
这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的高风险价格战区,而且新品牌切入几乎没有成功路径。 现有样本里新品牌只有2个,却带来12个新品,全部0%盈利;整体25个新品里,盈利率也是0%,新产品利润区间直接落在-50.99%到-37.75%,说明不是利润薄,而是新品一进来就亏。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:不建议进入,这个市场已经进入价格战高风险区,且对新进入者几乎不成立。 你的预算 50万CNY(约合不到10万USD)只能勉强覆盖一条新ASIN的前期起步,而市场里新产品的推荐启动预算中位数约9.8万USD,最低也要约9.56万USD;更关键的是,当前新进入产品的利润率区间大致在 -50.99% 到 -37.75%,说明不是“赚多赚少”的问题,而是多数新品先天亏钱。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经是高风险价格战市场,而且对新品牌和小商家都不友好。 关键证据很直接:市场整体可盈利产品只有5.80%,新品盈利率是0%,而新品利润区间落在-50.99%到-37.75%之间;这说明新进入者几乎都在亏钱,属于明显的“越打越薄”市场。
大品牌入口方面,也不是好机会。 这个类目里可见的新品牌只有2个,已出现Liquid Death和3D两家新品牌,但它们的新发布产品几乎全军覆没:Liquid Death 6个新品全部亏损,3D 6个新品也全部亏损;老品牌新发布同样是100%亏损,说明不是“新品牌不行”,而是整个赛道被成本、投放和定价压得没有空间。市场样本总收入约1882万美元,但这不是机会信号,因为赚钱集中在少数老牌强势产品上,比如CELSIUS的B00AATAHY0,单个ASIN月销2万、月营收52.36万美元、利润率12.3%,但它的进入早、品牌强、累计早期投入高达418.88万美元,明显不是你500000元预算能复制的打法。
小商家也不适合进场。 真正能作为小商家参考的成功案例几乎没有;反而更像“可复制失败样本”的是3D的B0GVZHWNQT,单价25.99美元、月销只有100、利润率-48.25%,而同品牌另一款B0H7FM1VFN虽然卖到368条评价,也仍处于未验证销量阶段且利润率-55.57%,这类产品更像靠激进投放撑出来的“predatory competitors”,不是小商家成功案例。你500000元预算虽然高于市场新品推荐中位预算约97967美元的人民币等值需求,但这个市场的问题不是“钱不够”,而是即使投入到位,回报结构也极差。结论很明确:不要进入。 如果一定要参考,只能学CELSIUS B00AATAHY0的健康型提神定位、细长标准罐、无糖+200mg咖啡因的清晰卖点;但对小商家来说,这条路仍然不成立。
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:已进入价格战+过度拥挤状态,新品牌几乎没有可复制的盈利空间。 新品里可识别利润率的样本中,亏损占比高达64%,10%以下利润的产品几乎没有,整体新品牌新上架盈利率为0%,这不是“还能试试”的市场,而是“先天就难赚”的市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B00AATAHY0 | CELSIUS | 2012-11-22 | Yes | $26.18 | 20000pcs | $523600.0 | 12.35% | $64664.6 |
![]() | B08YHTMTBD | Alani Nu | 2020-01-30 | Yes | $29.02 | 5000pcs | $145100.0 | 16.94% | $24579.94 |
![]() | B0BL77MRYT | Monster | 2023-01-02 | Yes | $32.2 | 7000pcs | $225400.0 | 10.43% | $23509.22 |
![]() | B0CG1CV9T6 | GHOST | 2023-08-18 | Yes | $29.61 | 4000pcs | $118440.0 | 11.36% | $13454.79 |
![]() | B0C5K4BK4F | GORGIE | 2023-05-17 | Yes | $31.35 | 1000pcs | $31350.0 | 30.98% | $9712.24 |
![]() | B0864WY2VM | YERBAÉ | 2019-04-01 | Yes | $33.94 | 500pcs | $16970.0 | 10.75% | $1824.28 |
![]() | B09YFNB2KY | EHP Labs | 2022-04-20 | Yes | $29.95 | 400pcs | $11980.0 | 13.59% | $1628.09 |
![]() | B0BCDLGBHR | Plant Press | 2022-08-29 | Yes | $37.99 | 50pcs | $1899.5 | 18.49% | $351.22 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FL9GK819 | Bloom Nutrition | 2025-08-05 | No | $24.7 | 30000pcs | $741000.0 | -34.57% | $-256163.7 |
B0FZDXX6WJ | Bloom Nutrition | 2025-11-03 | No | $24.6 | 10000pcs | $246000.0 | -34.53% | $-84943.8 | |
![]() | B0GVTZ6NPD | Bloom Nutrition | 2026-04-02 | No | $18.01 | 9000pcs | $162090.0 | -39.7% | $-64349.73 |
![]() | B0G174Q4FR | Bloom Nutrition | 2025-11-06 | No | $24.02 | 7000pcs | $168140.0 | -36.34% | $-61102.07 |
![]() | B0FVB3JXKR | Liquid Death | 2025-11-18 | No | $21.85 | 3000pcs | $65550.0 | -45.05% | $-29530.27 |
![]() | B0GMTN74CB | Liquid Death | 2026-03-02 | No | $19.98 | 2500pcs | $49950.0 | -51.9% | $-25924.05 |
![]() | B0FV9TLLXN | Liquid Death | 2025-11-18 | No | $22.65 | 2500pcs | $56625.0 | -41.76% | $-23646.6 |
![]() | B0FV9X1KJG | Liquid Death | 2025-11-18 | No | $22.93 | 2500pcs | $57325.0 | -37.24% | $-21347.83 |
![]() | B0FV9BGJG1 | Liquid Death | 2025-11-18 | No | $22.19 | 2000pcs | $44380.0 | -43.57% | $-19336.36 |
![]() | B0GN4X1D5D | REDCON1 | 2026-02-12 | No | $26.65 | 700pcs | $18655.0 | -47.2% | $-8805.16 |
![]() | B0GT6ZFVBW | 3D | 2026-03-19 | No | $25.99 | 500pcs | $12995.0 | -47.99% | $-6236.3 |
![]() | B0GS3ZQB83 | 3D | 2026-03-10 | No | $23.97 | 300pcs | $7191.0 | -55.7% | $-4005.38 |
![]() | B0GLK5XZ71 | 3D | 2026-02-16 | No | $25.99 | 300pcs | $7797.0 | -47.99% | $-3741.78 |
![]() | B0FY746Y7R | REDCON1 | 2025-10-29 | No | $27.86 | 300pcs | $8358.0 | -42.49% | $-3551.31 |
![]() | B0GRK4JPMM | Jocko Fuel | 2026-03-05 | No | $36.98 | 1000pcs | $36980.0 | -8.34% | $-3084.13 |
![]() | B0GVZHWNQT | 3D | 2026-04-03 | No | $25.99 | 100pcs | $2599.0 | -48.25% | $-1254.01 |
![]() | B0H7FM1VFN | 3D | 2026-07-09 | No | $25.99 | -pcs | $- | -55.57% | $- |
![]() | B0H5F1SG6J | CELSIUS | 2026-06-15 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G26HR2D3 | Liquid Death | 2025-11-13 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GQ36RFNS | C4 | 2026-02-25 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不能进,结论很明确:新品成功率为0%,新品牌新品也为0%,而且新上架产品几乎全部在亏钱,已经是典型的价格战+高门槛市场。 对小商家和大品牌都不友好;大品牌即使有钱,也要面对极高的投放和品牌教育成本,小商家如果没有明显差异化和更强资金,基本没有合法、稳定的切入点。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经进入超饱和和价格战区。 近一年新品牌与新上新几乎全线失败,最近的入场趋势还在继续走弱;不管是大品牌还是小商家,现在进场都不占优。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |