
这个市场不建议进入,已经是老品牌主导的高压价格战区。新品牌只有1个,近12个月新上架16个里真正盈利的只有3个,成功率18.75%,而且盈利样本全部来自老品牌 Lansinoh;对小商家来说,几乎没有可验证的真实成功案例。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论:这个市场不适合进入,直接判定为高风险且接近价格战区。 用户预算 50万人民币(约7万美元)表面上足够覆盖单个新品的起步投入,但市场里新品推荐预算约1.22万–1.90万美元,真正能打出结果的头部老品牌单款常见投入和品牌力都明显更高;更关键的是,新品整体盈利率只有18.75%,而新品牌新品盈利率为0%,老品牌新品也只有20%,说明现在不是“谁都能进”的阶段。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入。数据显示这是一个明显的价格战高压区:整体可判定盈利的产品占72.28%,但新品牌新上架的盈利率是0%,新品牌的失败率也是0%(样本里新品牌几乎没有真正跑出来),而近12个月的新上架里,老品牌占了93.75%,说明市场基本被老牌吃满,新品牌进来大概率只会被挤压;同时,近几个月新上架多数是老品牌的非盈利新品,2025年8月到2026年6月里非盈利新上架明显增多,走势是竞争升温、机会收窄,不是扩张窗口。
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,属于高竞争、接近价格战的成熟市场,且新品牌成功率偏低。 虽然整体新产品利润率看起来还能到18.18%~30.11%,但新品牌真正可复制的成功样本几乎没有,市场里能赚钱的核心位置已经被老品牌占住了;小商家若没有明显创新、品牌力或强营销,基本打不进去。
证据很硬:新发布产品只有16个,能确认盈利的只有3个,成功率18.75%;但这3个全部来自老品牌 Lansinoh,没有任何新品牌盈利样本。 相反,失败/未达标的新发布产品有13个,里面主要是 Dr. Brown's、Boon、Jili、Philips Avent、PopYum 等老牌布局,说明这个赛道不是新品牌在赚钱,而是老品牌继续靠资源和渠道抢位。进一步看,整体利润分布里 20%~30% 的产品占 45.10%,10%~20% 占 21.57%,而 <10% 只有 1.96%;这说明不是全面低毛利崩盘,但高利润集中在少数老品牌和少数老产品,新进入者很难复制。品牌层面也能看出强者恒强:Dr. Brown's 有 24 个可识别产品,18 个盈利,月收入约 1.877 亿,说明这是典型的老品牌主导市场;而新品牌 Tourdeus 只有 1 个样本,且无可验证盈利、无收入、无预算数据,不能当作小商家成功案例。你预算 50 万 CNY 对单个 ASIN 来说够启动,但像 B0FY3KSDZM 这种真正跑出来的产品,前期总预算就到 19,019.38 美元,早期投入到 22,315.23 美元,而且它是老品牌 Lansinoh 的白帽新品,不是普通小商家能直接照搬的模型。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B098YVB8BX | Philips Avent | 2021-07-08 | Yes | $39.94 | 10000pcs | $399400.0 | 22.94% | $91622.36 |
![]() | B0964CHD65 | Philips Avent | 2021-05-28 | Yes | $29.96 | 10000pcs | $299600.0 | 28.24% | $84607.04 |
B0BGPJY2MN | PIGEON | 2022-09-28 | Yes | $34.25 | 7000pcs | $239750.0 | 34.82% | $83480.95 | |
![]() | B0DP2BQK9P | Momcozy | 2025-01-22 | Yes | $29.99 | 6000pcs | $179940.0 | 29.93% | $53856.05 |
![]() | B0F54RF5BZ | Dr. Brown's | 2025-04-16 | Yes | $28.86 | 8000pcs | $230880.0 | 22.73% | $52479.03 |
![]() | B0F54RHSM7 | Dr. Brown's | 2025-04-16 | Yes | $28.77 | 9000pcs | $258930.0 | 17.71% | $45856.51 |
![]() | B098YHHV3Q | Philips Avent | 2021-07-08 | Yes | $39.56 | 3000pcs | $118680.0 | 34.48% | $40920.87 |
![]() | B0BGPLGL4F | PIGEON | 2022-09-28 | Yes | $35.42 | 3000pcs | $106260.0 | 35.93% | $38179.22 |
![]() | B07TVKLS7B | Dr. Brown's | 2019-07-03 | Yes | $26.87 | 5000pcs | $134350.0 | 27.8% | $37349.31 |
B00H0DH2NS | Lansinoh | 2013-11-29 | Yes | $18.83 | 8000pcs | $150640.0 | 23.57% | $35505.85 | |
![]() | B01845QGKK | Dr. Brown's | 2015-11-17 | Yes | $24.35 | 5000pcs | $121750.0 | 27.77% | $33809.98 |
![]() | B0961KZ9X2 | Philips Avent | 2021-05-28 | Yes | $26.33 | 5000pcs | $131650.0 | 24.76% | $32596.54 |
![]() | B0961LQ6Z8 | Philips Avent | 2021-05-28 | Yes | $26.82 | 5000pcs | $134100.0 | 23.63% | $31687.83 |
![]() | B07MHNWTBR | Dr. Brown's | 2019-01-02 | Yes | $28.83 | 5000pcs | $144150.0 | 21.91% | $31583.27 |
![]() | B0961NJTX5 | Philips Avent | 2021-05-28 | Yes | $26.64 | 5000pcs | $133200.0 | 22.55% | $30036.6 |
![]() | B00H0DH2OM | Lansinoh | 2013-11-29 | Yes | $18.69 | 8000pcs | $149520.0 | 20.0% | $29904.0 |
![]() | B0DLPFFQFQ | Dr. Brown's | 2024-09-26 | Yes | $22.56 | 5000pcs | $112800.0 | 26.09% | $29429.53 |
B07TXM6K2T | Dr. Brown's | 2019-07-02 | Yes | $23.85 | 5000pcs | $119250.0 | 24.44% | $29144.7 | |
![]() | B0964FWX8Q | Philips Avent | 2021-05-28 | Yes | $31.58 | 3000pcs | $94740.0 | 28.3% | $26811.42 |
![]() | B07M6QQP9Z | Dr. Brown's | 2019-01-02 | Yes | $25.25 | 5000pcs | $126250.0 | 20.85% | $26323.13 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FLZNBGH9 | Lansinoh | 2025-08-11 | Yes | $28.38 | 3000pcs | $85140.0 | 24.97% | $21259.46 |
![]() | B0FY3KSDZM | Lansinoh | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $29.83 | 2000pcs | $59660.0 | 26.62% | $15881.5 |
![]() | B0FT4GPZ1N | Lansinoh | 2025-09-29 | Yes | $14.99 | 900pcs | $13491.0 | 21.51% | $2901.92 |
这个市场不值得进入:新品成功率只有20%,但真正新品牌新品的盈利率是0%,而且2025-2026年的新品里失败多、成功少,说明竞争已经很硬,正在向价格战和品牌战倾斜。对小卖家来说,能合法做起来的空间非常小;对大品牌来说虽然有资金能打,但也只是高投入下的存量竞争,不是好市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已进入高压价格战环境,且是老品牌主导的新产品战场。 近期新品里能稳定赚钱的只有少数老品牌型号,真正的新品牌没有跑出可验证的成功案例;你现在的预算 50万人民币,足以覆盖单个SKU的前期启动,但在这个市场里并不能换来可复制的胜率。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |