
这个市场不适合进入,已经进入价格战区,且对新品牌几乎没有容错。新品牌只看到 2 个,BOKUGE 和 OIRBYKDG 的 4 个新上架产品里,盈利率是 0%,最近新增产品也没有任何可复制的盈利案例;同时利润区间落在 -53.64% 到 -22.98%,说明不是“还能拼一拼”的市场,而是明显被成本和售价一起压住了。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不能进入,这个市场已经是高风险价格战区,不适合大品牌也不适合小商家。 目前可见的新进入品牌里,BOKUGE 和 OIRBYKDG 都是新品牌,但各自 2 个可识别新品全是亏损,市场新品盈利率是 0.00%,整体盈利率也是 0.00%,这不是“可试水”的环境,而是明显的低毛利、强竞争环境。
证据很直接: 用户预算是 500,000 CNY,表面上足够覆盖单个 ASIN 的前期投入,但这里的门槛不是“能不能买货”,而是“能不能活下来”。BOKUGE 的成功款 B0GHRNTM3R 虽然做到 4.8 分、133 条评论、月销 3,000、月营收约 1,287,000,但它的同品牌新品 B0GHRDGW1B 直接无销量;OIRBYKDG 的新品 B0FQJ33PWH 只拿到 4 条评论,B0G7TPW1DM 甚至还没形成可验证销售。对比老牌 iDesign,B073XSM1F5 有 6,201 条评论、但月销只有 50、月营收约 15,250,而且利润率高达 -59.68%,说明这个赛道不是靠常规铺货能赚钱,而是被成本和价格压得很狠。换句话说,哪怕你有 50 万 CNY,也只是够“进场”,不够“长期撑住”,因为报告里的预算只覆盖前几个月采购、物流和推广,不包含研发、品牌和认证这些长期成本。\n\n结论:不要进。 大品牌若硬要做,只能模仿 iDesign 这种老牌资源型玩家,但它本身也在亏;小商家没有真正的成功模板可抄,当前唯一看起来跑量的 B0GHRNTM3R 也并不能证明可复制,因为它更像是高投入换来的短期销量,而不是健康利润模型。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,核心结论很明确:新品牌新款几乎全军覆没,利润率和成功率都在红线以下。 现有数据里,新品牌新发布产品盈利率是0%,新发布产品整体盈利率也是0%,而且样本里两家新品牌 BOKUGE、OIRBYKDG 的4个新款全部亏损,说明这是一个很强的价格战/低利润市场,不是适合小品牌硬冲的地方。
这个市场不建议进入,已经是明显的低利润/价格战市场,而且对新品牌几乎没有容错。 现有样本里,新品牌新上架产品盈利率是0%,新品牌新上架非盈利率是100%,连老品牌新上架也没有任何盈利案例;再看利润分布,能确认利润率的样本里有50%低于-10%,其余也几乎都落在“无法形成健康利润”的区间。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GHRNTM3R | BOKUGE | 2026-03-26 | No | $4.29 | 3000pcs | $12870.0 | -31.02% | $-3992.27 |
![]() | B073XSM1F5 | iDesign | 2017-07-14 | No | $3.05 | 50pcs | $152.5 | -59.68% | $-91.01 |
![]() | B0FQJ33PWH | OIRBYKDG | 2025-09-10 | No | $4.68 | -pcs | $- | -22.98% | $- |
![]() | B0FCSB7ZFH | iDesign | 2025-06-11 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GHRDGW1B | BOKUGE | 2026-01-20 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G7TPW1DM | OIRBYKDG | 2025-12-17 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0GHRNTM3R | BOKUGE | 2026-03-26 | No | $4.29 | 3000pcs | $12870.0 | -31.02% | $-3992.27 |
![]() | B0FQJ33PWH | OIRBYKDG | 2025-09-10 | No | $4.68 | -pcs | $- | -22.98% | $- |
![]() | B0GHRDGW1B | BOKUGE | 2026-01-20 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G7TPW1DM | OIRBYKDG | 2025-12-17 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入,而且已经接近/进入价格战区:样本里可识别的盈利产品占比为0%,新上架产品盈利率也是0%,说明新品牌和老品牌都没跑出可复制的赚钱模型。更关键的是,真正能卖得动的产品却在亏钱,代表“有销量不等于能赚钱”,对大卖家和小卖家都不是好信号。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很直接:这个市场不适合进入,已经是明显的超饱和/价格战信号。 现有可识别的新入场样本里,盈利率是0%,新品牌新上架全部失败;按你给的规则,这不是机会市场,而是高风险市场,尤其不适合小商家。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |