
这个市场不适合现在进入。结论很明确:不是“没人做”的机会,而是已经进入低利润、强竞争的危险区;新品牌里能跑出来的只有少数,且大量同类款没有形成可复制的稳定胜率。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不适合你现在进入。 你的预算 50万CNY 只够覆盖少数单品的前期铺货与投放,但市场已经明显是价格战环境:整体可判断盈利的产品里,盈利率只有27.03%,而新品盈利率虽有50%,但样本只有3个,不能代表真实可复制机会。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已进入价格战区,且对新卖家不友好。 现在能看到的新品牌里,盈利新款只有50%(Tobfit、Amazfit),另一半已经亏损;同时大量同类老品牌产品也在掉进非盈利区,说明不是简单“做个新品就能赚钱”,而是被相似款和低价竞争反复挤压。
结论很明确:这个市场可以进入,但不是给小商家随便切入的市场;它更适合有品牌力、能持续投放的玩家。 目前看不到你担心的那种“30~100+新品牌涌入”的严重过热信号,反而是新品牌里只有少数能跑出来,说明市场有门槛,但还没到完全挤爆。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0C6238QDQ | Dirrelo | 2023-05-23 | Yes | $15.99 | 500pcs | $7995.0 | 31.08% | $2484.85 |
![]() | B0B63DZGZS | Ouwegaga | 2022-07-08 | Yes | $13.72 | 500pcs | $6860.0 | 25.55% | $1752.73 |
![]() | B0BCW44KSP | Maledan | 2022-09-02 | Yes | $15.51 | 300pcs | $4653.0 | 30.59% | $1423.36 |
![]() | B0FH6VRVK1 | Amazfit | 2025-12-17 | Yes | $15.01 | 200pcs | $3002.0 | 30.11% | $903.91 |
![]() | B0GGBCZ9QK | Tobfit | 2026-01-12 | Yes | $10.11 | 400pcs | $4044.0 | 18.05% | $729.95 |
![]() | B0CGVFT3F8 | Maledan | 2023-08-29 | Yes | $8.56 | 500pcs | $4280.0 | 14.85% | $635.58 |
![]() | B0B8539K3T | Ouwegaga | 2022-07-30 | Yes | $14.99 | 50pcs | $749.5 | 29.96% | $224.56 |
![]() | B08G4ZDR7J | Dirrelo | 2020-08-18 | Yes | $12.99 | 50pcs | $649.5 | 26.99% | $175.31 |
![]() | B0GGBCW78L | Tobfit | 2026-01-12 | Yes | $13.28 | 50pcs | $664.0 | 25.66% | $170.39 |
![]() | B0CGVHBZNG | Maledan | 2023-08-29 | Yes | $9.35 | 100pcs | $935.0 | 17.61% | $164.66 |
![]() | B0D63CNKZN | Maledan | 2024-06-04 | Yes | $11.76 | 50pcs | $588.0 | 23.82% | $140.07 |
![]() | B098QC76WW | Fuleda | 2021-07-06 | Yes | $10.99 | 50pcs | $549.5 | 21.89% | $120.29 |
![]() | B0CM63HPB4 | Folavii | 2023-10-31 | Yes | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 20.02% | $100.0 |
![]() | B0D6361R93 | Maledan | 2024-06-04 | Yes | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 19.91% | $99.46 |
![]() | B0D633S733 | Maledan | 2024-06-04 | Yes | $9.98 | 50pcs | $499.0 | 18.47% | $92.17 |
![]() | B0DZSS1T9P | AK | 2025-03-07 | Yes | $9.8 | 50pcs | $490.0 | 18.45% | $90.41 |
![]() | B0DZSNW5J5 | AK | 2025-03-07 | Yes | $9.71 | 50pcs | $485.5 | 18.2% | $88.37 |
![]() | B0DZST7CNK | AK | 2025-03-07 | Yes | $9.79 | 50pcs | $489.5 | 17.77% | $86.99 |
![]() | B0CGVHH7GS | Maledan | 2023-08-29 | Yes | $9.41 | 50pcs | $470.5 | 18.01% | $84.74 |
![]() | B0CGVGF612 | Maledan | 2023-08-29 | Yes | $9.32 | 50pcs | $466.0 | 17.44% | $81.28 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FH6VRVK1 | Amazfit | 2025-12-17 | Yes | $15.01 | 200pcs | $3002.0 | 30.11% | $903.91 |
![]() | B0GGBCZ9QK | Tobfit | 2026-01-12 | Yes | $10.11 | 400pcs | $4044.0 | 18.05% | $729.95 |
![]() | B0GGBCW78L | Tobfit | 2026-01-12 | Yes | $13.28 | 50pcs | $664.0 | 25.66% | $170.39 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经接近/落在严重价格战区,且小品牌与大品牌都没有足够安全的胜率。 新品牌里可验证的成功样本只有 2 个品牌、3 个盈利新品;失败样本同样 3 个,成功率只有 50%,但这是在极小样本下的结果,不足以说明市场宽松。更关键的是,整体盈利产品率只有 27.03%,新上架产品里也只有 50% 显示盈利,而大量产品利润率集中在 10%~30% 区间,低于 10% 的样本虽未占主流,但同类产品普遍卖到 9.98~15.01 美元,空间非常薄,属于高竞争、靠差异化和品牌力硬挤的市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是高竞争、接近价格战的危险区,不适合大品牌也不适合小品牌。 近期真正能跑出来的新品非常少,成功几乎被少数品牌和少数ASIN吃掉;以当前趋势看,入场只会面对更高投放和更低利润。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |