
这个市场不建议进入,结论很明确:已经进入价格战和过度拥挤状态,小卖家不适合硬闯,大品牌也只有重投入+强差异化才有机会。 目前可识别的新品牌只有16个,但新发布产品只有22个里,盈利的只有7个,成功率31.82%;放到全部38个新发布样本看,真正盈利的只有26.32%。而且最近一批新品几乎全面走弱,2026年4月到6月连续出现大量失败新款,说明竞争不是在变好,而是在加剧。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入,这个市场已经明显被大品牌和老品牌挤满,新品牌虽然还能出单,但整体已经进入价格竞争区。 用户预算 50万 CNY,按当前样本里可见的新入场成功案例,单个ASIN的入场预算大多只有约 1,252~1,857 CNY;看起来你“付得起首轮上架”,但这只是前几个月的备货、物流和投放,不包含研发、品牌和认证,长期投入远不够。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不建议进入:已经明显进入价格战区,而且新品成功率偏低。 当前样本里可识别的整体盈利产品占36.56%,但新品盈利率只有26.32%,而且近月走势更差:2026年4月到6月连续出现大量新品牌新品失败,失败新品分别有7、5、3个,说明竞争在加剧而不是变好。
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战+过度拥挤,尤其不适合小商家。 新品里只有约31.82%能盈利,但真正有明确销量、且利润率达标的新进入产品里,盈利主要集中在少数品牌和少数打法:要么是老品牌借新款延续品牌力,要么是新品牌做了明显差异化并配合较强推广;像 Keenso 这种新品牌两款新品都没跑出来,说明单纯复制公模几乎没机会。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B09MQGTP7Y | LWZCAM | 2021-11-29 | Yes | $9.88 | 3000pcs | $29640.0 | 17.68% | $5240.36 |
![]() | B0FRF3TZJQ | ZEYARUIBO | 2025-09-17 | Yes | $17.87 | 400pcs | $7148.0 | 27.26% | $1948.55 |
![]() | B0G5WQ5RXW | kurdene | 2025-12-09 | Yes | $13.58 | 400pcs | $5432.0 | 25.32% | $1375.39 |
![]() | B085VX9JY7 | kurdene | 2020-04-05 | Yes | $15.54 | 300pcs | $4662.0 | 29.11% | $1357.11 |
B0F2H7ZYR1 | Lanteso | 2025-03-31 | Yes | $9.78 | 1000pcs | $9780.0 | 12.2% | $1193.16 | |
![]() | B0DK3L29QS | kurdene | 2024-10-15 | Yes | $9.69 | 1000pcs | $9690.0 | 11.94% | $1156.99 |
![]() | B0FCFTZC2D | ABCPOW | 2025-06-09 | Yes | $8.02 | 1100pcs | $8822.0 | 11.92% | $1051.59 |
![]() | B0DMN2632Y | kurdene | 2024-11-11 | Yes | $13.62 | 300pcs | $4086.0 | 25.58% | $1045.2 |
![]() | B0DTDSQF99 | kurdene | 2025-01-18 | Yes | $13.58 | 300pcs | $4074.0 | 25.32% | $1031.54 |
![]() | B0G5WVJ9PT | kurdene | 2025-12-09 | Yes | $13.59 | 300pcs | $4077.0 | 25.18% | $1026.59 |
![]() | B0FDK35PSK | MOZOTER | 2025-06-18 | Yes | $15.89 | 200pcs | $3178.0 | 27.37% | $869.82 |
![]() | B0D3X4DN6Z | Gsangoo | 2024-05-27 | Yes | $14.17 | 200pcs | $2834.0 | 28.68% | $812.8 |
![]() | B0G5WZ2M7F | kurdene | 2025-12-09 | Yes | $13.62 | 200pcs | $2724.0 | 25.41% | $692.17 |
![]() | B0DBL9BLYF | YXYKODM | 2024-07-30 | Yes | $13.58 | 200pcs | $2716.0 | 22.3% | $605.67 |
![]() | B0BQ2MMKWC | SYSFUN | 2022-12-14 | Yes | $12.01 | 250pcs | $3002.5 | 18.45% | $553.97 |
![]() | B0CGVJR113 | DTMNEP | 2023-08-29 | Yes | $12.41 | 200pcs | $2482.0 | 19.52% | $484.49 |
![]() | B0D47S4YC4 | eKids | 2024-05-15 | Yes | $23.23 | 50pcs | $1161.5 | 34.49% | $400.61 |
![]() | B0D1CSWDJK | eKids | 2024-04-10 | Yes | $23.22 | 50pcs | $1161.0 | 34.42% | $399.62 |
![]() | B0D47S2HG1 | eKids | 2024-05-15 | Yes | $23.23 | 50pcs | $1161.5 | 34.17% | $396.89 |
![]() | B0G2H1P53L | DESOFICON | 2025-12-08 | Yes | $9.94 | 200pcs | $1988.0 | 19.78% | $393.23 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FRF3TZJQ | ZEYARUIBO | 2025-09-17 | Yes | $17.87 | 400pcs | $7148.0 | 27.26% | $1948.55 |
![]() | B0G5WQ5RXW | kurdene | 2025-12-09 | Yes | $13.58 | 400pcs | $5432.0 | 25.32% | $1375.39 |
![]() | B0G5WVJ9PT | kurdene | 2025-12-09 | Yes | $13.59 | 300pcs | $4077.0 | 25.18% | $1026.59 |
![]() | B0G5WZ2M7F | kurdene | 2025-12-09 | Yes | $13.62 | 200pcs | $2724.0 | 25.41% | $692.17 |
![]() | B0G2H1P53L | DESOFICON | 2025-12-08 | Yes | $9.94 | 200pcs | $1988.0 | 19.78% | $393.23 |
![]() | B0FK4ZM982 | 1 Hora | 2025-09-11 | Yes | $13.02 | 100pcs | $1302.0 | 21.79% | $283.71 |
![]() | B0G5XLQLRG | iHoto | 2025-12-09 | Yes | $13.35 | 100pcs | $1335.0 | 20.95% | $279.69 |
![]() | B0F1LV9XNY | LUDOS | 2025-09-07 | Yes | $12.99 | 50pcs | $649.5 | 27.1% | $176.02 |
![]() | B0GFDTTGQP | STUPIDYIN | 2026-01-07 | Yes | $9.99 | 100pcs | $999.0 | 12.91% | $128.98 |
![]() | B0GFDJ8QMN | STUPIDYIN | 2026-01-07 | Yes | $9.99 | 100pcs | $999.0 | 12.91% | $128.98 |
这个市场不适合进入,结论是直接放弃。 新品成功率只有26.32%,但更关键的是新品牌里真正能复制的成功案例很少,且市场里已有老品牌持续占据利润位,说明这不是“低门槛增长市场”,而是一个已经被成熟品牌和老链接反复收割的高竞争赛道。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入过热竞争区。 最近新增并且有明确结果的新品里,盈利只占31.82%(7个),不盈利占68.18%(15个);整体可识别利润产品里,盈利率36.56%,而新发布产品盈利率只有26.32%,说明新进入者胜率明显偏低,竞争正在加剧。
时间信号也在变差:2026年的新发布几乎清一色走向失败。 2025年还能看到 DESOFICON 的 B0G2H1P53L、1 Hora 的 B0FK4ZM982、ZEYARUIBO 的 B0FRF3TZJQ 这类少量成功案例,但 2026 年新发布产品里,20个不盈利、只有2个盈利;其中像 Keenso 的 B0FY6QCHLJ、B0FY6VWM61 都没有形成有效销量,属于失败样本。更关键的是,成功路径越来越依赖老牌/强品牌和旧链接改造:kurdene 这类老品牌有 3 个新产品盈利,典型 ASIN 有 B0G5WVJ9PT、B0G5WQ5RXW、B0G5WZ2M7F;而新品牌真正自然成功的样本非常少,像 DESOFICON 的 B0G2H1P53L 只靠低预算 1252.28 美元和 19.78% 利润率勉强跑通,1 Hora 的 B0FK4ZM982 需要 1857.46 美元预算,ZEYARUIBO 的 B0FRF3TZJQ 甚至被标成黑帽式推广,带 79 条评论就做到 7148 美元月销,明显有刷评/强推嫌疑,不适合作为正常小卖家参考。
结论很明确:大品牌能进,但要重投入;小卖家不适合硬闯,除非能做出强差异化且预算至少覆盖 1252.28–1857.46 美元的前期投入,还要承受后续品牌、研发和推广额外成本。 这个类目里低利润和失败样本占大头,B0FY6QCHLJ、B0FY6VWM61、B0FNWPGVWM、B0G425259P 这类近期新品都没跑通;如果没有明显创新或品牌势能,继续进入就是在价格战里消耗现金。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |