
这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战/同质化战场。 近一年只有3个新品牌进入(Katomula、twinklemon、BS ONE),但新品牌新发布产品成功率是0%,新增14个新品里0个盈利;整体新发布产品里,已识别利润区间只有-6.23%到16.34%,说明大多数新品利润很薄,已经接近或落入低利润挤压区。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论:这个市场不值得进入,用户预算足够做单个ASIN的起步,但不足以对抗这里已经成型的价格竞争。 现有数据里,新品牌新上架的成功率是0%,新品牌新上架的失败率是100%,而整体可识别产品里只有26.14%盈利,说明不是“好做的低门槛市场”,而是已经进入了明显的挤压阶段。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合现在进入:近一年新进入品牌几乎全军覆没,13个新发布样本里盈利率是0%,而且2025年以来新增的非盈利新品持续出现,明显是价格战+同质化的高风险市场。 你现在更应该把它当成“只能靠老牌资源硬拼”的市场,而不是适合新品牌或小卖家切入的机会。
这个市场不值得进入:新产品层面已经明显失去机会,且不是适合小商家切入的市场。 现有数据里,新上架产品的盈利表现几乎全线失败,过去一段时间的新增产品也没有出现可复制的健康盈利样本,说明这里更像是被老品牌和重营销玩家挤压出来的低利润战场,而不是正常增长市场。
证据很直接:新产品利润分布里,已知利润样本中只有35.71%在0~10%区间、7.14%在10~20%、7.14%在20~30%,而50.00%根本没有形成有效盈利数据;结合新增产品样本,13个新产品里100%都是非盈利。时间趋势也在恶化,2025年新增的样本里只有亏损,没有任何新产品盈利;2026年继续出现亏损与未验证成功的新品,说明不是在扩张,而是在加剧内卷。典型失败案例包括 BOOMIBOO 的 B0GWLTBYBB、B0GWM25VND、B0GWLW3B19,每个都只有 $499.5 左右月营收却对应亏损;PUPTILY 的 B0FPD3KQZH、Katomula 的 B0FRMCDWLD 也没有跑通。相反,少数赚钱款几乎都来自老牌力量:Vault X 的 B071V91LGC 月营收 $299,900、月利润 $68,197;Fabmaker 的 B0DJ788S2R、B0DJ78R2G3、B0DJ77SNN5 才刚到 $20 左右价格 仍靠旧链接与功能升级维持利润,说明成功主要靠品牌积累、老链接基础和差异化,而不是新品牌自然起量。市场投资门槛也不低,单个新品的早期投入建议大约是 1708.66 USD,换算约 1.2万 CNY,这还不含研发、认证和品牌成本;而你手头 500,000 CNY 虽然够做单品,但在这个市场里并不能改变“低利润+高竞争”的本质。
对两类卖家都一样:大品牌能做,但要重投入;小商家不该进。 大品牌可参考的只有 Vault X 的高客单高容量路线,或 Fabmaker/TCGUARD 这种通过功能升级、外观差异和旧链接承接流量的打法;对应 ASIN 可看 B071V91LGC、B07S93V4GP、B082J4H9D3、B0DJ788S2R、B0DJ78R2G3、B0F5W61XN5、B0F5W6X2FS。但对小商家来说,真正能算“正常成功”的新品牌样本几乎没有,现有新品牌不是亏损就是未证明盈利;若想竞争,必须走高差异化、强内容和强投放,接近“掠夺式营销”才能挤进去,不适合普通小商家。结论很明确:不要进入。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B071V91LGC | Vault X | 2018-06-21 | Yes | $29.99 | 10000pcs | $299900.0 | 22.74% | $68197.26 |
![]() | B07S93V4GP | Vault X | 2018-06-26 | Yes | $32.99 | 3000pcs | $98970.0 | 20.68% | $20467.0 |
![]() | B082J4H9D3 | Vault X | 2018-06-26 | Yes | $29.99 | 2000pcs | $59980.0 | 23.23% | $13933.36 |
![]() | B08G8VL2C2 | Vault X | 2019-05-03 | Yes | $32.99 | 1000pcs | $32990.0 | 22.94% | $7567.91 |
![]() | B08G8JJWXT | Vault X | 2019-05-03 | Yes | $32.99 | 1000pcs | $32990.0 | 22.43% | $7399.66 |
![]() | B08G8X4BPX | Vault X | 2019-05-03 | Yes | $32.99 | 1000pcs | $32990.0 | 20.89% | $6891.62 |
![]() | B08G8WM865 | Vault X | 2019-05-03 | Yes | $32.99 | 900pcs | $29691.0 | 22.61% | $6713.14 |
![]() | B0D2KKTLDM | Fabmaker | 2024-04-24 | Yes | $20.67 | 300pcs | $6201.0 | 10.31% | $639.33 |
![]() | B0DJ788S2R | Fabmaker | 2024-09-29 | Yes | $20.84 | 200pcs | $4168.0 | 11.87% | $494.75 |
![]() | B0DJ78R2G3 | Fabmaker | 2024-09-29 | Yes | $20.78 | 200pcs | $4156.0 | 11.6% | $482.1 |
![]() | B0F5W61XN5 | TCGUARD | 2025-04-22 | Yes | $21.99 | 100pcs | $2199.0 | 21.32% | $468.83 |
![]() | B0F5W6X2FS | TCGUARD | 2025-04-22 | Yes | $21.89 | 100pcs | $2189.0 | 20.92% | $457.94 |
![]() | B0D2K8C7X7 | Fabmaker | 2024-04-24 | Yes | $20.84 | 200pcs | $4168.0 | 10.37% | $432.23 |
![]() | B0D2KJ5J14 | Fabmaker | 2024-04-24 | Yes | $20.05 | 200pcs | $4010.0 | 10.11% | $405.42 |
![]() | B0F53S2HY9 | TCGUARD | 2025-05-25 | Yes | $24.25 | 100pcs | $2425.0 | 15.11% | $366.42 |
![]() | B0DJ77SNN5 | Fabmaker | 2024-09-29 | Yes | $21.18 | 100pcs | $2118.0 | 12.6% | $266.87 |
![]() | B0DJ794VJ3 | Fabmaker | 2024-09-29 | Yes | $21.1 | 100pcs | $2110.0 | 11.97% | $252.57 |
![]() | B0BWDCNK41 | Fabmaker | 2023-02-21 | Yes | $19.79 | 100pcs | $1979.0 | 12.35% | $244.41 |
![]() | B0F62BJ2HR | Fabmaker | 2025-04-23 | Yes | $20.95 | 100pcs | $2095.0 | 11.51% | $241.14 |
![]() | B0F5W6H6MT | TCGUARD | 2025-04-22 | Yes | $21.88 | 50pcs | $1094.0 | 21.22% | $232.15 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FPD3KQZH | PUPTILY | 2025-09-01 | No | $9.84 | 50pcs | $492.0 | 2.13% | $10.48 |
![]() | B0GWLTBYBB | BOOMIBOO | 2026-04-09 | No | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 2.38% | $11.89 |
![]() | B0GWM25VND | BOOMIBOO | 2026-04-09 | No | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 3.18% | $15.89 |
![]() | B0GWLW3B19 | BOOMIBOO | 2026-04-09 | No | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 3.22% | $16.09 |
![]() | B0FRMCDWLD | Katomula | 2025-11-16 | No | $25.67 | 50pcs | $1283.5 | 16.08% | $206.39 |
![]() | B0FKN4ZTHM | ULLTOON | 2025-08-31 | No | $20.54 | 500pcs | $10270.0 | 4.66% | $478.59 |
![]() | B0H3KJQH89 | MCPESAS | 2026-06-01 | No | $29.99 | -pcs | $- | 29.46% | $- |
![]() | B0G4VWHH7X | Yifan | 2025-12-03 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G1X7RSZQ | Katomula | 2025-11-12 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GVMQ7B5J | PUPTILY | 2026-04-01 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0H6R51BNS | Vault X | 2026-06-26 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FVSYZNVN | twinklemon | 2025-10-11 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FMDF7S9Z | BS ONE | 2025-08-13 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,已经是价格战+高壁垒的高风险市场。 新品总体成功率为0%,新品牌新品成功率也是0%,而且可见的新品牌里并没有真正的低门槛成功案例,说明新进入者几乎没有合法空间。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,已经进入价格战+过度拥挤状态。 近一年所有可识别的新上架产品里,利润型新产品占比是 0%,而整体可识别盈利产品也只有 26.14%,说明最近的新增机会几乎全部被打成了低利润或亏损。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |