
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的饱和叠加价格战市场。 新品牌一共18个,已经触发过度拥挤警报;新品牌新品盈利率是0%,全部46个新品牌新品都没跑出有效利润,放到所有新发布产品里,真正盈利的只有1.30%,而最近入场的产品利润率大多落在0%以下,说明竞争不是“能不能做”,而是“进去后大概率被卷亏”。
证据非常清楚,且对大品牌和小生意都不友好。 市场里有37个老品牌在压阵,像 SECLENT、GLATABAM、Torchero、Miuyhji、EWAFILU 这些品牌都在持续铺新品,但结果几乎都是亏损:SECLENT 13个产品里0个盈利,GLATABAM 7个产品里0个盈利,Torchero 4个产品里0个盈利,Miuyhji 1个新品亏损,EWAFILU 2个新品全亏。具体看代表性样本,GLATABAM 的 B0FQ4S4LFC 还有 -17.64% 利润率,Torchero 的 B0GV2QQF71 是 -21.54%,SECLENT 的 B0GT3924ST 是 -24.29%,Miuyhji 的 B0FG2KFZDN 虽然做到了 100 单/月、214,400 美元收入,但利润率仍是 -9.07%,而且花了 9,662.94 CNY;EWAFILU 的 B0H7VKN5G3 只有 5.71% 利润率,几乎没有可持续空间。更关键的是,样本里 1218 评的 Miuyhji、395 评的 Torchero,和多条 500+ 评新品一起出现,这种评论密度很像强推式打法,不是小生意能复制的正常打法。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,且用户预算不够支撑一个有胜算的切入。 这里已经出现明显的价格战和高失败率,新品利润空间普遍很薄,用户的50万人民币只能覆盖少数单品的前期投入,远远不够支撑后续品牌、研发和长期投放。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不该进入:已经明显进入过度拥挤和价格战区,新老品牌几乎都在亏,成功率只有2.40%,而新品盈利率只有1.30%。 你现在面对的不是“还能不能做”,而是“要不要避免被卷进去”;从数据看,答案是否定的。
市场里新品牌进场很多,且旧品牌占据了新上架产品的主体,说明竞争早就不是空白期。新品牌的样本里,盈利几乎为零:GLATABAM 7个产品里0个盈利,Torchero 4个产品里0个盈利,Miuyhji 1个产品亏损,EWAFILU 2个产品全亏;更关键的是,Miuyhji 单个ASIN预算已经到 9662.94 CNY,却只有 9.07% 的亏损边缘结果,Torchero 也要约 7204.19 CNY 预算,依然是 -21.54%,GLATABAM 的高销量款仍然是 -17.64% 和 -27.66%。这说明这里不是“低预算可快速切入”的市场,而是“投了钱也很难跑赢”的市场;如果没有明显创新、品牌势能或渠道优势,小生意会被直接挤出。大品牌也不该进,小生意更不该进。
这个市场不值得进入:新品盈利面极差,已经是明显的价格战/过度拥挤市场。 新品里只有3.9%落在10%-20%利润区间,0%-10%只有3.9%,而亏损新品占了55.8%;更关键的是,低于0%的新品占57.1%,说明绝大多数新品连基本利润都做不出来。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0DPNN7TCS | Tribello | 2024-12-09 | Yes | $18.78 | 1000pcs | $18780.0 | 12.39% | $2326.85 |
![]() | B0CHDWQQ11 | Canfanni | 2023-09-06 | Yes | $14.31 | 400pcs | $5724.0 | 11.89% | $680.59 |
![]() | B0G4M1SR42 | Mifoci | 2025-12-01 | Yes | $24.13 | 200pcs | $4826.0 | 13.6% | $656.34 |
![]() | B0D9NP4M85 | Mitsemmo | 2024-10-19 | Yes | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | 11.95% | $83.6 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0G4M1SR42 | Mifoci | 2025-12-01 | Yes | $24.13 | 200pcs | $4826.0 | 13.6% | $656.34 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经接近/属于价格战与饱和区。 新品牌新上架里,盈利率几乎为零:新品牌新发布盈利率为0%,全部46个样本都是亏损;放到所有新发布样本看,盈利也只有1.33%,而新发布整体盈利占比只有1.30%。同时,老品牌新发布的亏损率高达96.55%,说明这个类目不是“新手友好”,而是被老牌和成熟卖家挤压得非常厉害。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入过热和价格战区。 近期新品几乎全部由新旧品牌密集推出,但新品牌新上架盈利率为0%,新上架非盈利率高达95.83%,老品牌新上架非盈利率也达到96.55%;同时,最近一年新品里,亏损/低利润产品占比压倒性更高,利润表现明显走弱,说明竞争不是在变好,而是在加速恶化。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| 2026 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/9 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2025/10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |