
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌新上架的成功率是0%,最近一批新产品全部亏损,利润区间也已经落在-24.13%到-5.17%,典型价格战市场。 更关键的是,近一年已经出现5个新品牌、6个新发布,但没有一个跑出可复制的盈利样本;这不是“少数没做好”,而是整个赛道已经被压到几乎没有利润空间。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:你现在有50万人民币,足够做单个ASIN的前期入场,但这个市场不值得进。 关键不是钱不够,而是市场已经进入高风险的低利润、低成功率状态;按现有数据看,几乎没有可复制的赚钱样本,进入后更像是在和价格战硬碰硬。
证据非常清楚:市场里可识别利润的产品盈利率是0.00%,新发布产品盈利率也是0.00%;新品牌新发布产品的盈利率同样是0%,而新品牌新发布产品的非盈利率是100.00%。 这不是“少数失败”,而是典型的失血型市场。你要重点注意,样本里已经出现明显的“低价堆量但不赚钱”特征:YEXEXINM 的 ASIN B0G6Z7TGTV 售价约15.12美元,月卖50单,月流水约75,600,但利润率是-21.44%;Xaajooio 的 ASIN B0GK6SCPVP 售价约20.30美元,利润率-1.24%,仍然不赚钱。产品形态也高度同质化,常见的只是透明亚克力、旋转收纳塔、木质分层架这类基础方案,差异点很弱。再看品牌表现,YEXEXINM、Xaajooio 都是新入场品牌,当前可见的盈利产品数都是0;PROSCALE 作为老品牌同样没有盈利产品和有效收入,说明这个类目不是“新手没做好”,而是整体赚钱空间被压得很低。市场趋势也不支持进入:已知新品牌新发产品里,能赚钱的几乎为0,而非盈利占比极高,说明不是上升期,而是被挤压期。
如果你硬要做,大品牌也不是“高胜率”,只是“有资源才勉强可能”;小商家更不适合,除非你能找到真正差异化且预算远高于表面开款成本。 你现在50万人民币,按单个ASIN前几个月的采购、物流、广告是够的,但这只是入场费,不包含研发、品牌、认证和长期投放;而这个市场里真正能活下来的,明显不是靠基础款,而是靠更重的品牌和更强的打法。可作为大品牌观察对象的只有 YEXEXINM 的 B0G6Z7TGTV 和 Xaajooio 的 B0GK6SCPVP,这两个都在亏损,只能反向证明成本压力和同质化严重;对小商家来说,连“<300评价/年”的真实成功案例都没看到,反而更像是需要激进投放甚至偏掠夺式营销才能换来短期销量。短结论:不要进入。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显是价格战+低回报市场:新品牌新上架产品里,盈利率是0%,所有可识别的新品牌新上架都没跑通;同时当前样本里可见的新品牌进入在持续增加,但 2025-2026 这批新品几乎全是亏损,说明竞争已经把利润压没了。对大品牌和小卖家都不是好机会,结论很直接:不要进。
这不是适合进入的市场:已明显过热,而且新品牌几乎没有真实成功样本。 现在看到的不是健康竞争,而是低利润、低成功率、还夹杂高风险营销的市场;无论大品牌还是小商家,都不应该把它当成可投市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B0G6Z7TGTV | YEXEXINM | 2025-12-15 | No | $15.12 | 50pcs | $756.0 | -21.44% | $-162.08 |
![]() | B0GSZ963YS | auriikoop | 2026-03-18 | No | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | -11.48% | $-80.3 |
![]() | B0H1LLSHN4 | Vowcarol | 2026-05-21 | No | $7.99 | 50pcs | $399.5 | -7.68% | $-30.68 |
![]() | B0GK6SCPVP | Xaajooio | 2026-01-28 | No | $20.3 | -pcs | $- | -1.24% | $- |
![]() | B0FY54GRNX | Vowcarol | 2025-11-06 | No | $12.99 | -pcs | $- | -30.58% | $- |
![]() | B0GJPCDNMM | HYLEBOR | 2026-01-25 | No | $20.47 | -pcs | $- | -15.47% | $- |
![]() | B0F8L9TTP3 | PROSCALE | 2025-05-05 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0BD653NFJ | tinctor | 2022-09-05 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0G6Z7TGTV | YEXEXINM | 2025-12-15 | No | $15.12 | 50pcs | $756.0 | -21.44% | $-162.08 |
![]() | B0GSZ963YS | auriikoop | 2026-03-18 | No | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | -11.48% | $-80.3 |
![]() | B0H1LLSHN4 | Vowcarol | 2026-05-21 | No | $7.99 | 50pcs | $399.5 | -7.68% | $-30.68 |
![]() | B0GK6SCPVP | Xaajooio | 2026-01-28 | No | $20.3 | -pcs | $- | -1.24% | $- |
![]() | B0FY54GRNX | Vowcarol | 2025-11-06 | No | $12.99 | -pcs | $- | -30.58% | $- |
![]() | B0GJPCDNMM | HYLEBOR | 2026-01-25 | No | $20.47 | -pcs | $- | -15.47% | $- |
这不是一个值得进入的市场:新品牌和老品牌的新上架产品成功率都是 0%,而且最近几个月新增的 6 个样本全部亏损,已经进入明显的价格战/饱和区。 用户预算 50万人民币看起来不算低,但在这个品类里,钱并没有换来可复制的利润,反而更像是在为激烈投放和低毛利买单。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的价格战+过度拥挤市场。 近一年新品牌进入明显增加,但盈利几乎为零:新品牌新发布盈利率是0%,市场整体可识别的盈利率也是0%,最近新增的样本里全部都是非盈利;同时,近两个月的新入场还在继续出现亏损产品,说明不是在变好,而是在恶化。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |