
这个市场不值得进入,而且已经是明显的价格战区。 结论很直接:新品牌 5 个、近 13 个新品牌新品里 0 个盈利,整体新上新产品 27 个里盈利率也是 0%,同时大多数新品利润都落在 -8.58% 到 6.47% 之间,说明不是“还有机会”,而是“进来就很难赚到钱”。
从证据看,市场正在被老玩家和低利润打法压住:2025/2026 的新增新品几乎全是失败,新品牌 Voxlumia 5 个新品全亏,Hliay 3 个新品也全亏,Kmise 和 Humyoun 这些新入场者同样没有可验证盈利;更关键的是,活跃且可见的盈利样本主要来自老品牌 Evans、Donner 这类强势玩家。比如 Evans 的 B000FMDIXY 月收入约 3.6 万美元,Donner 的 B0BZH5DXS3 约 2.22 千美元、B0BZHJWT1C 约 2.20 千美元、B0D4QYRLRQ 约 2.10 千美元,这些能赚钱的款都依赖品牌力、老链接基础和功能微创新,不是低成本新品能轻松复制的路径。反过来,典型失败款 B0FZ2K8BKG 虽然月销 600、月收入约 1.80 万美元,利润率仍是 -1.99%,说明在这个市场里“有销量也可能没利润”,而且像 Voxlumia 的 B0GT5MSC76、B0GTMJ1B6T 分别只有 -13.36%、-4.14% 的利润率,Hliay 的 B0GF686846 也没形成真实盈利。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 不是因为没需求,而是因为竞争已经进入低价混战,且新品牌几乎没有成功样本;你手上的 50万人民币预算,足以启动,但不足以把你送进稳定盈利区。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已进入价格战区,而且新品牌几乎没有成功样本。 当前可见的新品牌新品成功率为0%,样本里新品牌新品全是失败;同时旧品牌新品里也几乎都是失败,说明不是靠“换个品牌”就能赢,而是整个赛道都被低利润和同质化压死了。
证据非常硬:市场里可识别的盈利产品只占7.02%,新上新产品盈利率是0%,而新品牌新品盈利率也是0%。 时间趋势上,2025年和2026年持续出现大量新品,但几乎全部落在非盈利区:2025年新增新品里有11个非盈利,2026年到目前又有13个非盈利,说明竞争不是在变好,而是在持续恶化;同时旧品牌新品占比达到5185,市场里几乎是老玩家主导,新品牌想靠常规打法切入,胜率极低。再看典型失败案例:GrowDaily(老品牌)有8个产品,0个盈利,品牌成功率0%;它的单品 B0FZ2K8BKG 月销600、月收入17982美元,但利润率仍是-2.0%,说明即使卖得动,也可能被物流、平台费和投放吃掉。新品牌 Voxlumia 更差,5个产品全部亏损,代表作 B0GT5RFH3H 价格17.95美元,利润率-6.62%;B0GT5MSC76 价格38.19美元,利润率-13.36%;B0GTMJ1B6T 价格18.65美元,利润率-4.14%。这不是“没找到方法”,而是这个价位和结构下,模型本身就不成立。
这个市场不建议进入,已经是明显的价格战/过度饱和市场。 新品利润表现几乎没有健康空间:新上架产品中可确认的盈利率为 0%,新品牌新品盈利率也是 0%;同时,近一年里新品牌集中进入,像 Voxlumia、Hliay、Kmise、Futisma 这类新入场品牌的新产品几乎全部亏损,说明不是靠正常小卖家就能打出来的市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B000FMDIXY | Evans | 2011-03-24 | Yes | $44.99 | 800pcs | $35992.0 | 26.02% | $9365.12 |
![]() | B000FT9ZIO | Evans | 2011-03-25 | Yes | $39.99 | 200pcs | $7998.0 | 33.54% | $2682.53 |
![]() | B000FTFLRS | Evans | 2011-03-24 | Yes | $26.99 | 200pcs | $5398.0 | 36.07% | $1947.06 |
![]() | B000FT9ZIE | Evans | 2011-03-25 | Yes | $24.99 | 100pcs | $2499.0 | 28.98% | $724.22 |
![]() | B0D4QYRLRQ | Evans | 2024-05-21 | Yes | $41.99 | 50pcs | $2099.5 | 31.27% | $656.52 |
![]() | B0BZH5DXS3 | Donner | 2023-03-24 | Yes | $44.47 | 50pcs | $2223.5 | 24.65% | $548.1 |
![]() | B0BZHJWT1C | Donner | 2023-03-24 | Yes | $43.94 | 50pcs | $2197.0 | 24.34% | $534.75 |
![]() | B001A5CKWK | Evans | 2011-03-25 | Yes | $29.99 | 50pcs | $1499.5 | 29.13% | $436.81 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0FZ2K8BKG | GrowDaily | 2025-11-02 | No | $29.97 | 600pcs | $17982.0 | -1.99% | $-357.84 |
![]() | B0G1HBCS14 | Voxlumia | 2025-12-26 | No | $20.89 | 50pcs | $1044.5 | -9.53% | $-99.54 |
![]() | B0GFYTXSK7 | GrowDaily | 2026-01-10 | No | $22.99 | 900pcs | $20691.0 | -0.44% | $-91.04 |
![]() | B0GF686846 | Hliay | 2026-01-06 | No | $39.09 | -pcs | $- | 11.78% | $- |
![]() | B0G2YDC7LW | Maasechs | 2025-11-19 | No | $37.06 | -pcs | $- | -4.48% | $- |
![]() | B0GT5RFH3H | Voxlumia | 2026-03-19 | No | $17.95 | -pcs | $- | -6.62% | $- |
![]() | B0H6B2GTYQ | Kmise | 2026-06-22 | No | $37.02 | -pcs | $- | 10.0% | $- |
![]() | B0G2Y9KDQK | Maasechs | 2025-11-19 | No | $43.74 | -pcs | $- | 3.38% | $- |
![]() | B0FQNTKZ77 | Horse | 2025-09-11 | No | $26.99 | -pcs | $- | -0.09% | $- |
![]() | B0GT5MSC76 | Voxlumia | 2026-01-13 | No | $38.19 | -pcs | $- | -13.36% | $- |
![]() | B0GTMJ1B6T | Voxlumia | 2026-03-23 | No | $18.65 | -pcs | $- | -4.14% | $- |
![]() | B0FQNWD42T | Horse | 2025-09-11 | No | $26.99 | -pcs | $- | -4.11% | $- |
![]() | B0GF6R9J89 | Hliay | 2026-01-06 | No | $39.11 | -pcs | $- | 11.79% | $- |
![]() | B0FQ2VGDXM | Vhffoso | 2025-09-06 | No | $33.99 | -pcs | $- | -6.97% | $- |
![]() | B0GFH6SH2Z | Futisma | 2026-01-08 | No | $21.5 | -pcs | $- | -35.73% | $- |
![]() | B0H6XH5JXR | Kmise | 2026-06-29 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GYCL7CCJ | Hliay | 2026-04-24 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G9CXWXYV | Horse | 2025-12-20 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FR8YB87X | Evans | 2025-09-16 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GS8W6CSK | EASTROCK | 2026-03-12 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显处于过热和价格战状态。 关键结论很直接:新品牌新上架产品的盈利率是0%,整体新上架产品盈利率也是0%,而已识别的盈利产品只占7.02%,这不是可复制的机会,而是被老品牌和高投入玩家挤压的低回报战场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入过热并接近价格战区。 近年新增品牌只有5个,但近27个新上架里没有任何一个达到可验证盈利,整体新发布盈利率是0%,而已识别的市场盈利产品只占7.02%,说明不是“还有机会”,而是“几乎全员在亏”。
证据非常直接:2025到2026的新增发布几乎全军覆没。 2025年新发布25个,盈利0个;2026年新发布27个,盈利仍然0个。按品牌看,新品牌5个分别是 Hliay、Voxlumia、Kmise、Futisma、Humyoun,全部没有可验证盈利;老品牌24个里也没有新发布盈利,说明这不是新手能靠低预算切入的市场,而是连老玩家都在持续试错。再看时间趋势,2025年9月到2026年6月持续有新产品进入,但大多落在“不可盈利”区间,尤其2026年1月、3月、4月、6月都出现连续失败,说明竞争没有变轻,反而在加剧。用户预算50万人民币看起来不低,但这类产品还要额外吃掉R&D、品牌和认证成本,单靠单个ASIN的启动预算根本不够。
对大品牌和小商家都不是好机会。 大品牌这边,没有任何值得模仿的稳定盈利新案例;最强的老品牌参考是 GrowDaily,单品B0FZ2K8BKG虽然有600单/月、179.82万人民币月收入,但利润率仍是-1.99%,而且是老品牌既有链接上的延伸,不是低门槛新品机会。小商家这边也没有真正的成功样本:新品牌里最接近“像样”的 Voxlumia,5个产品、0个盈利,B0GT5MSC76、B0GTMJ1B6T、B0GT5RFH3H、B0G1HBCS14、B0GYKX2Q24全部亏损;Hliay 3个产品同样全亏。更危险的是,市场里出现大量“高评论但仍亏损”的打法,例如 GrowDaily 的 B0FZ2K8BKG 有719条评论却仍为负利润,这非常像依赖强营销/高压打法的竞争环境,不是正常小商家能复制的路径。
大品牌不该进,小商家更不该进;如果硬要做,只能把它当成高风险实验,不是可投放的主战场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |