
结论很直接:这个市场不该进,已经是高竞争、接近价格战的危险区。 你虽然有50万人民币预算,表面上够做一款单品启动,但市场里新品整体只有12.5%能跑到可盈利水平,而且近期进入者几乎都在亏;这不是“拼一拼就能赢”的盘子。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不该进。 你现在的预算是50万人民币,表面上看能覆盖少数单品的前期启动,但市场里新品盈利率只有12.5%,整体可盈利产品比例也只有29.41%,而且新入场品牌里已经出现了明显的失败样本,这不是一个适合普通新卖家切入的环境。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,属于明显的高风险甚至接近价格战区。 新品牌在新品里的盈利率只有12.5%,而未盈利率高达83.33%;更关键的是,2026年已经出现6个新品牌新品失败、只有1个新品牌新品成功,说明不是单点失误,而是进入门槛在快速抬高,市场正在往“谁更会烧钱、谁更有品牌力”倾斜。
这个市场不值得进入,属于明显的价格战高风险区,但还没到“品牌泛滥到完全无解”的程度。 现有新产品里,能跑出正利润的只占少数,而且新品牌新上架的成功率极低;真正能赚钱的主要还是老品牌和强品牌,新品牌如果没有明显创新、品牌势能或额外投放,基本很难站住。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B00FBCZCWS | KIND | 2013-03-26 | Yes | $14.22 | 1000pcs | $14220.0 | 16.24% | $2309.33 |
![]() | B000ENWSC6 | LÄRABAR | 2011-08-21 | Yes | $22.23 | 400pcs | $8892.0 | 23.06% | $2050.5 |
B0CNBM8HBT | SOUTH FORTY SNACKS | 2023-11-14 | Yes | $33.99 | 100pcs | $3399.0 | 27.77% | $943.91 | |
![]() | B07D5GZ88Y | The YES Bar | 2018-05-12 | Yes | $13.38 | 300pcs | $4014.0 | 15.21% | $610.53 |
![]() | B0GH9D91N2 | Simple Mills | 2026-01-16 | Yes | $22.16 | 100pcs | $2216.0 | 16.27% | $360.55 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GH9D91N2 | Simple Mills | 2026-01-16 | Yes | $22.16 | 100pcs | $2216.0 | 16.27% | $360.55 |
这个市场不值得进入,已经是高竞争、明显偏价格战的市场:新产品总体盈利率只有29.41%,而新上架产品的盈利率只有12.50%,意味着绝大多数新货都没跑出来;更关键的是,2026年新发布里只有1个赚钱、却有6个亏钱,趋势是新进者在快速变差,不是在变好。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品牌已经明显吃亏,利润又在向低位集中,属于高竞争、接近价格战的危险区。 现有数据里,新品牌新上架产品的盈利率只有16.67%,而非盈利率高达83.33%;老品牌的新上架产品则是0%盈利、100%不盈利,说明连大牌的新切入也在失手,市场不是“还能拼一下”,而是“进来就很难赚”。
节奏也在变差,不是在变好。 从时间看,2026年1到5月连续出现新上架,但盈利案例只有1个,且盈利产品只出现在Simple Mills的B0GH9D91N2这一单;其余像 Generic 的B0FL12FQDK、LÄRABAR 的B0GMXD862W、Deliciously Ella 的B0GYQ925L9、KIND 的B0GYZZ45HD、Collin Street Bakery 的B0GKPW9BF1、Simple Mills 的B0GR8151PP、B0H1P2R3X3,都是非盈利。也就是说,近期不是“新机会变多”,而是“新进入者里失败占绝对多数”;从样本看,市场没有出现大量高利润新品,反而是高价位、同质化、低差异的产品更容易亏。
对大品牌来说,虽然你有500000 CNY预算,但这类市场并不适合硬冲:成功样本主要是靠品牌力和老链接延续出来的,如 KIND 的B00FBCZCWS、LÄRABAR 的B000ENWSC6,以及 Simple Mills 的B0GH9D91N2;而失败的新切入普遍是“看起来功能很多、其实没壁垒”,例如 B0GYQ925L9、B0FL12FQDK、B0GMXD862W。对小商家来说更差,真正可参考的“小商家成功”几乎没有;而且市场里明显存在靠强营销和品牌认知撑起来的旧品牌,普通新品牌如果想挤进去,往往得接受很重的投放、包装和产品创新成本,甚至会被迫打更激进的营销。结论:不要进。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |