
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,已经接近饱和并且明显在打价格战。 新品牌为 0,近 16 个新上架里只有 1 个赚钱,成功率只有 6.25%,低于 10% 高风险线;同时新产品里 92.31% 不赚钱,利润中枢也只落在 16.82%~30.16%,但新款表现正在走弱,不是增量市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:不建议进入,这个市场对新卖家是高风险、接近价格战的环境。 用户预算 50万人民币看起来能覆盖少数单品的起步费用,但市场里真正能跑出来的新品太少,且老品牌占据主导,新品牌几乎没有可复制的成功路径。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不该进入:已明显接近/进入饱和,而且新进入者几乎没有成功空间。 现有市场盈利率只有45.56%,但新发布产品的盈利率只有6.25%,再加上近一年新品牌几乎为零、今年连续出现多个月份新品以失败为主,说明竞争在加剧而不是打开机会。
这个市场不适合现在进入:利润结构显示明显价格战,且新产品几乎没有真正的高利润空间。 新品里只有1/16能做到10%~20%利润,0个新品超过20%,而且2025-2026的新发布里几乎都被老品牌占位,市场正在往更激烈竞争方向走,不是上升机会。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
B0D17C3ZVJ | TECKNET | 2024-04-09 | Yes | $27.6 | 2000pcs | $55200.0 | 17.95% | $9908.4 | |
![]() | B09BVCVTBC | Redragon | 2021-08-04 | Yes | $42.85 | 500pcs | $21425.0 | 38.54% | $8257.2 |
![]() | B098LG3N6R | MageGee | 2021-07-03 | Yes | $27.02 | 1000pcs | $27020.0 | 27.58% | $7452.12 |
![]() | B0CP5SZ2JB | DIERYA | 2024-01-30 | Yes | $39.99 | 400pcs | $15996.0 | 33.57% | $5369.86 |
![]() | B09BVD39P8 | Redragon | 2021-08-04 | Yes | $42.43 | 300pcs | $12729.0 | 34.79% | $4428.42 |
![]() | B0DSL67F2B | TMKB Technology Mechanical KeyBoard | 2025-03-26 | Yes | $29.63 | 500pcs | $14815.0 | 26.01% | $3853.39 |
![]() | B0BGXZF1MD | DIERYA | 2023-01-13 | Yes | $29.69 | 500pcs | $14845.0 | 25.93% | $3849.31 |
![]() | B097T276QL | Snpurdiri | 2021-06-07 | Yes | $18.39 | 800pcs | $14712.0 | 20.37% | $2996.84 |
![]() | B0CS2BJWXS | Newmen | 2024-01-11 | Yes | $25.92 | 400pcs | $10368.0 | 21.42% | $2220.83 |
![]() | B0FGXK7X6F | Redragon | 2025-07-07 | Yes | $34.78 | 200pcs | $6956.0 | 27.82% | $1935.16 |
![]() | B092CHWH1D | MageGee | 2021-04-13 | Yes | $27.01 | 200pcs | $5402.0 | 27.43% | $1481.77 |
![]() | B0CP5P1N5H | DIERYA | 2024-01-30 | Yes | $39.99 | 100pcs | $3999.0 | 33.65% | $1345.67 |
![]() | B0CP5PC7ZY | DIERYA | 2024-01-30 | Yes | $39.99 | 100pcs | $3999.0 | 33.62% | $1344.47 |
![]() | B09WQKSHM5 | MageGee | 2021-07-27 | Yes | $27.19 | 200pcs | $5438.0 | 23.19% | $1261.08 |
![]() | B097BDWXHM | MageGee | 2021-06-16 | Yes | $27.87 | 200pcs | $5574.0 | 21.14% | $1178.35 |
![]() | B08F7GZDT2 | MageGee | 2020-08-04 | Yes | $18.17 | 300pcs | $5451.0 | 20.9% | $1139.26 |
![]() | B08CFPXPB7 | Redragon | 2020-07-06 | Yes | $26.72 | 200pcs | $5344.0 | 19.33% | $1033.0 |
![]() | B0D2R9MYS8 | Camiysn | 2024-04-26 | Yes | $36.75 | 100pcs | $3675.0 | 23.91% | $878.7 |
![]() | B0FPQZQ9YC | GEODMAER | 2025-09-04 | Yes | $16.95 | 500pcs | $8475.0 | 10.15% | $860.22 |
![]() | B09DK9CSTQ | Camiysn | 2021-08-25 | Yes | $36.11 | 100pcs | $3611.0 | 23.47% | $847.51 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FPQZQ9YC | GEODMAER | 2025-09-04 | Yes | $16.95 | 500pcs | $8475.0 | 10.15% | $860.22 |
这个市场不值得进入:新产品成功率只有7.69%,低于10%的高风险线;新上架产品里92.31%不赚钱,而且成功几乎只来自旧品牌借老链接做新款,真正的新品牌几乎没有正向样本。对小卖家来说,这不是可复制的机会,更像是旧品牌主导、靠强投放和品牌势能才能活下来的市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这不是一个适合新玩家进入的市场:整体已经明显偏饱和,且新进入者的赚钱表现很弱。 2025-2026 年新品集中涌入,但最近一批新上架里几乎都是老品牌在互相内卷,利润率也在走弱,说明这里更像价格战市场,不是增量市场。
从时间走势看,2025 年新上架还比较少,但 2026 年开始明显加速,已出现至少 5 个老品牌(Guiheng、DIERYA、GEODMAER、Redragon、Camiysn)持续推新;最新月份里新上架 3 个是亏损、2 个只是“其他”状态,没有稳定的新品牌成功样本。按当前数据,新上架盈利率只有 6.25%,远低于可接受水平;而整体可识别利润产品占比 45.56%,但新上架里大多数并没有真正跑通。更关键的是,成功案例几乎都来自老品牌:GEODMAER 的 B0FPQZQ9YC、Redragon 的 B0FGXK7X6F、TMKB 的 B0DSL67F2B、Snpurdiri 的 B0CP8S38FC,都是靠老链接/品牌力/低价或强功能差异化撑起来;反过来,失败样本集中在 DIERYA、Guiheng、Redragon 的新款上,像 B0FGXKVK78、B0FSQJZJRH、B0G1XP5BDY、B0GQM1DBQR 这类都因同质化、低利润或竞争太强而失败。你当前预算 50万 CNY 足够启动单个 ASIN,但这里不是“预算够就能赢”的市场,许多成功款还依赖品牌沉淀、老链接转化和更高营销投入,单靠首发预算不够。
对大品牌来说,这个市场勉强可能进入,但必须重投并跟随已验证款:建议只参考 GEODMAER B0FPQZQ9YC、Redragon B0FGXK7X6F、TMKB B0DSL67F2B 这类已经跑通的老品牌产品逻辑;对小商家来说,不建议进入,因为没有真正可复制的“新品牌成功”证据,且没有看到 300 评价以内的健康小品牌胜出案例,更多是老品牌之间的对打。结论很直接:先不要进场,除非你能做出明显功能创新并接受重营销投入,否则大概率会被卷进低利润甚至亏损区。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |