
这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战和饱和区。 21个新发布样本里,新产品盈利率是0%,新品牌新发布盈利率也是0%,而且最近一批新品牌连续全军覆没,说明现在不是“靠一点优化就能赢”的市场,而是“进去先被低价和流量成本拖死”的市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入。 你当前预算500,000 CNY足够覆盖少数入场样本的前期货源、头程和平台费用,但市场本身已经进入高竞争、低利润状态,且新品牌几乎没有成功样本,继续投入只会放大亏损风险。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:样本里新品牌已经有 8 个,而新入场品牌的盈利率是 0%,市场整体盈利率也是 0%,说明不是可做的增量市场,而是已经被低价竞争和低利润挤满了。更关键的是,连旧品牌和新品牌的成功样本都没有出现真正可复制的盈利闭环,用户应直接放弃。
这个市场不能进,已经是明显的过热竞争区。 关键不是“有没有需求”,而是新品牌几乎没有验证成功:新发布产品里可确认的盈利率是0%,整体可确认盈利率也是0%,而且最近新上架产品几乎全部都在亏损,说明这里不是机会市场,而是价格战市场。
证据非常直接:新产品推荐入场预算约1088.68美元(约合7780元人民币),而你的预算是500000元人民币,钱看起来够,但这不是问题核心;核心是回报环境太差。全市场里低于10%利润的产品占35.71%,加上-10%到0%的产品占35.71%,合计71.42%的可识别产品处在低利润或亏损区间。新产品更差,-10%到0%的占38.10%,0%到10%的只有9.52%,10%以上为0%。这意味着即使投钱,也大概率只能买到“进场资格”,买不到利润。再看时间趋势,2025年只有少量新产品,2026年却集中冒出大量新品牌新产品,且全部非盈利,说明竞争在加速而不是变好。Marbrasse 这个老品牌有16个产品,0个盈利,16个亏损;它不是小商家成功案例,而是典型的老品牌也被拖进了低利润泥潭。你提到的 ASIN B0F277Z7LF 也很差:非盈利、利润率22.9%但销量是 inactive,价格17.98美元,说明“看起来毛利不低”并不等于能卖动。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
B07VZNMNH9 | Amazon Basics | 2019-10-31 | No | $15.26 | 2000pcs | $30520.0 | -18.65% | $-5691.98 | |
![]() | B0D39XXSH3 | COMFYROOM | 2024-05-04 | No | $13.5 | 700pcs | $9450.0 | -7.81% | $-738.04 |
![]() | B0C61NVPSY | ZUFECY | 2023-05-23 | No | $5.99 | 400pcs | $2396.0 | -19.44% | $-465.78 |
![]() | B0F8B9C4GF | Marbrasse | 2025-05-12 | No | $12.12 | 300pcs | $3636.0 | -9.91% | $-360.32 |
![]() | B0C2ZB9CC7 | COMFYROOM | 2023-04-19 | No | $13.38 | 200pcs | $2676.0 | -9.93% | $-265.72 |
![]() | B0DDKRWMK6 | COMFYROOM | 2024-08-19 | No | $13.02 | 200pcs | $2604.0 | -9.8% | $-255.19 |
![]() | B0F9Y7GFSQ | VEXTHYX | 2025-10-10 | No | $10.32 | 200pcs | $2064.0 | -11.93% | $-246.23 |
![]() | B0DY69R84F | COMFYROOM | 2025-02-23 | No | $13.26 | 200pcs | $2652.0 | -9.06% | $-240.27 |
![]() | B0DDKRBS6D | COMFYROOM | 2024-08-19 | No | $12.04 | 100pcs | $1204.0 | -16.82% | $-202.51 |
![]() | B0DQ3X91R7 | shenee | 2024-12-11 | No | $9.33 | 700pcs | $6531.0 | -2.59% | $-169.15 |
![]() | B0GQRQGRVW | Marbrasse | 2026-03-02 | No | $14.99 | 100pcs | $1499.0 | -9.56% | $-143.3 |
![]() | B0GQRHKMV8 | Marbrasse | 2026-03-02 | No | $14.99 | 100pcs | $1499.0 | -9.34% | $-140.0 |
![]() | B0GF7WF5RJ | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.94 | 100pcs | $1294.0 | -7.64% | $-98.86 |
![]() | B0CMX4VRFD | Newkita | 2023-11-08 | No | $9.71 | 50pcs | $485.5 | -19.86% | $-96.42 |
![]() | B0F8B91QBY | Marbrasse | 2025-05-12 | No | $12.11 | 50pcs | $605.5 | -10.51% | $-63.63 |
![]() | B0CPCG2Q76 | GGIANTGO | 2023-12-31 | No | $15.99 | 50pcs | $799.5 | -7.49% | $-59.88 |
![]() | B0GF8449Z5 | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.99 | 50pcs | $649.5 | -8.26% | $-53.64 |
![]() | B0GF82QTFB | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.94 | 50pcs | $647.0 | -8.09% | $-52.34 |
![]() | B0GF7W85Y2 | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.93 | 50pcs | $646.5 | -8.06% | $-52.1 |
![]() | B0CYSWN5DJ | VyGrow | 2024-03-22 | No | $14.99 | 50pcs | $749.5 | -6.4% | $-47.96 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0F9Y7GFSQ | VEXTHYX | 2025-10-10 | No | $10.32 | 200pcs | $2064.0 | -11.93% | $-246.23 |
![]() | B0GQRQGRVW | Marbrasse | 2026-03-02 | No | $14.99 | 100pcs | $1499.0 | -9.56% | $-143.3 |
![]() | B0GQRHKMV8 | Marbrasse | 2026-03-02 | No | $14.99 | 100pcs | $1499.0 | -9.34% | $-140.0 |
![]() | B0GF7WF5RJ | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.94 | 100pcs | $1294.0 | -7.64% | $-98.86 |
![]() | B0GF8449Z5 | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.99 | 50pcs | $649.5 | -8.26% | $-53.64 |
![]() | B0GF82QTFB | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.94 | 50pcs | $647.0 | -8.09% | $-52.34 |
![]() | B0GF7W85Y2 | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.93 | 50pcs | $646.5 | -8.06% | $-52.1 |
![]() | B0GF7ZQ6W7 | Marbrasse | 2026-01-06 | No | $12.92 | 50pcs | $646.0 | -6.85% | $-44.25 |
![]() | B0FPMBVKPZ | HBlife | 2025-12-11 | No | $16.15 | 100pcs | $1615.0 | 8.47% | $136.8 |
![]() | B0G4V63JGG | shenee | 2025-12-03 | No | $16.99 | 100pcs | $1699.0 | 9.51% | $161.58 |
![]() | B0FVSHBQDK | OSteed | 2025-10-09 | No | $14.58 | -pcs | $- | -9.94% | $- |
![]() | B0GQR8756G | Marbrasse | 2026-03-02 | No | $14.99 | -pcs | $- | -13.89% | $- |
![]() | B0GBX9MY1S | Canfanni | 2025-12-22 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FPMDCZGH | HBlife | 2025-09-03 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GTYZG6RD | Okylvve | 2026-03-26 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GBWJ4R1N | PIPITREE | 2025-12-22 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GYRTNWBS | Ravinte Decor | 2026-04-28 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FLDM7LSN | Kutesna | 2025-08-06 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FVFHCFWW | EasyPAG | 2025-10-09 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GQRXRS57 | Marbrasse | 2026-03-02 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不适合进入,已经是明显的高竞争/价格战区。 核心证据很直接:新产品整体盈利率为0%,新品牌新发产品盈利率也是0%,而且样本里的新品牌并没有出现任何真实可复制的成功案例,说明不是“还能靠差异化切进去”的阶段,而是“进去就先烧钱”的阶段。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显的价格战/饱和区。 近期开新品牌的结果是 100% 失败,没有看到任何真正的新品牌成功样本;再加上整体可识别利润为 0%,新产品里 10% 以内利润占绝对多数,说明现在不是“有机会抢位”的市场,而是“进去就被卷”的市场。
证据非常一致:新品牌失败率 100%(9/9),近几个月新品牌持续在出货但全部不赚钱。 2025 年新品牌新开产品里,只有 9 个可识别样本,全部非盈利;到 2026 年,1 月和 3 月仍然连续出现失败,涉及 Marbrasse、Okylvve、Ravinte Decor 等品牌,具体 ASIN 包括 B0GF82QTFB、B0GF7WF5RJ、B0GQRHKMV8、B0GQRQGRVW、B0GQR8756G、B0GTYZG6RD、B0GYRTNWBS。市场利润分布也很差:整体样本里亏损或接近不赚钱的产品占大头,利润高于 10% 的几乎没有;新产品利润分布里,低于 10% 的占 7/21,可见不是少数失败,而是系统性低利润。
对大品牌和小品牌都不友好。 你给的预算是 500000 CNY,表面上足够覆盖单个 ASIN 的前期投入,但这个市场的新品建议预算仅约 1088.68 USD,说明竞争压价非常重;同时样本里像 EasyPAG、Marbrasse 这类老品牌产品也都因“同质化、低利润、竞争极强”而失败,代表大品牌也只能靠更强的渠道和更大投放硬撑。小品牌这边没有看到 <300 评价/年的真实成功案例,反而是 9 个新品牌样本全灭,所以不要进入;如果硬要做,必须走创新、差异化、认证和品牌重投入路线,但这也不构成“高胜率”,只是把失败变成更慢。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |