
这个市场不值得进入,结论明确:已经是老品牌主导的价格竞争区,新品牌机会很差,小品牌更不应该硬冲。 目前没有任何可识别的新品牌成功案例,近30个新品里只有30.00%跑出盈利,而且最近一年新品里67.86%不赚钱,进入时间越晚越难。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这不是一个适合现在进入的市场。 预算上你能进场,但市场已经明显偏向价格战和大品牌收割,新品牌成功率偏低;如果你是小品牌,更不应该硬冲,因为需要更强的差异化和更高的长期投入。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已经进入价格战区,而且新品牌机会很差。 近期开出的新产品里,非盈利占 67.86%,整体可识别利润产品中只有 57.97% 能赚钱,但新产品真正赚钱的比例只有 25.00%,而且近一年新增产品几乎都被老品牌占据,市场明显偏向大品牌资源战,不适合小品牌硬冲。
这个市场不适合进入,尤其不适合中小品牌。 30个新发布里只有9个算盈利,成功率30%,但真正能看清利润的样本里,只有少数能稳定跑到15%以上;同时市场里已经有18个老品牌在打新款,明显是大品牌主导的成熟红海,不是新品牌友好的增长市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0DPNC61JZ | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $13.26 | 7000pcs | $92820.0 | 18.2% | $16893.24 |
![]() | B0DPN9YJSW | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $14.41 | 5000pcs | $72050.0 | 20.6% | $14842.3 |
![]() | B01AUQD9LU | Tommee Tippee | 2022-10-20 | Yes | $16.73 | 3000pcs | $50190.0 | 25.61% | $12853.66 |
![]() | B0B8SKKZWX | Tommee Tippee | 2022-10-13 | Yes | $16.67 | 3000pcs | $50010.0 | 25.45% | $12727.55 |
![]() | B0DPN8Y52C | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $14.58 | 4000pcs | $58320.0 | 20.92% | $12200.55 |
![]() | B0BJ5BFW7S | Tommee Tippee | 2022-10-13 | Yes | $17.51 | 2000pcs | $35020.0 | 26.8% | $9385.36 |
![]() | B0BJ4Q64L9 | Tommee Tippee | 2022-10-13 | Yes | $16.31 | 2000pcs | $32620.0 | 24.84% | $8102.81 |
![]() | B0DPHVBBZ9 | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $15.82 | 2000pcs | $31640.0 | 23.42% | $7410.09 |
![]() | B0F7SFPMTV | Philips Avent | 2025-05-07 | Yes | $13.89 | 3000pcs | $41670.0 | 16.85% | $7021.4 |
![]() | B0DPNCJC2B | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $15.42 | 2000pcs | $30840.0 | 22.69% | $6997.6 |
![]() | B0F7SNC8ZF | Philips Avent | 2025-05-07 | Yes | $13.89 | 3000pcs | $41670.0 | 16.72% | $6967.23 |
![]() | B0DPNBXNMH | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $14.73 | 2000pcs | $29460.0 | 22.03% | $6490.04 |
![]() | B0FVLZVXM7 | garkoko | 2025-10-10 | Yes | $10.75 | 3000pcs | $32250.0 | 15.63% | $5040.68 |
![]() | B0B4PVWK6T | NANOBÉBÉ | 2022-06-21 | Yes | $12.99 | 2000pcs | $25980.0 | 19.06% | $4951.79 |
![]() | B0D7HGFVCM | thyseed | 2024-06-19 | Yes | $17.87 | 1000pcs | $17870.0 | 27.61% | $4933.91 |
![]() | B0BJ4L9N57 | Tommee Tippee | 2022-10-13 | Yes | $17.75 | 1000pcs | $17750.0 | 26.88% | $4771.2 |
![]() | B0DD3HRP61 | garkoko | 2024-08-14 | Yes | $16.44 | 1000pcs | $16440.0 | 27.82% | $4573.61 |
![]() | B0BZ92TD6W | MAM | 2023-03-22 | Yes | $16.19 | 1000pcs | $16190.0 | 24.96% | $4041.03 |
![]() | B0DPHVKQDN | Tommee Tippee | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $17.58 | 1000pcs | $17580.0 | 22.94% | $4032.86 |
![]() | B0BG8WHP18 | MAM | 2022-09-23 | Yes | $16.19 | 1000pcs | $16190.0 | 24.87% | $4026.46 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FVLZVXM7 | garkoko | 2025-10-10 | Yes | $10.75 | 3000pcs | $32250.0 | 15.63% | $5040.68 |
![]() | B0GWD6PGJZ | garkoko | 2026-04-07 | Yes | $17.78 | 500pcs | $8890.0 | 21.09% | $1874.91 |
![]() | B0G39Y4B68 | Tommee Tippee | 2025-12-05 | Yes | $11.57 | 700pcs | $8099.0 | 13.0% | $1052.87 |
![]() | B0G5323PX7 | Tommee Tippee | 2025-12-05 | Yes | $11.52 | 600pcs | $6912.0 | 12.91% | $892.34 |
![]() | B0FS7BWH5P | garkoko | 2025-09-23 | Yes | $16.79 | 200pcs | $3358.0 | 25.54% | $857.64 |
![]() | B0GV3S1L93 | thyseed | 2026-03-27 | Yes | $12.82 | 300pcs | $3846.0 | 18.32% | $704.59 |
![]() | B0G39VSLM4 | Tommee Tippee | 2025-12-05 | Yes | $11.07 | 500pcs | $5535.0 | 11.35% | $628.23 |
![]() | B0G7F74V4H | thyseed | 2025-12-16 | Yes | $17.89 | 100pcs | $1789.0 | 29.31% | $524.36 |
![]() | B0G533B65S | Tommee Tippee | 2025-12-05 | Yes | $11.07 | 300pcs | $3321.0 | 11.43% | $379.6 |
这不是一个适合新品牌或小商家进入的市场:新品成功率只有25%,但失败率高达67.86%,而且老品牌新品失败率达到63.33%,说明这里已经是高度拥挤、靠差异化和品牌力硬拼的环境,不是健康增长型市场。虽然表面上仍有少量盈利样本,但它们主要被旧品牌和强品牌控制,整体更像“品牌战+价格战”的混合区。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显的价格战/拥挤区。 近一年新产品里,2025年还能看到6个盈利、4个亏损,但到2026年变成1个盈利、13个亏损,最新月份甚至连续出现9个非盈利新品,说明进入难度在快速上升,不是变轻而是变得更难。
从趋势看,2025年后半段到2026年,新释放数量明显被老品牌主导,且新产品盈利表现持续下滑;这不是“新品牌机会变多”,而是老品牌在用更强预算和更成熟打法挤压市场。当前可见的强势案例是 garkoko 的 B0GWD6PGJZ,25条评论、4.6分,21.1%利润率,月销500、月营收8890美元,早期投入约10694美元,属于典型的“老品牌强推+还能赚钱”的样本;但同品牌整体8个产品里只有5个盈利,成功率62.5%,并不代表普通新卖家容易复制。相反,近期开出的非盈利样本很多来自 Tommee Tippee、NUK、Philips Avent、MAM、Itzy Ritzy 这些老品牌,说明这个赛道不是靠小卖家自然切入,而是靠品牌力、资源和更高投入硬拼。
对小卖家来说,唯一能参考的是真正的低评论成功样本,但这里几乎没有。 可见的高质量成功更多是老品牌或既有品牌的新品,不是<300评论的“真实小卖家”案例;同时,近期大量新品落在0%~10%甚至直接未达盈利,符合高风险和价格竞争加剧的特征。你的预算50万人民币看似够做单个ASIN,但这个市场里真正能跑出来的样本往往还需要品牌、推广和长期投入,不是首发几个月能解决的;如果要追随,能学的只有 garkoko 的 B0GWD6PGJZ 这种高销量高利润老品牌打法,而不是小业务可复制路径。结论:不要进场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |