
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战并明显拥挤,新品牌入场成功率太低。 现有数据里,新品牌只有5个,但它们的新上架产品里,能赚钱的只占13.11%,不赚钱的高达86.89%;同时最近几个月新品几乎是越上越多,5月新增25个不盈利新品,6月又新增14个不盈利新品,说明不是健康增长,而是在快速内卷。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入。用户预算 50万CNY 可以覆盖少数新上架单品的起步成本,但市场已经出现明显的低利润、低成功率和价格竞争信号,靠这点预算做长期竞争不够。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:已经进入价格战/过度拥挤区,而且新品牌放量太快,成功率偏低。 你能看到最近几个月新品几乎是一边倒地涌入,6月样本里新增非盈利新品就有14个,而5月更是出现25个非盈利新品;按品牌看,新品牌新上架产品的盈利率只有12.90%,新品牌的新上架非盈利率高达85.48%,这不是健康增长,是明显的内卷加速。
大品牌:只有砸钱+做差异化才有机会,但这不是一个“轻松可进”的市场;小商家:只有少数真正做出差异的新品能活下来,且不能把旧品牌当成小商家案例。 目前可复制的成功案例主要集中在两类:一类是老品牌Affrolling的成熟打法,ASIN B0DNZ9KR2F,售价$9.99,月销50、月营收约$49,950,利润率11.77%;但它属于旧品牌资源型打法,不适合小商家照搬。另一类才是真正能给小商家参考的新品牌案例,比如 YOELOVE 的 B0GG4FSVTW,预算约$1,164.65,售价$16.99,月销200、月营收约$339,800,利润率26.98%;B0GV1MXJ25预算约$2,141.11,售价$16.99,月销100、月营收约$169,900,利润率27.09%;B0GKW8YH6R 预算未披露但售价$11.91、月销100、月营收约$238,200、利润率17.7%。它们的共同点非常清楚:仿皮/烫金/圆角/书签/礼盒感,把“普通填空本”升级成“高仪式感礼物”,并且靠更长的填空内容和更完整的双页结构做差异化。
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战和过度拥挤状态。 新品牌最近几个月大规模涌入,但真正能站住脚的极少:新品牌新上架里只有12.90%能盈利,整体可明确判断的产品里盈利率也只有14.06%,而且最新月份里新增的非盈利新品远多于盈利新品,显示竞争在加速恶化。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GG4FSVTW | YOELOVE | 2026-02-19 | Yes | $16.99 | 200pcs | $3398.0 | 26.98% | $916.79 |
![]() | B0GV1MXJ25 | YOELOVE | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $16.99 | 100pcs | $1699.0 | 27.09% | $460.26 |
![]() | B0GKW8YH6R | YOELOVE | 2026-03-06 | Yes | $11.91 | 200pcs | $2382.0 | 17.7% | $421.62 |
![]() | B0GG4S6VJM | YOELOVE | 2026-02-15 | Yes | $17.77 | 50pcs | $888.5 | 28.05% | $249.23 |
![]() | B0GKWQXNH9 | YOELOVE | 2026-03-16 | Yes | $11.89 | 100pcs | $1189.0 | 17.67% | $210.1 |
![]() | B0G922KKBQ | Artmag | 2026-02-25 | Yes | $11.62 | 50pcs | $581.0 | 18.51% | $107.55 |
![]() | B0G3LPCLH1 | Artmag | 2026-01-13 | Yes | $11.45 | 50pcs | $572.5 | 17.9% | $102.48 |
![]() | B0G3LP5DFL | Artmag | 2026-01-13 | Yes | $11.43 | 50pcs | $571.5 | 17.86% | $102.07 |
![]() | B0DNZ9KR2F | Affrolling | 2024-11-26 | Yes | $9.99 | 50pcs | $499.5 | 11.77% | $58.8 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GG4FSVTW | YOELOVE | 2026-02-19 | Yes | $16.99 | 200pcs | $3398.0 | 26.98% | $916.79 |
![]() | B0GV1MXJ25 | YOELOVE | 2026-04-30 | Yes | $16.99 | 100pcs | $1699.0 | 27.09% | $460.26 |
![]() | B0GKW8YH6R | YOELOVE | 2026-03-06 | Yes | $11.91 | 200pcs | $2382.0 | 17.7% | $421.62 |
![]() | B0GG4S6VJM | YOELOVE | 2026-02-15 | Yes | $17.77 | 50pcs | $888.5 | 28.05% | $249.23 |
![]() | B0GKWQXNH9 | YOELOVE | 2026-03-16 | Yes | $11.89 | 100pcs | $1189.0 | 17.67% | $210.1 |
![]() | B0G922KKBQ | Artmag | 2026-02-25 | Yes | $11.62 | 50pcs | $581.0 | 18.51% | $107.55 |
![]() | B0G3LPCLH1 | Artmag | 2026-01-13 | Yes | $11.45 | 50pcs | $572.5 | 17.9% | $102.48 |
![]() | B0G3LP5DFL | Artmag | 2026-01-13 | Yes | $11.43 | 50pcs | $571.5 | 17.86% | $102.07 |
这个市场不建议进入:新品成功率只有13.11%,而新品不盈利高达86.89%,整体盈利产品占比仅14.06%,已经是明显的高竞争、接近价格战的市场。 近一年新品发布几乎都集中在2026年,6月单月就有25个不盈利新品,说明入场者很多但大多数都失败,市场不是在健康增长,而是在快速内卷。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入价格战区,且对新品牌极不友好。 近期新品牌虽然有少数成功案例,但整体失败面太大,成功主要靠旧款延伸+更高客单+更强包装/设计,不是普通小卖家能轻松复制的路径。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 52 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |