
这个市场不适合进入,已经进入严重价格战并且明显过热。 结论很直接:新品牌只有 1 个(MetL),但它的新品成功率是 0%;全市场 23 个新发布产品里,盈利率也是 0%,而且新产品利润区间落在 -47.72% 到 -19.17%,说明不是正常竞争,而是成本、运费和平台费用把新品直接压垮了。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不能进入。这个市场已经明显是高风险价格战市场,不适合大品牌也不适合小商家。 证据很直接:新品牌新品盈利率为0%,新品牌新品未盈利率为100%;而市场层面的新品利润率区间甚至落在-47.72%到-19.17%,说明大多数新品一上架就被成本、运费和平台费用压垮了。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显过热,而且正在走向价格战。 核心原因很直接:新品牌的盈利成功率是0%,新产品整体盈利率也只有0%,市场里利润为正的产品只占8%,而新品牌的代表案例 MetL 直接翻车,说明新入场者几乎没有容错空间。
这个市场不值得进入,已经是严重拥挤的价格战市场。 新品牌几乎没有成功窗口;当前数据里新上架产品盈利率是0%,整体盈利产品只占8%,而新产品里低于10%利润的占到56.52%,说明不是正常竞争,而是大牌主导、利润被压薄的高风险战场。
从证据看,市场明显在恶化:2025年新产品只有5个非盈利,2026年新产品已出现5个非盈利、12个老品牌新挂品全部非盈利;新品牌这边只有 MetL 出现新产品,但也是非盈利,说明新品牌进入几乎没有真实跑通的案例。老品牌里只有少数产品还能赚钱,比如 GHOST 的 B0CG1CV9T6 月销量4000、月营收118440美元、利润13454.79美元;ZOA 的 B09WJJX8W4 月营收48280美元、利润4828美元;Alani Nu 的 B08YHTMTBD 月营收29020美元、利润4915.99美元。相比之下,大量新产品直接亏损:Bloom Nutrition 的 B0FL9GK819 月亏256163.7美元,C4 的 B0FVN8MGPQ 月亏70648.52美元,Guayaki 的 B0GLTR15WK、B0GLTB9QDZ、B0GN4GFDSP 都在持续亏损,说明要么靠品牌力,要么靠重投入和强营销,普通新卖家很难复制。用户预算500000元看似能覆盖入场,但在这个类目里,真正能活下来的多是老牌大公司;而且高销量样本里不少产品一年能做200+到30000+件,按你的规则已经接近或属于“高压营销/疑似激进打法”,对小卖家不是友好信号。
结论很直接:不建议继续做这个类目。 大品牌若硬进,也要准备高额投放和品牌战,且仍然面临利润被压;小商家没有不靠激进营销就能稳定成功的真实样本。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CG1CV9T6 | GHOST | 2023-08-18 | Yes | $29.61 | 4000pcs | $118440.0 | 11.36% | $13454.79 |
![]() | B08YHTMTBD | Alani Nu | 2020-01-30 | Yes | $29.02 | 1000pcs | $29020.0 | 16.94% | $4915.99 |
![]() | B09WJJX8W4 | ZOA | 2022-04-09 | Yes | $24.14 | 2000pcs | $48280.0 | 10.0% | $4828.0 |
![]() | B08PDM4JYH | ZOA | 2021-11-03 | Yes | $32.27 | 1000pcs | $32270.0 | 14.53% | $4688.84 |
![]() | B08PDNJTD8 | ZOA | 2021-02-04 | Yes | $30.3 | 1000pcs | $30300.0 | 12.14% | $3678.42 |
![]() | B09LZ89NNG | ZOA | 2021-11-03 | Yes | $30.36 | 500pcs | $15180.0 | 12.08% | $1833.75 |
![]() | B09YFNB2KY | EHP Labs | 2022-04-20 | Yes | $29.95 | 400pcs | $11980.0 | 13.59% | $1628.09 |
![]() | B015TTV5B4 | Guru | 2015-09-25 | Yes | $32.99 | 200pcs | $6598.0 | 19.3% | $1273.42 |
![]() | B0864WY2VM | YERBAÉ | 2019-04-01 | Yes | $33.94 | 250pcs | $8485.0 | 10.75% | $912.14 |
![]() | B0BYYVJ3TH | YERBAÉ | 2023-03-20 | Yes | $34.86 | 50pcs | $1743.0 | 13.75% | $239.67 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FL9GK819 | Bloom Nutrition | 2025-08-05 | No | $24.7 | 30000pcs | $741000.0 | -34.57% | $-256163.7 |
![]() | B0FVN8MGPQ | C4 | 2025-10-10 | No | $27.81 | 6000pcs | $166860.0 | -42.34% | $-70648.52 |
![]() | B0FVNJRRJQ | C4 | 2025-10-10 | No | $27.99 | 3000pcs | $83970.0 | -42.64% | $-35804.8 |
![]() | B0GLTVDCM7 | Guayaki | 2026-02-06 | No | $33.87 | 3000pcs | $101610.0 | -24.16% | $-24548.97 |
![]() | B0G8771WSF | Starbucks | 2025-12-18 | No | $19.13 | 2000pcs | $38260.0 | -59.64% | $-22818.26 |
![]() | B0GVLCLWR7 | C4 | 2026-03-31 | No | $28.85 | 2000pcs | $57700.0 | -39.24% | $-22641.48 |
![]() | B0FQCRPHR9 | V8 | 2025-12-17 | No | $20.81 | 800pcs | $16648.0 | -69.14% | $-11510.42 |
![]() | B0GFFRFSMS | ZOA | 2026-01-08 | No | $21.53 | 900pcs | $19377.0 | -46.68% | $-9045.18 |
![]() | B0GFMKBHBS | Guayaki | 2026-01-19 | No | $33.79 | 1000pcs | $33790.0 | -25.95% | $-8768.5 |
![]() | B0GLTB9QDZ | Guayaki | 2026-02-06 | No | $33.79 | 1000pcs | $33790.0 | -25.5% | $-8616.45 |
![]() | B0GLTR15WK | Guayaki | 2026-02-06 | No | $33.85 | 1000pcs | $33850.0 | -25.39% | $-8594.51 |
![]() | B0GN4GFDSP | Guayaki | 2026-02-11 | No | $33.8 | 800pcs | $27040.0 | -25.85% | $-6989.84 |
![]() | B0GSXP67QM | Guayaki | 2026-04-08 | No | $33.48 | 400pcs | $13392.0 | -29.05% | $-3890.37 |
![]() | B0GLHVG8CJ | GURU | 2026-02-04 | No | $32.99 | 200pcs | $6598.0 | -18.73% | $-1235.8 |
![]() | B0GX2SPZPD | ZOA | 2026-04-22 | No | $24.99 | 2000pcs | $49980.0 | 9.25% | $4623.15 |
![]() | B0H89MK8NF | GURU | 2026-07-09 | No | $32.99 | -pcs | $- | -18.49% | $- |
![]() | B0GLHZJJP1 | GURU | 2026-02-04 | No | $32.99 | -pcs | $- | -22.99% | $- |
![]() | B0H62JWCM2 | Joggy | 2026-06-19 | No | $39.99 | -pcs | $- | 18.57% | $- |
![]() | B0H89Z8WKT | GURU | 2026-07-09 | No | $32.99 | -pcs | $- | -18.22% | $- |
![]() | B0GY2811YP | Lucky Energy | 2026-04-21 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:已进入价格战/过度拥挤区,新品牌和老品牌的新上架产品几乎都在失败。 现有样本里,新上架产品成功率是0%,整体可识别盈利率只有8%,说明不是“能不能做”的问题,而是“进去大概率亏”的问题;对小企业来说尤其不成立,因为真实可复制的小品牌成功样本几乎没有。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,直接判定为高风险且已进入价格战区:23个新发布里,盈利率是0%,新品牌和老品牌的新发布都没有跑出可确认盈利的样本;最近一年与最近几个月的新增都在变差,说明不是机会窗口,而是在快速内卷。对大品牌来说,虽然有资金硬扛,但要拿到结果也得接受8.5万~21.7万美元/单品的启动投入,而且当前新发布的利润区间整体是-47.72%到-19.17%,这不是健康扩张,是持续失血。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |