Heavy Duty Combination Padlock, 4 Digit Resettable Combo Lock with Long Shackle, Weather Resistant Body and Cut Resistant Shackle for Fence Gates, Yard Gates, Sheds, Chains, Outdoor Hasps, 2 Pack
Combination Padlocks - 产品分析报告
  • Benchmark ASIN
    B0GWQ7ZG33
  • Marketplace
    US
  • Category ID
    511382
  • Analyzed Products
  • Keyword
    tool box
  • Price Range
    -
  • Minimum Net Profit Margin
    10.00%
  • MOQ
    100
  • Est. Purchasing Cost
    ¥14.95estimated
  • Data Date
    2026-08-01
  • Your Budget (for new listing) (CNY)
    ¥500,000.00
Profitability Difficulty
Medium
Moderate Risk Due to Price Competition
Newly Released Counts (All Brands)
9
New Brand (9)
Old Brand (0)
Success rate (all brands)
0.00%
New Brand (0.00%)
Old Brand (0%)
Most products net profit margin range
3.97% - 22.26%
Listing

Report summary from Keble AI Agent: Listing

这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战市场。从近一年新品牌和新上架结果看,4个新品牌、9个新新品,盈利率都是0%,而且最近一批新品几乎全军覆没;这不是“选品问题”,而是整个赛道已经进入低利润、强竞争、靠常规打法很难赚钱的阶段。

Recommended Products Features Direction
B0FLQ3G785
Why do customers choose it?
  • 常见4位密码挂锁造型,外观与同类产品差异很小
  • 侧窗调码设计,支持单手设置密码
  • 需要户外/储物柜/工具箱通用防水密码锁的低价采购用户
  • Sales
    Avg. price: $12.99|Latest price: $12.99|Approx. recent monthly revenue: $649.50 (50 pcs)|Net profit margin: 2.17%
    B0DNZ3BW49
    Why do customers choose it?
  • 红色款,外观上无明显差异化
  • 常规圆弧挂梁+数字拨轮的通用组合锁形态,设计非常大众化
  • 5位密码比常见4位更安全,但属于通用功能升级,差异化有限
  • 面向学校储物柜、健身房储物柜和工具箱等基础安防需求用户,客群非常泛化
  • Sales
    Avg. price: $9.98|Latest price: $9.98|Approx. recent monthly revenue: - (- pcs)|Net profit margin: 7.12%

    These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.

    New Brands
    VS
    Old Brands
    4 new brands4 old brands
    4 brands have new listings0 brands have new listings
    9 new listings0 new listings
    0 succeeded
    0 succeeded
    9 failed
    0 failed

    Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.

    New Brands
    ...
    Old Brands
    ...

      How much did others invest?

      Collapse
    • #Budget Requirement

      Listing

      这不是适合进入的市场:已明显处于价格战和过度饱和状态,用户5万人民币预算足以做单个ASIN的前期启动,但不足以在这个赛道里打赢。 依据是:该市场样本里可识别的盈利产品占比为0%,新上架产品盈利率也是0%,而近一年的新品牌新品表现几乎全军覆没,说明不是“能不能进”,而是“进去后很难活下来”。

      Early sourcing + logistics + marketing budget (USD)
      N/A
      Explains the budget

      With all these investments, who has profitable new releases

      How many new listings are released by old brands?
      0.00%
      New listing success rate (new brands):
      0.00%
      Alternatives
      1. 现成钥匙箱/小型钥匙保险盒:价格通常接近或低于高配密码锁,适合“忘带钥匙/共享取用”场景,安装后比独立锁更省心,尤其适合门口、车库、办公室钥匙管理。
      2. 简单弹簧插销/门闩配件:如果用户只是想临时固定工具箱、柜门或储物箱,这类五金件往往更便宜、无需记忆密码,安装门槛低,适合低频使用场景。
      3. 可重复使用的扎带/封条锁:用于临时封箱、固定工具包或旅行收纳,成本更低、操作更快,且对“防开启痕迹”比通用挂锁更直接,适合短期防拆需求。
      4. 带挂钩的密码行李扣/拉链锁:如果用户主要是给行李箱、背包、拉链袋上锁,这类替代品通常更轻便、上手更简单,体积更小,也更符合轻量出行场景。
      5. 带锁扣的收纳盒/工具箱:与其单独买锁,不如直接选自带锁扣或卡扣的箱体,整体成本有时更低,而且减少了选锁、配锁和兼容性问题。
      6. 共享式固定密码挂锁(例如统一默认密码的小组合锁):适合学校、健身房、临时租赁场景,用户无需频繁设码或记忆复杂密码,使用门槛更低,但安全性也够覆盖低风险用途。

      Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.

    • #Brands Investment Analysis

      Listing

      这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战市场。 现有数据里,整体可判定产品的盈利率是0%,新上架产品盈利率也是0%;而且新品牌在2025-2026年持续涌入,已经出现了超饱和信号,用户不该继续推进。

      Diyife
      Most investment in new productsLeast investment in new productsNew products with Highest revenue
      Diyife 4-Digit Combination Lock, Outdoor Waterproof Resettable Padlock
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):-(-)
      B0FL7MBZJQ (4.3/5 (4853 Reviews))Brand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      Diyife 4 Weatherproof Digit Combination Padlock, for School Gym Locker
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):-(-)
      B0GXZ3QQDSBrand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      4 Digit Combination Padlock, Diyife Weatherproof Outdoor Password Padlock
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):$649.50(50pcs/month)
      B0FLQ3G785 (4.3/5 (4853 Reviews))Brand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      Bosvision
      Old brand with the most profitable new products
      Bosvision BV-8861 Combination Padlock
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):-(-)
      B08QZXZLYTBrand is an old entry in this market
      Old ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQOld ReleaseNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      Bosvision Combination Padlock for Gym Locker and Escape Room, Code Padlock, 7.8mm Shackle
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):$824.50(50pcs/month)
      B00DFBWPY0 (4.2/5 (564 Reviews))Brand is an old entry in this market
      Old ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQOld ReleaseNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      Li-TianFeng
      Least profitable new products
      4-Digit Combination Padlock, Black Waterproof Security Lock, 2 Pack, Heavy Duty Steel for School Gym Lockers, Doors, Suitcases, Fences, Tool Boxes
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):-(-)
      B0FPBL1H4F (4.1/5 (15 Reviews))Brand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      4-Digit Combination Padlock, Black Waterproof Security Lock, 2 Pack, Heavy Duty Steel for School Gym Lockers, Doors, Suitcases, Fences, Tool Boxes
      Recent Monthly Revenue (USD):-(-)
      B0FWY7LQZVBrand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
    • #Differentiations

      Unique productsCommon products
      4 Digit Combination Padlock, Diyife Weatherproof Outdoor Password Padlock
      Differentiation:
      1. 四个同款套装,画面更有“多件装”购买感
      2. 粉色外观更醒目,图片识别度高
      3. 侧窗调码设计有一点差异化,容易吸引点击
      B0FLQ3G785 (4.3/5 (4853 Reviews))Brand is a new entry in this market
      New ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQUnderperformingNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
      SISAV 5 Digit Combination Lock,Gym Padlock,Replaceable Combination Lock,Suitable for School Lockers,Tool Boxes,Fences,Red(1 Pack)
      Differentiation:
      1. 红色单只更突出,缩略图更容易被注意
      2. 5位密码轮盘有安全感,适合偏好更高防护的用户
      3. 与常见4位锁相比,功能升级更明确
      B0DNZ3BW49 (4.1/5 (156 Reviews))Brand is an old entry in this market
      Old ReleaseInsufficient Sales to Meet MOQOld ReleaseNot enough sales volume to meet 100 MOQ
    • What net profit margin are others making?

      Collapse
    • #Net Profit Margins: All vs New

      Listing

      这个市场不适合进入,已经明显进入低利润、强价格战状态。 新品牌几乎没有真正跑通的案例:新品牌新品盈利率为0%,而且新上新产品里,Diyife、Li-TianFeng、Nimite、CMZVZDM这些新品牌的新品全部都没达到盈利,说明不是普通小卖家能靠常规打法切入的市场。

      Profitability difficulty
      Moderate Risk Due to Price Competition

      All products distribution on different profit levels

      All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.

      x < -10.0%
      -10.0% <= x < 0.0%
      0.0% <= x < 10.0%
      10.0% <= x < 20.0%
      20.0% <= x < 30.0%
      30.0% <= x < 40.0%
      x >= 40.0%
      other

      New products distribution on different profit levels

      This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'

      x < -10.0%
      -10.0% <= x < 0.0%
      0.0% <= x < 10.0%
      10.0% <= x < 20.0%
      20.0% <= x < 30.0%
      30.0% <= x < 40.0%
      x >= 40.0%
      other
    • #Top Products by Net Profit Margin

      Top 20 Non-Profitable Products

      Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.

      B0FLQ3G785
      B0FLQ3G785
      Diyife
      2025-09-28
      No
      $12.99
      50pcs
      $649.5
      2.17%
      $14.1
      B00DFBWPY0
      B00DFBWPY0
      Bosvision
      2013-08-18
      No
      $16.49
      50pcs
      $824.5
      24.76%
      $204.15
      B0DNZ38G5L
      B0DNZ38G5L
      SISAV
      2024-11-25
      No
      $16.59
      -pcs
      $-
      20.84%
      $-
      B0DNZ3BW49
      B0DNZ3BW49
      SISAV
      2024-11-25
      No
      $9.98
      -pcs
      $-
      7.12%
      $-
      B0CDWDR22N
      B0CDWDR22N
      TAORANJU
      2023-08-07
      No
      $7.45
      -pcs
      $-
      0.82%
      $-
      B0DNZ2S3SW
      B0DNZ2S3SW
      SISAV
      2024-11-25
      No
      $9.98
      -pcs
      $-
      6.84%
      $-
      B0DNZ2S96Y
      B0DNZ2S96Y
      SISAV
      2024-11-25
      No
      $16.59
      -pcs
      $-
      20.12%
      $-
      B0FPBL1H4F
      B0FPBL1H4F
      Li-TianFeng
      2025-08-31
      No
      $9.78
      -pcs
      $-
      1.69%
      $-
      B0D7X6MTJZ
      B0D7X6MTJZ
      SISAV
      2024-06-24
      No
      $11.95
      -pcs
      $-
      13.83%
      $-
      B0H41DJMMK
      B0H41DJMMK
      Nimite
      2026-06-04
      No
      $15.82
      -pcs
      $-
      16.28%
      $-
      B0FL7MBZJQ
      B0FL7MBZJQ
      Diyife
      2025-09-09
      No
      $15.2
      -pcs
      $-
      13.32%
      $-
      B0GWQ7ZG33
      B0GWQ7ZG33
      CMZVZDM
      2026-05-27
      No
      $24.91
      -pcs
      $-
      29.6%
      $-
      B08QZXZLYT
      B08QZXZLYT
      Bosvision
      2020-12-18
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0FWY7LQZV
      B0FWY7LQZV
      Li-TianFeng
      2025-10-18
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B09PFXDW7K
      B09PFXDW7K
      SISAV
      2021-12-30
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B09FP9TRN6
      B09FP9TRN6
      SISAV
      2021-09-08
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0F1ZVS863
      B0F1ZVS863
      UP Security
      2024-12-09
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0H2TXHJ2N
      B0H2TXHJ2N
      CMZVZDM
      2026-05-25
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0H443G7YH
      B0H443G7YH
      Nimite
      2026-06-04
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0GXZ3QQDS
      B0GXZ3QQDS
      Diyife
      2026-04-21
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-

      Top 20 Non-Profitable New Products

      New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.

      B0FLQ3G785
      B0FLQ3G785
      Diyife
      2025-09-28
      No
      $12.99
      50pcs
      $649.5
      2.17%
      $14.1
      B0FPBL1H4F
      B0FPBL1H4F
      Li-TianFeng
      2025-08-31
      No
      $9.78
      -pcs
      $-
      1.69%
      $-
      B0H41DJMMK
      B0H41DJMMK
      Nimite
      2026-06-04
      No
      $15.82
      -pcs
      $-
      16.28%
      $-
      B0FL7MBZJQ
      B0FL7MBZJQ
      Diyife
      2025-09-09
      No
      $15.2
      -pcs
      $-
      13.32%
      $-
      B0GWQ7ZG33
      B0GWQ7ZG33
      CMZVZDM
      2026-05-27
      No
      $24.91
      -pcs
      $-
      29.6%
      $-
      B0FWY7LQZV
      B0FWY7LQZV
      Li-TianFeng
      2025-10-18
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0H2TXHJ2N
      B0H2TXHJ2N
      CMZVZDM
      2026-05-25
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0H443G7YH
      B0H443G7YH
      Nimite
      2026-06-04
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
      B0GXZ3QQDS
      B0GXZ3QQDS
      Diyife
      2026-04-21
      No
      $-
      -pcs
      $-
      -%
      $-
    • Is this a good time to enter the market?

      Collapse
    • #New Product Success Rates

      Listing

      这个市场不适合进入,已经明显是价格战+低成功率的高风险市场。新品牌几乎没有真正跑通的案例,现有新上架产品全军覆没,连老品牌也在大量失利,说明不是“谁更会做产品”就能赢,而是“谁更能砸预算、卷投放、卷价格”。

      New products success rate.

      What is the ratio of profitable products

      Profitable (Unidentifiable released date)
      Profitable (Old product)
      Profitable (New product)
      Profitable (New product on old listing)
      New products but non profitable
      No data available

      Nonprofitable new products divide by brands

      What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products

      Diyife
      Li-TianFeng
      Nimite
      CMZVZDM
    • #Success Rate by Entry Time

      Listing

      这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已进入低利润/价格战区,新品牌几乎没有成功样本。 近期开新明显在增加,但利润端完全跟不上,最新能看到的新品几乎全是亏损;对小品牌和大品牌来说都不是好市场,贸然进入风险很高。

      从数据看,2025到2026的新品牌新品几乎都是失败案例,且没有任何可确认的盈利新品牌样本。市场新发布产品里可识别盈利率为0%,总体盈利产品占比也是0%;时间上,2025年5个新品牌新品、2026年又有5个新品牌新品,但都没有转化成盈利。更关键的是,近期开出的代表性新品里,CMZVZDM 的 B0GWQ7ZG33 早期投入约2796.77美元,当前利润率29.6%,但销量是每月50件且被判定为非盈利、非活跃;Diyife 的 B0FLQ3G785、B0FL7MBZJQ、B0GXZ3QQDS 全部非盈利,Li-TianFeng 的 B0FPBL1H4F 只有1.69%利润率,B0FWY7LQZV也同样失败。Diyife 作为新进入品牌,3个产品里0个盈利,成功率0%;Li-TianFeng 也是0%成功率。Bosvision 这种老品牌虽然有24.76%利润率的老产品 B00DFBWPY0,但这不代表新品牌可复制,因为它是成熟老品牌,不属于小品牌成功案例。

      判断非常直接:这个市场对小品牌没有可复制的真成功案例,对大品牌也不是“砸钱就能赢”的市场,而是更接近过度竞争。 你给的预算500000 CNY看起来够单个ASIN启动,但这里的问题不是启动资金,而是市场里最近的新品牌新品根本打不出利润;如果要硬进,至少得按大品牌打法做长期品牌、研发和投放,且还要面对类似“好看但不赚钱”的新品。建议直接放弃进入;如果非要跟,唯一可参考的是老品牌 Bosvision 的成熟款 B00DFBWPY0 和其旧系列打法,但这更像守成模板,不是新进入机会。

      How many products released each year

      Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing

      How many products released each month

      Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing

    • #Net Profit Margins by Entry Time

      Different profit ratios of products released in year

      Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.

      Time/Profit%x < -10.0%-10.0% <= x < 0.0%0.0% <= x < 10.0%10.0% <= x < 20.0%20.0% <= x < 30.0%30.0% <= x < 40.0%x >= 40.0%other
      202200000000
      202300000000
      202400000000
      202500000004
      202600000005
      ≥ 10% Profitable
      < 10% Unprofitable
      Unidentifiable

      Different profit ratios of products released in month

      Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.

      Time/Profit%x < -10.0%-10.0% <= x < 0.0%0.0% <= x < 10.0%10.0% <= x < 20.0%20.0% <= x < 30.0%30.0% <= x < 40.0%x >= 40.0%other
      2025/800000001
      2025/900000002
      2025/1000000001
      2025/1100000000
      2025/1200000000
      2026/100000000
      2026/200000000
      2026/300000000
      2026/400000001
      2026/500000002
      2026/600000002
      2026/700000000
      ≥ 10% Profitable
      < 10% Unprofitable
      Unidentifiable
    • What factors contribute to success or failure?

      Collapse
    • #Case Study

      Success Cases
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