
这个市场不建议进入,已经是典型的价格战高压区,对大品牌和小商家都不友好。 现在的信号很一致:新品牌只有2个,说明不是靠大量新品牌扩张的增量市场;31个新上架里只有4个跑出可见盈利,成功率12.90%,而87.10%仍未跑通,最近一批新产品也没有明显改善,反而继续偏弱。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入,这个市场已经进入价格战区,且对新进入者并不友好。 你的预算 50 万人民币足够覆盖单个 ASIN 的前期启动,但不够把风险低的“稳赢方案”买出来;更关键的是,市场里新品牌新上架的成功率为 0%,而新上架失败率达到 100%,这是很强的警告信号。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,结论很直接:老牌强者还能赚钱,但新品牌/小商家基本没有可复制的胜率,而且明显存在价格战和挤压新进入者的迹象。 你现在的预算 50 万人民币,单个 ASIN 理论上够做首轮投入,但市场里新进入品牌的真实成功样本太弱,且新上架项目里已经出现失败案例,说明这不是一个适合冲进去的类目。
证据很明确:Chomps 这类老牌的成功款 B07MP659BM,售价约 24.79 美元,利润率 33.5%,月销约 9000 件,月收入约 22.31 万美元,前期投入约 17.35 万美元,其中广告就占约 3.86 万美元;B0BWGTZRWQ 也能做到约 29.72% 利润率、月销约 2000 件。说明大品牌凭借品牌力、广告和长期积累,确实能在这个市场吃到利润。但新品牌 RunninWild 的新款 B0FVG6ZCTS 虽然纸面利润率看起来有 18.67%,却是新品、无销量、无有效收入、只拿到 1 条评论,已经被判定为不赚钱,说明这类“看起来有毛利”的新品,实际跑不动。更关键的是,品牌级数据里 RunninWild 的可识别盈利率是 0%,新产品盈利率也是 0%;Chomps 虽然整体表现强,但新产品盈利率只有 50%,也不是轻松复制的模式。按你的规则,高利润老牌成功不等于小商家可进入,反而说明门槛高、品牌优势重。
如果你要看可学对象,big brand 只能学 Chomps 的方向:高客单价、清晰口味细分、稳定爆款、强广告投入;可复制的 ASIN 是 B07MP659BM,次级参考 B0BWGTZRWQ。小商家这边没有真正合格的成功样本可当标杆;RunninWild 的 B0FVG6ZCTS 应该作为反面教材,说明不要只看毛利,不要做“新品+无销量+低评论”的单品硬冲。短结论:别进;对大品牌也是高投入竞争市场,对小商家更是高风险且不具备稳定成功路径。
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显接近/进入价格战区,而且新品牌机会很差。 30个品牌里只有2个是新品牌,说明不是“新品牌大量涌入”的那种全面过热,但新上架产品里可见的盈利率只有12.90%,多数新产品要么亏损、要么还没跑出来;更关键的是,当前能站住脚的高利润产品几乎都来自老品牌,且不少依赖品牌势能和老ASIN延伸。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B07MP659BM | Chomps | 2018-12-30 | Yes | $24.79 | 9000pcs | $223110.0 | 33.5% | $74741.85 |
![]() | B09XCLC7C1 | The New Primal | 2022-04-06 | Yes | $17.98 | 8000pcs | $143840.0 | 20.05% | $28839.92 |
![]() | B0BWGTZRWQ | Chomps | 2023-02-21 | Yes | $22.92 | 2000pcs | $45840.0 | 29.72% | $13623.65 |
![]() | B0B918NJW8 | FATTY | 2022-07-28 | Yes | $12.12 | 4000pcs | $48480.0 | 22.7% | $11004.96 |
![]() | B007K687HA | Old Wisconsin | 2012-03-14 | Yes | $16.46 | 4000pcs | $65840.0 | 13.94% | $9178.1 |
![]() | B07MP67NK6 | Chomps | 2018-12-30 | Yes | $25.6 | 1000pcs | $25600.0 | 34.06% | $8719.36 |
![]() | B0BWH9BHFF | Chomps | 2023-02-21 | Yes | $25.6 | 1000pcs | $25600.0 | 33.88% | $8673.28 |
![]() | B0CCJWG217 | Chomps | 2023-07-21 | Yes | $24.52 | 1000pcs | $24520.0 | 33.24% | $8150.45 |
![]() | B0B91JX91F | FATTY | 2022-07-28 | Yes | $12.46 | 3000pcs | $37380.0 | 13.02% | $4866.88 |
![]() | B0B9193QWK | FATTY | 2023-06-26 | Yes | $15.11 | 950pcs | $14354.5 | 26.96% | $3869.98 |
![]() | B0FRHD4RBT | FATTY | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $16.05 | 1000pcs | $16050.0 | 20.08% | $3222.84 |
![]() | B07Y17398M | RIGHTEOUS FELON | 2019-09-17 | Yes | $24.75 | 400pcs | $9900.0 | 29.07% | $2877.93 |
![]() | B0GVQ97Z9B | Chomps | 2026-04-02 | Yes | $16.99 | 600pcs | $10194.0 | 23.48% | $2393.56 |
![]() | B0FRHKSQD5 | FATTY | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $14.68 | 900pcs | $13212.0 | 17.1% | $2259.26 |
![]() | B0F64CS5KZ | TILLAMOOK COUNTRY SMOKER | 2025-04-24 | Yes | $14.99 | 1000pcs | $14990.0 | 14.28% | $2140.58 |
![]() | B0FCVGGR7Q | The New Primal | 2025-06-11 | Yes | $18.73 | 600pcs | $11238.0 | 18.37% | $2064.43 |
![]() | B0C4BL67V9 | The New Primal | 2023-05-04 | Yes | $12.99 | 900pcs | $11691.0 | 17.41% | $2035.41 |
![]() | B07Y16QHTX | RIGHTEOUS FELON | 2019-09-17 | Yes | $24.61 | 200pcs | $4922.0 | 31.47% | $1548.96 |
![]() | B0BN4PFZRD | The New Primal | 2022-11-22 | Yes | $11.97 | 700pcs | $8379.0 | 14.39% | $1205.74 |
![]() | B0CNKV5XRT | Old Trapper | 2023-11-17 | Yes | $18.84 | 300pcs | $5652.0 | 17.46% | $986.84 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FRHD4RBT | FATTY | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $16.05 | 1000pcs | $16050.0 | 20.08% | $3222.84 |
![]() | B0GVQ97Z9B | Chomps | 2026-04-02 | Yes | $16.99 | 600pcs | $10194.0 | 23.48% | $2393.56 |
![]() | B0FRHKSQD5 | FATTY | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $14.68 | 900pcs | $13212.0 | 17.1% | $2259.26 |
![]() | B0FVHGFZDN | Bavarian Meats | 2025-10-09 | Yes | $15.24 | 200pcs | $3048.0 | 19.65% | $598.94 |
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显是价格战高风险区。 新品成功率只有12.90%,但真正能跑通的成功几乎都集中在老牌和少数强势品牌手里;新品牌这边10个样本里没有一个新品成功,失败率100%,说明新人切入难度很高。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,已经进入高压价格战状态。 近期开店的结果很差:2025年新上架产品里,盈利只有3个、亏损16个;2026年也是1个盈利、11个亏损,最新一批明显不是变好,而是继续变差。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |