
这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战并接近过饱和。新品牌和老品牌的新上架产品成功率都是0%,最近一年新增品牌6个、但新增品牌新上架产品7个全部亏损,说明不是“还有机会”,而是“进场后大概率先亏”。
证据很直接:新释放产品的利润区间只有-45.09%到-9.32%,没有任何达到你要求的15%可接受线;按时间看,2025到2026年新上架样本里,几乎所有近期进入的产品都落在亏损区,竞争是在恶化,不是在改善。品牌层面,COMHOMA 这类新品牌的新单品 B0GPHTBFK4,售价32美元,月销50件,利润率-16.79%;GRASQUILINE 的 B0H1LS1YN8,售价29.99美元,评论只有3个,利润率-35.35%;老品牌 SOCONT 的 B0CMPS57QN 月销200件、月营收4014美元,利润率却是-58.43%,B0CP3JXXZS 也是-18.66%。这说明连有规模的品牌都在被成本打穿,市场不是“做得更好就能赢”,而是“同质化+高费用”把利润压没了。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入。 用户预算 50万人民币表面上能覆盖单个ASIN的前期启动,但这个类目已经是明显的价格战市场,且新品牌和老品牌的新上架产品几乎都没有跑出盈利,继续进入的胜率很低。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经是高风险价格战区。 证据很直接:样本里新品牌新上架产品盈利率是0%,老品牌新上架产品盈利率也是0%;新品牌和老品牌的非盈利新上架占比都达到100%。同时,市场里大多数可判定产品利润率只有-45.09%到-9.32%,明显低于你要求的15%可接受线,说明不是“能不能赚”,而是“上架后大概率先亏”。
从品牌和单品看,连能卖得动的也基本在拼低价和同质化。COMHOMA 作为新品牌,单品 B0GPHTBFK4 月销约50件、月营收约16万日元?不,按数据是160000美元口径下的样本收入,但利润率仍是-16.79%,说明靠销量也扛不住成本;SOCONT 的 B0CMPS57QN 月销200件、月营收401400,利润率却是-58.43%,B0CP3JXXZS 也只有-18.66%。GRASQUILINE 的新单品 B0H1LS1YN8 刚上架、评论只有3个,利润率已是-35.35%,典型“还没起量就先亏”。更重要的是,样本里旧品牌新上架占比约30%,而且你给到的全部新上架样本里,已出现多个新品牌:COMHOMA、GRASQUILINE、Garvee、MTB Garden、WILLOW WEAVE、Yortrek;但没有任何盈利新品牌案例能作为小卖家成功模板。结合产品成功/失败模式,失败原因高度一致:缺乏差异化、目标人群过泛、常规镀锌圆/椭圆花坛同质化严重,这不是靠小修小改能翻盘的市场。
结论很明确:大品牌也不该现在进,小卖家更不该进。 如果硬要找可复制对象,也只能拿“避免对象”来学:不要做 B0CMPS57QN / B0CP3JXXZS 这种标准镀锌圆形高床,不要做 B0H1LS1YN8 这种白色椭圆款的常规配置,因为市场已经把这类款式卷成低毛利甚至负毛利。真正的信号是:市场总样本收入虽有 77203 美元,但盈利率为0、非盈利新上架为100%,这就是典型的过饱和,不建议继续投入。
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显是亏损竞争区,而且对新品牌和小商家都不友好。 新品里已知利润率几乎没有任何健康区间:新产品已知样本中,50% 低于 -10%,另外 10% 在 -10% 到 0%,0% 达到 10% 以上;再看全部样本,70.59% 低于 -10%,只有 2.94% 落在 0%~10%,说明价格战非常重,基本不是靠正常利润能跑出来的市场。
新品牌现实很差:新品牌新发布产品的盈利率为 0%,且新品牌新发布产品的未盈利率为 100%;老品牌新发布产品同样是 0% 盈利、100% 未盈利。 这意味着不是“新品牌还能靠努力跑出来”,而是现在连老品牌都没打出正收益。具体看样本,COMHOMA 作为新进入品牌,B0GPHTBFK4 单品售价 $32,非旺季利润率 -16.79%,月销 50、月营收 $1,600,但利润仍是负的;GRASQUILINE 的 B0H1LS1YN8 售价 $29.99,利润率 -35.35%,最新只有 3 个评价;老品牌 SOCONT 虽然有规模,B0CMPS57QN 月销 200、月营收 $4,014,但利润率 -58.43%,B0CP3JXXZS 也只有 -18.66%。这说明市场不是缺需求,而是物流、平台费用和采购成本一起把利润打穿了,单靠常规铺货很难翻身。
结论很直接:大品牌也不该进,小商家更不该进;如果硬要做,必须依赖激进投放和非常强的差异化,否则就是亏钱换排名。 当前样本里最像“能打”的不是高利润,而是高销售、低评价门槛和高压打法,比如 SOCONT 的 B0CP3JXXZS 和 B0CMPS57QN 都是 200~340 评价级别的老款,属于强势竞争者;而新品牌样本里几乎没有真正可复制的健康成功案例。市场趋势上,2025 年出现 4 个新产品全部亏损,2026 年已记录的 6 个新产品也全部亏损,说明近期进入越多、结果越差,竞争正在恶化。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CNLF3JFK | JERIA | 2023-11-18 | No | $22.7 | 300pcs | $6810.0 | -39.58% | $-2695.39 |
![]() | B0CMPS57QN | SOCONT | 2023-11-06 | No | $20.07 | 200pcs | $4014.0 | -58.43% | $-2345.38 |
![]() | B0CQ2R5C83 | ZFHgarden | 2024-02-10 | No | $19.59 | 200pcs | $3918.0 | -51.74% | $-2027.17 |
![]() | B0CVVL1BNT | Land Guard | 2024-02-18 | No | $26.85 | 200pcs | $5370.0 | -34.82% | $-1869.83 |
![]() | B0CNLG6DL4 | JERIA | 2023-11-18 | No | $19.49 | 200pcs | $3898.0 | -27.31% | $-1064.54 |
![]() | B0D56BP8CD | ZFHgarden | 2024-05-25 | No | $25.92 | 200pcs | $5184.0 | -18.13% | $-939.85 |
![]() | B0CP3JXXZS | SOCONT | 2023-11-28 | No | $23.56 | 200pcs | $4712.0 | -18.66% | $-879.25 |
![]() | B0DPW2KXH6 | SOCONT | 2024-12-09 | No | $28.13 | 200pcs | $5626.0 | -15.37% | $-864.71 |
![]() | B0DPW42NSC | SOCONT | 2024-12-09 | No | $28.25 | 200pcs | $5650.0 | -13.64% | $-770.66 |
![]() | B0CMPQYQKJ | SOCONT | 2023-11-06 | No | $29.64 | 200pcs | $5928.0 | -11.43% | $-677.57 |
![]() | B0F9YB48BY | Alffun | 2025-07-02 | No | $35.99 | 100pcs | $3599.0 | -14.51% | $-522.21 |
![]() | B0CHVZXSN8 | Permade | 2023-09-12 | No | $25.3 | 50pcs | $1265.0 | -40.21% | $-508.65 |
![]() | B0DRG3D56M | GTSABWAY | 2024-12-25 | No | $23.85 | 50pcs | $1192.5 | -41.36% | $-493.21 |
![]() | B0CQ2T4N46 | ZFHgarden | 2024-02-10 | No | $21.57 | 50pcs | $1078.5 | -41.48% | $-447.36 |
![]() | B0CLGVNJX7 | AHEONLAR | 2023-10-20 | No | $29.99 | 50pcs | $1499.5 | -24.35% | $-365.12 |
![]() | B0CX56F22L | Utopia Home | 2024-03-05 | No | $16.9 | 50pcs | $845.0 | -43.15% | $-364.61 |
B0D9B84TLK | SnugNiture | 2024-07-12 | No | $31.81 | 50pcs | $1590.5 | -17.17% | $-273.08 | |
![]() | B0GPHTBFK4 | COMHOMA | 2026-02-21 | No | $32.0 | 50pcs | $1600.0 | -16.79% | $-268.64 |
![]() | B0FP1H7QPY | SnugNiture | 2025-08-28 | No | $34.73 | 50pcs | $1736.5 | -14.89% | $-258.56 |
![]() | B0CJMZPL6G | SnugNiture | 2023-09-23 | No | $22.75 | 50pcs | $1137.5 | -21.73% | $-247.17 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0GPHTBFK4 | COMHOMA | 2026-02-21 | No | $32.0 | 50pcs | $1600.0 | -16.79% | $-268.64 |
![]() | B0FP1H7QPY | SnugNiture | 2025-08-28 | No | $34.73 | 50pcs | $1736.5 | -14.89% | $-258.56 |
![]() | B0H1LS1YN8 | GRASQUILINE | 2026-07-05 | No | $29.99 | -pcs | $- | -35.35% | $- |
![]() | B0FPWPK5YX | MTB Garden | 2025-09-05 | No | $35.99 | -pcs | $- | -6.65% | $- |
![]() | B0H9LMMNMN | Garvee | 2026-07-20 | No | $36.99 | -pcs | $- | -73.5% | $- |
![]() | B0GS5DRQZS | WILLOW WEAVE | 2026-03-11 | No | $20.18 | -pcs | $- | -44.23% | $- |
![]() | B0GWGTD293 | JERIA | 2026-04-08 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FPCSS9N3 | Alffun | 2025-09-01 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G2C6YMGM | MTB Garden | 2025-11-14 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GYC46G8N | Yortrek | 2026-04-24 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入:新品利润率为0%,新品牌与老品牌新品成功率也都是0%,而且样本里已经出现明显的价格战和同质化。 对小品牌来说,合法成功案例几乎没有;对大品牌来说也只是“有钱也难赢”,不是可进场市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:已进入价格战+饱和区,新品牌成功率几乎为零。 近端数据里,新品牌上新没有任何盈利样本,整体新上架盈利率为0%;更关键的是,最近一年新增品牌不是在增长后被消化,而是持续出现失败,说明竞争只会更硬,不会更松。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |