
结论很明确:这个市场现在不值得进入,小商家不建议做,大品牌只有在能做明显差异化时才有机会。 当前样本里新品牌虽有75%的新品盈利,但盈利区间只集中在11.4%~12.91%,已经是明显的低利润挤压;而且真正赚钱的样本几乎被 MUDEELA 一家包揽,普通新品牌很难复制。\n\n证据上看,市场已经被少数品牌吃掉了。 用户预算是50万CNY,足以覆盖单个ASIN前几个月的备货、物流和投放,但这不等于能长期跑通;MUDEELA 3个新产品全部盈利,分别是 B0FNMC934Q、B0FNMCNW6T、B0GWPR647S,单品月销约1000/500/100件,利润率12.91%/12.07%/11.4%,对应可识别预算约22481.14 USD。反过来,Barlorie 的新产品 B0GWLQPDDL 只有7个评价、月销50件,却已经表现为不盈利且销量不活跃;老品牌 Spaclear 的 B0F2MNFYSZ 有1017个评价,月销50件,利润率只有1.58%,说明这里不是“新手也能轻松赚”的市场,而是已经进入强压价环境。市场结构也不健康:新品牌只有2个,老品牌1个,规模不算超饱和,但利润分布已经偏向低位,且新品里 25% 是失败样本,失败集中在 Barlorie。产品成功的共同点很清楚,都是可视化、可伸缩、功能差异化的抽屉香料收纳;失败样本则是缺少独特卖点、市场太挤、利润虽然看起来还行但销量撑不住。\n\n短结论:别进。 如果大品牌非要进,只能跟 MUDEELA 这种做法——做明显结构创新、外观差异和更强投放;如果是小商家,除非愿意用更激进的营销方式硬推,否则没有稳定胜算。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
钱够,但不代表该进。 50万CNY足以覆盖单个ASIN前几个月的备货、运费和投放;但该市场的可见高利润新品几乎都来自MUDEELA,3个可识别盈利产品全部盈利,且新发布产品盈利率75%,看上去有机会,实际上这是被少数品牌拿走的结果,不是普遍可复制的机会。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场现在不值得进入。 关键原因不是单纯“有利润”,而是新品牌在短时间内集中涌入后,价格竞争已经把生存门槛抬高了;能赚钱的样本主要靠明显差异化和足够投放撑出来,普通跟卖思路会很危险。
结论很明确:这个市场不适合现在进入。 虽然表面上看有利润,但实际是低利润、低销量、强品牌挤压的市场,新的小品牌想赢几乎都得靠更重的营销和更高投入,不是一个适合稳健切入的赛道。
证据很直接:样本里可识别利润的产品中,60%落在10%~20%利润区间,20%低于10%,说明已经是明显的价格压制环境;新产品里75%“看起来能赚钱”,但这批成功样本几乎全部来自MUDEELA,不是分散的小品牌成功,而是单一新品牌集中吃掉结果。MUDEELA 3个新产品全部盈利,单品月销分别是1000/500/100,利润率只有12.91%/12.07%/11.4%,对应早期投入约22,481.14美元,说明要进场至少得准备接近这个级别的单ASIN预算,而且这还没算长期R&D、品牌和认证成本。反过来看,Barlorie 的新产品 B0GWLQPDDL 只有7个评价,月销50件,利润率15.11%,但被判定为非盈利且销量不活跃,早期投入约5,202美元,这不是可复制的“小商家成功案例”,更像是还没跑通的试水;老品牌 Spaclear 的 B0F2MNFYSZ 虽然有1017个评价、月销50件,利润率只有1.58%,典型的老品牌也被卷到近乎没利润,说明这里不是靠普通产品就能轻松赚钱的市场。
对两类卖家都要直说:大品牌可以进,但要有明显差异化、较大资金和品牌驱动;小商家不建议进。 目前没有证据显示市场存在大规模“30~100+新品牌涌入”的超饱和爆发,但已经出现利润被压到11%~15%附近、销量靠少数品牌集中拉动的迹象;这意味着一旦没有创新和品牌力,就只能被迫卷价格。可跟的对象只有 MUDEELA 这类能连续做出盈利新款的品牌,以及其 ASIN B0FNMC934Q、B0FNMCNW6T、B0GWPR647S;而 B0GWLQPDDL 和 B0F2MNFYSZ 更像是警示样本。短结论:不要进;如果必须进,只适合资金更强、能做差异化和品牌投放的大品牌。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FNMC934Q | MUDEELA | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $21.37 | 1000pcs | $21370.0 | 12.91% | $2758.87 |
![]() | B0FNMCNW6T | MUDEELA | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $16.39 | 500pcs | $8195.0 | 12.07% | $989.14 |
![]() | B0GWPR647S | MUDEELA | 2026-06-23 | Yes | $18.88 | 100pcs | $1888.0 | 11.4% | $215.24 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FNMC934Q | MUDEELA | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $21.37 | 1000pcs | $21370.0 | 12.91% | $2758.87 |
![]() | B0FNMCNW6T | MUDEELA | 2025-12-30 | Yes | $16.39 | 500pcs | $8195.0 | 12.07% | $989.14 |
![]() | B0GWPR647S | MUDEELA | 2026-06-23 | Yes | $18.88 | 100pcs | $1888.0 | 11.4% | $215.24 |
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,尤其不适合小品牌。 目前看到的不是一个健康增长市场,而是一个由老牌强势玩家主导、夹杂低利润和竞争挤压的市场;新品牌能跑出来的案例极少,而且现有成功样本几乎都需要持续投入和明确差异化。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经接近或处于价格战压力区,且新品牌机会只集中在少数样本上,不能算成健康的可进入市场。 近端数据里,真正的新品牌成功只看到 MUDEELA 这一家,3个新品里3个都盈利;但另一家新品牌 Barlorie 的新上架产品 B0GWLQPDDL 直接亏损,而且利润分布里新品以 10%~20% 区间为主,没有任何 20% 以上的强利润样本,说明不是一个容易靠普通打法赚钱的市场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |