
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,属于高竞争、低容错的成熟市场,不适合现在新增品牌切入。 新品牌表面成功率是50%,但样本只有2个新品牌、1个成功1个失败,证据太弱;真正能跑通的主要是Amazon Basics这类大品牌级玩家,而不是普通小商家。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不适合进入。 你现在的预算是50万CNY,单个ASIN在样本里看起来“能做”,但市场已经明显偏向大品牌主导、低利润竞争,新品牌想靠常规打法切入,失败概率高。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,核心原因是新品盈利率只有40%,但新品牌成功率和新品牌新发失败率都只有50%,而且新品里大量靠旧品牌和大牌资源撑场,说明竞争并不友好。 对大品牌来说还能靠资源和品牌力硬打,但对小品牌来说,这不是能稳定复制的市场;你现在应该优先回避,而不是硬冲。
这不是适合进入的市场。当前信号是“高竞争但不是高利润”,新品牌成功面很窄,而且已经出现明显的老品牌挤压和新品牌失败集中。 整体可见利润率主要卡在20%~30%,市场里没有40%+的高利润空间;新产品里40%为成功、60%为失败,但失败样本已集中在2026年,说明最近一轮进入并不友好,继续进入的风险高。
证据很直接:市场里可识别利润的29个样本中,55.17%是盈利,44.83%不是;但新产品只有10个样本,盈利率40%,失败率60%。 新产品利润结构里,20%~30%占了60%,只有10%落在10%~20%,没有任何产品超过30%;这不是“高利润蓝海”,而是靠压成本和品牌力勉强维持的普通竞争市场。更关键的是,2025年还有4个新产品成功、1个失败,但到了2026年变成0个成功、5个失败,说明市场在走弱,不是变好。品牌层面,Amazon Basics 的新产品 B0DTP1S9DY 做到 24.61% 利润率,月销1000、月收入约266.8万;coruscant 的新成功新品有 B0FX8BZCB8、B0FX7ZMD45、B0FX7T8HLT,都是老列表带来的新款,说明“旧品牌借旧底盘”才更容易赢。真正的新品牌里,TYS 的 B0GL89M6F2 仅 19.67% 利润率、11条评论、无销量;而 craftinova 的新款 B0FWRKHRBX 虽然表面利润率22.77%,但已是非盈利且无销量,说明仅靠低预算上新很难跑通。另一个危险信号是评论速度:像 craftinova 的老款 B08HGJPH9Q、B081CPZQQL 都有 2800+ reviews,明显属于强营销/高压竞争,不是小商家可复制的自然增长路径。
结论很明确:不建议进入。 对大品牌来说,只有像 Amazon Basics 这种级别才有机会靠品牌和资源打;对小商家来说,现有新品牌案例里没有“<300 reviews/year 的真实成功样本”能证明可复制成功,反而更像要靠激进投放和品牌背书才能活。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0DTP1S9DY | Amazon Basics | 2025-09-08 | Yes | $26.68 | 1000pcs | $26680.0 | 24.61% | $6565.95 |
![]() | B08HGJPH9Q | craftinova | 2020-10-24 | Yes | $24.08 | 400pcs | $9632.0 | 25.18% | $2425.34 |
![]() | B088R338W2 | coruscant | 2020-05-18 | Yes | $23.67 | 400pcs | $9468.0 | 24.79% | $2347.12 |
![]() | B0F8V3STDS | deli | 2025-05-16 | Yes | $25.57 | 300pcs | $7671.0 | 25.74% | $1974.52 |
![]() | B081CPZQQL | craftinova | 2019-11-13 | Yes | $24.4 | 200pcs | $4880.0 | 25.52% | $1245.38 |
![]() | B088R2S3PP | coruscant | 2020-05-18 | Yes | $23.92 | 200pcs | $4784.0 | 25.06% | $1198.88 |
![]() | B002M9KFD4 | Swingline | 2011-03-24 | Yes | $33.18 | 100pcs | $3318.0 | 34.33% | $1139.07 |
![]() | B081GG86HW | craftinova | 2019-11-15 | Yes | $24.39 | 100pcs | $2439.0 | 25.52% | $622.44 |
![]() | B0F8TWP53S | deli | 2025-05-16 | Yes | $25.62 | 100pcs | $2562.0 | 24.16% | $618.98 |
![]() | B08HSYLNNH | craftinova | 2020-09-11 | Yes | $24.23 | 100pcs | $2423.0 | 25.34% | $613.99 |
![]() | B0FX7T8HLT | coruscant | 2025-10-17 | Yes | $27.99 | 50pcs | $1399.5 | 25.69% | $359.54 |
![]() | B0863GBNNH | craftinova | 2020-03-19 | Yes | $25.14 | 50pcs | $1257.0 | 28.52% | $358.5 |
![]() | B0FX8BZCB8 | coruscant | 2025-10-17 | Yes | $26.86 | 50pcs | $1343.0 | 24.62% | $330.65 |
![]() | B0FX7ZMD45 | coruscant | 2025-10-17 | Yes | $26.71 | 50pcs | $1335.5 | 24.46% | $326.67 |
![]() | B082VT64K5 | craftinova | 2019-12-19 | Yes | $22.99 | 50pcs | $1149.5 | 26.39% | $303.36 |
![]() | B08HH12GT4 | craftinova | 2021-05-02 | Yes | $23.07 | 50pcs | $1153.5 | 24.12% | $278.23 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0DTP1S9DY | Amazon Basics | 2025-09-08 | Yes | $26.68 | 1000pcs | $26680.0 | 24.61% | $6565.95 |
![]() | B0FX7T8HLT | coruscant | 2025-10-17 | Yes | $27.99 | 50pcs | $1399.5 | 25.69% | $359.54 |
![]() | B0FX8BZCB8 | coruscant | 2025-10-17 | Yes | $26.86 | 50pcs | $1343.0 | 24.62% | $330.65 |
![]() | B0FX7ZMD45 | coruscant | 2025-10-17 | Yes | $26.71 | 50pcs | $1335.5 | 24.46% | $326.67 |
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:老品牌在压场,新品牌成功率只有40%,但真正能作为小卖家参考的只剩1个,且市场里60%的新产品都失败了。 你有50万人民币预算,表面上够做单个ASIN的早期启动,但这类市场不是‘有钱就能赢’——成功几乎都来自大品牌式投入和产品改造,普通小卖家很难靠常规打法跑出来。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这不是一个值得进入的市场:最近新增品牌不多,但利润和成功率已经明显恶化,且新入场几乎都被老品牌压制,属于高风险、偏成熟的竞争市场。 用户预算500,000 CNY足以做单个ASIN的前期投入,但数据表明钱并不能换来稳定成功,尤其是最近的新品越来越偏向失败和‘其他/未验证成功’,不适合贸然进入。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |