
结论很明确:这个市场已经过度拥挤,而且是价格战红海,不值得进入。 新品牌进入并不少,但真正跑通的极少;对小商家和大品牌来说,都不是一个“正常做产品就能赢”的市场,尤其新产品利润已经被压到很薄。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不值得进入,这个市场已经是价格战红海。 你的预算 50万CNY 当然足够覆盖单个新品前期投入,但它只能买到“入场券”,买不到长期胜率;当前数据里,新品几乎都在亏,且真正能跑通的新品牌非常少。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经进入价格战/过度拥挤区间。 新品牌大量涌入,但能跑通的几乎没有;当前看到的新进入样本里,成功率只有2.00%,而市场整体可识别盈利产品占比只有0.75%,这不是可复制的机会,而是高风险消耗战。
这不是适合进入的市场:利润太薄、失败率极高,而且新品牌已经明显拥挤。 现在看,只有极少数产品能赚钱,新品里真正盈利的比例只有2%,而新产品可见利润区间只剩下-14.53%到3.09%,说明这里已经是典型的低利润价格战市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FYCTJ1VL | FUNISKETCH | 2025-10-30 | Yes | $11.53 | 300pcs | $3459.0 | 13.91% | $481.15 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FYCTJ1VL | FUNISKETCH | 2025-10-30 | Yes | $11.53 | 300pcs | $3459.0 | 13.91% | $481.15 |
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:新品牌几乎没有真正可复制的成功空间,已经接近价格战和高失败率市场。 目前新上架产品的成功率只有2.00%,而新品牌内部只有3.45%的新品能赚钱;相比之下,老品牌新品成功率为0%,说明头部老玩家仍在压制新进入者,市场并不是“可被轻松切入”的增长型市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这是一个过度拥挤、价格战严重的市场,不适合现在进入。 近一年新品牌进入很多,但真正跑出来的几乎没有;新产品整体利润率只有0%~10%区间占主导,最近新发布的成功率只有2%,而且新品牌新发产品的未盈利比例高达96.55%,这已经不是机会市场,而是高风险淘汰市场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |