77 | 100pcs | $1977.0 | 16.64% | $328.98 |
![]() | B0GKNH6469 | VLANDO | 2026-01-30 | Yes | $19.83 | 100pcs | $1983.0 | 16.37% | $324.62 |
![]() | B0BC94BZ79 | SRIWATANA | 2022-08-29 | Yes | $19.11 | 100pcs | $1911.0 | 15.67% | $299.46 |
![]() | B0FHVM9XD1 | Josmimic | 2025-07-17 | Yes | $14.91 | 100pcs | $1491.0 | 19.99% | $298.06 |
![]() | B0FHVMG6G2 | Josmimic | 2025-07-17 | Yes | $14.63 | 100pcs | $1463.0 | 18.12% | $265.1 |
![]() | B0FGDD1CQR | VLANDO | 2025-07-02 | Yes | $19.94 | 50pcs | $997.0 | 16.84% | $167.9 |
![]() | B0F1YPNZ47 | Josmimic | 2025-03-19 | Yes | $14.94 | 50pcs | $747.0 | 20.03% | $149.63 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FYLZ15ST | Mkono | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $19.04 | 500pcs | $9520.0 | 20.38% | $1940.18 |
B0GTPS328B | Lolalet | 2026-06-24 | Yes | $16.44 | 500pcs | $8220.0 | 10.85% | $891.87 | |
![]() | B0FWC38TK8 | Mkono | 2025-10-15 | Yes | $15.54 | 300pcs | $4662.0 | 14.8% | $689.98 |
![]() | B0H35S1FKM | bussdis | 2026-05-28 | Yes | $19.77 | 100pcs | $1977.0 | 16.64% | $328.98 |
![]() | B0GKNH6469 | VLANDO | 2026-01-30 | Yes | $19.83 | 100pcs | $1983.0 | 16.37% | $324.62 |
![]() | B0FRMVVPFG | lengnoyp | 2025-09-18 | Yes | $11.69 | 100pcs | $1169.0 | 10.64% | $124.39 |
![]() | B0FPWZMGR4 | SONGMICS | 2025-12-27 | Yes | $19.22 | 50pcs | $961.0 | 12.53% | $120.42 |
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入价格战区,而且新品牌成功率只有5.88%,属于高风险、低容错市场。 对小商家来说,几乎没有合法的轻量切入空间;对大品牌来说,虽然资金能撑住,但也只是“可能进入”,不代表值得做,因为现在的盈利主要被老品牌和少数重投品牌拿走。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入过度拥挤状态。 近一年新产品里,盈利率只有25.93%,而最近新发布产品的非盈利比例高达94.12%;同时市场里旧品牌仍然牢牢占位,新品牌想靠自然打法切入,胜率非常低。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |