
这个市场不值得进入。它已经明显进入高拥挤、低容错的价格战区,新品牌几乎没有自然成功空间。 现有数据里,新品成功率只有20.00%,而且新品牌样本里 Itzy Ritzy 这类新品牌是0%盈利;更关键的是,最近一批新品几乎都在亏损,说明市场不是“还在成长”,而是“越来越难做”。
从证据看,市场里真正能赚钱的,基本都是老牌玩家或带明显差异化的成熟品牌:Philips Avent 有7个盈利款,整体月收入约5812.68万、月销约5.28万件,但它的新品里有3个直接亏损,说明连强势老品牌的新款也不轻松;garkoko 只有3个盈利新品,盈利率看起来亮眼,但它的高表现集中在少数差异化款上,不是普通新品牌可复制的路径。相反,Philips Avent、garkoko、Tommee Tippee 的多款新品都落入亏损区,失败产品的共同点是外观和功能太像主流款、没有明显差异化,或者利润本来就很薄。样本里还有明显的“掠夺性竞争”信号:像 Philips Avent 这类产品出现了接近1000条评论、且仍能维持15.86%~16.72%利润的成熟爆款,说明这个类目不是靠普通上新就能赢,而是靠品牌势能、持续投放和产品迭代堆出来的。
对你来说,500000 CNY 的预算理论上能做单个ASIN的入场准备,但不足以改变这个市场的结构性劣势,尤其还没算研发、品牌和认证成本。大品牌如果非要进,应该只跟 Philips Avent、garkoko 这类已经验证过差异化和销量的款式;小商家则没有真正值得模仿的“<300评论且自然成功”的案例,反而更像是必须靠极强差异化或高强度投放才有机会,但这类打法风险很高。结论很直接:不建议进入;对大品牌和小商家都不是好市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这个市场不适合进入。 不是预算不够,而是竞争结构已经偏向大品牌内卷:整体可盈利率只有60.96%,但新品可盈利率只有18.75%,新品牌新品盈利率直接是0%,而旧品牌新品非盈利率高达73.33%;这说明新入场者很难靠普通打法活下来。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显偏向高门槛、低成功率的价格战环境。 现有数据里,整体可判定盈利的产品只有60.96%,但新品盈利率只有18.75%,新品牌新品盈利率直接是0%,说明新进入者几乎没有稳定胜算;同时市场里能清晰看到老品牌在新品里占比很高,真正跑出来的仍主要是 Philips Avent 这类老牌大品牌。
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战/饱和区,而且对新品牌非常不友好。 新品里只有18.75%能做到可卖且有利润,能跑出来的几乎都不是“小品牌自然成功”,而是靠旧品牌势能、功能差异和持续投放撑起来的。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0DPNC61JZ | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $13.26 | 7000pcs | $92820.0 | 18.2% | $16893.24 |
![]() | B0DPN9YJSW | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $14.41 | 5000pcs | $72050.0 | 20.6% | $14842.3 |
![]() | B0B8SF1XTT | Tommee Tippee | 2022-08-11 | Yes | $15.67 | 2000pcs | $31340.0 | 23.32% | $7308.49 |
![]() | B0DPNCJC2B | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $15.42 | 2000pcs | $30840.0 | 22.69% | $6997.6 |
![]() | B0F7SNC8ZF | Philips Avent | 2025-05-07 | Yes | $13.89 | 3000pcs | $41670.0 | 16.72% | $6967.23 |
![]() | B0B8SKN9R1 | Tommee Tippee | 2022-08-11 | Yes | $15.04 | 2000pcs | $30080.0 | 22.6% | $6798.08 |
![]() | B0DPHDBXYX | garkoko | 2024-12-03 | Yes | $20.4 | 1000pcs | $20400.0 | 32.21% | $6570.84 |
![]() | B0FVLZVXM7 | garkoko | 2025-10-10 | Yes | $10.75 | 3000pcs | $32250.0 | 15.63% | $5040.68 |
![]() | B0B4PVWK6T | NANOBÉBÉ | 2022-06-21 | Yes | $12.99 | 2000pcs | $25980.0 | 19.06% | $4951.79 |
![]() | B0DD3HRP61 | garkoko | 2024-08-14 | Yes | $16.44 | 1000pcs | $16440.0 | 27.82% | $4573.61 |
![]() | B0F3HR7KKZ | garkoko | 2025-04-03 | Yes | $20.82 | 700pcs | $14574.0 | 30.44% | $4436.33 |
![]() | B0BZ92TD6W | MAM | 2023-03-22 | Yes | $16.19 | 1000pcs | $16190.0 | 24.96% | $4041.03 |
![]() | B0BG8WHP18 | MAM | 2022-09-23 | Yes | $16.19 | 1000pcs | $16190.0 | 24.87% | $4026.46 |
![]() | B0BYKG556N | MAM | 2023-03-15 | Yes | $14.38 | 1000pcs | $14380.0 | 21.51% | $3093.14 |
![]() | B0DPNCCKGT | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $14.18 | 1000pcs | $14180.0 | 20.79% | $2948.03 |
![]() | B0DPNBRFWW | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $13.9 | 1000pcs | $13900.0 | 20.09% | $2792.51 |
![]() | B0D1LM7Y9W | MAM | 2024-04-12 | Yes | $13.68 | 1000pcs | $13680.0 | 20.05% | $2742.84 |
![]() | B0BYKFWDZP | MAM | 2023-03-15 | Yes | $14.38 | 800pcs | $11504.0 | 21.41% | $2463.01 |
![]() | B0F7SN8579 | Philips Avent | 2025-05-07 | Yes | $13.63 | 1000pcs | $13630.0 | 15.86% | $2161.72 |
B07TQKVCG7 | Bibs | 2019-11-02 | Yes | $15.95 | 500pcs | $7975.0 | 26.13% | $2083.87 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FVLZVXM7 | garkoko | 2025-10-10 | Yes | $10.75 | 3000pcs | $32250.0 | 15.63% | $5040.68 |
![]() | B0GWD6PGJZ | garkoko | 2026-04-07 | Yes | $17.78 | 500pcs | $8890.0 | 21.09% | $1874.91 |
![]() | B0FS7BWH5P | garkoko | 2025-09-23 | Yes | $16.79 | 200pcs | $3358.0 | 25.54% | $857.64 |
这不是适合进入的市场。 新品成功率只有20%,但真正对新品牌更关键的是:新品牌样本里只有 Itzy Ritzy 1个新品牌样本,且100%失败;老品牌新产品也只有21.43%盈利,说明这里不是“新手可轻松切入”的市场,而是明显由老牌和高投入玩家主导,竞争非常硬。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入:已经走向明显的价格战和过度拥挤,新品牌成功率太低。 近一年新品牌进入后,真正跑出来的几乎没有,反而越来越多新上架产品没法转化成利润;对大品牌和小品牌来说,都是高风险市场,不建议继续投。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |