
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 现在已经是明显的价格战市场,而且新品牌只有14.29%能做成可持续盈利,新进入品牌里绝大多数都亏钱;对大品牌来说也不是安全盘,对小商家更是高风险,除非接受强差异化、强投放、甚至带有掠夺性营销的打法。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 用户预算 50万 CNY 表面上能覆盖少数单品的前期投入,但市场已经进入明显的价格战区,且新品牌新款的盈利率只有 14.29%,非盈利率高达 78.57%,这不是适合大品牌或小团队下注的赛道。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:同质化严重、利润被压到价格战区,且新品牌已经出现失败样本。 你现在看到的不是一个可以靠普通选品切进去的市场,而是一个必须靠品牌力、差异化和持续投放硬砸出来的战场;对小商家来说尤其危险。
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近过度拥挤,且新品利润带明显偏低。 新品里可确认的盈利产品只有约34.5%,亏损新品约41.4%,再加上14个新品里有5个亏损且多个品牌需要靠差异化设计和品牌力才能站稳,说明这里不是轻松赚钱的市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0F1YNJJ5G | Josmimic | 2025-03-19 | Yes | $14.44 | 1000pcs | $14440.0 | 18.91% | $2730.61 |
![]() | B0F1YPNZ47 | Josmimic | 2025-03-19 | Yes | $14.4 | 650pcs | $9360.0 | 18.91% | $1769.98 |
![]() | B0FHVM9XD1 | Josmimic | 2025-07-17 | Yes | $14.37 | 650pcs | $9340.5 | 18.87% | $1762.56 |
![]() | B0FYLZ15ST | Mkono | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $19.04 | 400pcs | $7616.0 | 20.43% | $1555.95 |
![]() | B0FHVMG6G2 | Josmimic | 2025-07-17 | Yes | $14.09 | 650pcs | $9158.5 | 16.9% | $1547.79 |
![]() | B0F1STJ993 | bussdis | 2025-03-18 | Yes | $19.18 | 300pcs | $5754.0 | 17.31% | $996.02 |
B0FWC38TK8 | Mkono | 2025-10-15 | Yes | $15.65 | 400pcs | $6260.0 | 15.1% | $945.26 | |
![]() | B0FY2TJ6S6 | Mkono | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $17.16 | 400pcs | $6864.0 | 13.75% | $943.81 |
![]() | B08X239GMZ | SRIWATANA | 2021-02-20 | Yes | $19.13 | 300pcs | $5739.0 | 16.31% | $936.04 |
![]() | B0DHZ9QHQ3 | Josmimic | 2024-09-26 | Yes | $19.88 | 400pcs | $7952.0 | 11.72% | $931.98 |
![]() | B0F48HDB96 | Mkono | 2025-04-09 | Yes | $15.54 | 400pcs | $6216.0 | 14.81% | $920.59 |
![]() | B0DS1SFC7C | Mkono | 2025-01-02 | Yes | $15.15 | 400pcs | $6060.0 | 14.81% | $897.49 |
![]() | B09D3M8L7Q | SRIWATANA | 2022-01-13 | Yes | $18.93 | 300pcs | $5679.0 | 15.02% | $852.99 |
![]() | B0F83QXWVN | VLANDO | 2025-05-09 | Yes | $17.36 | 300pcs | $5208.0 | 14.07% | $732.77 |
![]() | B0DMDG4Q8M | bussdis | 2024-02-21 | Yes | $13.32 | 300pcs | $3996.0 | 16.44% | $656.95 |
![]() | B0GFCYVC62 | Mkono | 2026-01-07 | Yes | $18.01 | 200pcs | $3602.0 | 15.45% | $556.51 |
![]() | B0FR8D356H | Mkono | 2025-09-16 | Yes | $17.42 | 200pcs | $3484.0 | 14.17% | $493.69 |
![]() | B0F1CS6FJM | Josmimic | 2025-03-13 | Yes | $19.88 | 200pcs | $3976.0 | 11.22% | $446.11 |
![]() | B0F1CQPNKD | Josmimic | 2025-03-13 | Yes | $19.68 | 200pcs | $3936.0 | 11.01% | $433.36 |
![]() | B0CT2CBTNJ | lengnoyp | 2024-01-23 | Yes | $9.86 | 300pcs | $2958.0 | 13.21% | $390.76 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FYLZ15ST | Mkono | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $19.04 | 400pcs | $7616.0 | 20.43% | $1555.95 |
B0FWC38TK8 | Mkono | 2025-10-15 | Yes | $15.65 | 400pcs | $6260.0 | 15.1% | $945.26 | |
![]() | B0FY2TJ6S6 | Mkono | 2025-10-28 | Yes | $17.16 | 400pcs | $6864.0 | 13.75% | $943.81 |
![]() | B0GFCYVC62 | Mkono | 2026-01-07 | Yes | $18.01 | 200pcs | $3602.0 | 15.45% | $556.51 |
![]() | B0FR8D356H | Mkono | 2025-09-16 | Yes | $17.42 | 200pcs | $3484.0 | 14.17% | $493.69 |
![]() | B0H1GS3D33 | Mkono | 2026-05-12 | Yes | $17.61 | 100pcs | $1761.0 | 14.45% | $254.47 |
B0FRMVVPFG | lengnoyp | 2025-09-18 | Yes | $11.66 | 200pcs | $2332.0 | 10.57% | $246.5 | |
![]() | B0FPWZMGR4 | SONGMICS | 2025-12-27 | Yes | $19.58 | 50pcs | $979.0 | 13.28% | $130.02 |
![]() | B0GD7656S8 | PABOBIT | 2026-03-11 | Yes | $14.97 | 50pcs | $748.5 | 11.77% | $88.1 |
这个市场不值得进入:已经接近价格战区,而且新品牌成功率只有15.38%,新上架里84.62%都不赚钱。 旧品牌更强,成功主要被 Mkono 这类老牌吃掉;对小商家来说,真正能算“合法成功”的只有 PABOBIT(B0GD7656S8,月营收约748.50美元)这类少数案例,但它的打法仍然偏差异化+营销,并不是低成本就能复制。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场已经进入高风险、偏价格战状态,不适合现在进场。 近几个月新品牌持续出现,但新品牌整体成功率只有15.38%,失败率高达84.62%;同时,最近进入的很多产品利润率集中在10%以下,说明竞争正在加剧,越晚进入越难赚到钱。
证据很直接:2025年后新品牌和新产品明显在增多,但利润并没有同步改善。 2025年新品牌新产品里,只有2个是盈利的,对应品牌只有 PABOBIT 和 SONGMICS;其余11个新品牌新产品都不赚钱。到了2026年,盈利新产品仍然只看到 Mkono、PABOBIT 这类少数品牌在撑场,更多新进入产品落在0%~20%利润区间甚至亏损。按时间看,2025年到2026年这一段里,亏损案例持续出现,尤其 ProCase 的 B0F53X72FQ(600件/月,月亏损约$2436.3,利润率-27.07%)和 TENINYU 的 B0FN7PZ6S5(300件/月,月亏损约$619.91,利润率-23.67%)都说明这不是“新手友好”的市场。更关键的是,亏损新产品里像 JOPBENG、ProCase、Lolalet 这些品牌反复出现,说明市场不是靠普通小品牌就能稳定做起来,而是被少数更强的品牌和更激进的打法占住了。
对大品牌进入:虽然用户预算有50万人民币,表面上够做单个ASIN,但这个市场要跑出来通常还要额外投入品牌、内容、甚至研发,不是只靠首批货能解决的;如果要参考,应该看 SONGMICS、Mkono、PABOBIT 这类少数还能做出盈利的新产品,但它们的优势更像是品牌和运营能力,不是低成本复制。对小商家进入:几乎没有能拿来当真正成功案例的“低评论、真小卖家”样本,现有成功更多像强运营或强品牌,不是低门槛机会;如果想靠常规打法进入,风险非常大。结论很明确:不要进入。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |