
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是低利润、低成功率的价格战市场。 当前只看到1个新品牌 ALIKZO,2个新上架产品全部不盈利,新品牌成功率是0%,而且样本里没有任何真正可复制的小商家成功案例;对大品牌来说也只是“有钱能打”,不是好机会。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入,这个市场对新卖家来说已经是价格战/高风险市场。 现有样本里可识别利润的产品只有3个,整体盈利率0%,新上架产品盈利率0%;两款新品牌 ALIKZO 的新品都没跑通,最低可见启动预算约 4,386.80 美元,约合你预算 500,000 CNY 远远够用,但问题不是钱够不够,而是投入后仍然大概率拿不到正利润。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌新上架成功率为0%,市场样本里已出现明显价格战和入场失败信号。 你如果是大品牌,理论上能靠资源硬打,但按现有数据看也只是“可能进入、但不适合”;如果是小商家,直接不建议进,因为没有看到任何真正可复制的成功小品牌案例。
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 新品牌几乎没有成功样本,已知的新品牌新产品里盈利率为0%,而且当前能看到的两个新品牌样本都没过10%利润门槛,属于典型的低利润、低成功率市场,不适合小品牌,也不适合大品牌硬冲。
证据很直接:ONREVA 不是新入场品牌,单品 B0D4PPHVBX 虽然月销约200件、月营收约539,800日元/美元口径数据,但利润率是 -22.81%,品牌整体 1 个产品全亏;ALIKZO 作为新品牌,两个新产品 B0G2BZLZVB 和 B0G2C4CWSJ 都是未盈利,其中 B0G2BZLZVB 只有 2.1% 利润率、68 个评论、近月利润仅 18.10,远低于可接受线,B0G2C4CWSJ 甚至还没形成有效销售。按你给的规则,这就是价格战/饱和警报:新品牌盈利率 0%,已知新产品里合格利润率 0/2;已出现 68 评论的新品与 251 评论的老品,后者不属于小品牌成功案例,更像成熟品牌在吃存量。再看入场门槛,ALIKZO 这类新品牌样本的早期投入已到 2548.50,但仍没转正;ONREVA 这类成熟品牌总投入 4386.80 也没有盈利,说明这个类目不是“多投一点就能赢”,而是需要品牌力、流量和长期投入才能勉强站住,对单个 ASIN 的 500000 CNY 预算来说,短期能做,但不代表能建立可持续优势。
关键判断:小品牌没有可复制的真实成功路径;大品牌也不是高胜率,只是勉强有资金承受亏损。 你不应该把 ONREVA 当作小品牌成功案例,它是老品牌;ALIKZO 才是新品牌,但它的两个新品都不盈利,且利润率远低于 15% 的“可接受线”。在这个市场里,若想硬进,至少要准备能承受前期持续亏损和高曝光成本的打法,但这依然不是好机会。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0D4PPHVBX | ONREVA | 2024-08-09 | No | $26.99 | 200pcs | $5398.0 | -22.81% | $-1231.28 |
![]() | B0G2BZLZVB | ALIKZO | 2025-12-19 | No | $16.99 | 50pcs | $849.5 | 2.13% | $18.1 |
![]() | B0G2C4CWSJ | ALIKZO | 2026-01-01 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0G2BZLZVB | ALIKZO | 2025-12-19 | No | $16.99 | 50pcs | $849.5 | 2.13% | $18.1 |
![]() | B0G2C4CWSJ | ALIKZO | 2026-01-01 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这不是一个适合进入的市场:新品牌的新产品成功率为0%,整体可识别盈利率也为0%,而且已经出现明显的价格战/亏损信号。 你手头的500000 CNY预算虽然足够覆盖单个ASIN的前期起步,但这类市场里,钱并不能换来胜率,尤其对小商家更不友好。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已经是低利润、低成功率的高风险市场。 近两次新品牌进入全部失败,ALIKZO 的两个新款都没跑通,说明不是“少量试错”问题,而是新进入者整体被打回;在这种环境下,不管大品牌还是小商家,都没有高胜率窗口。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |