
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是拥挤且明显向价格战收缩的赛道。 虽然单个新品的入场预算门槛不高,但新品牌成功率只有39.13%,新品牌新品失败率高达60.87%,而且近几个月新品里几乎看不到稳定扩张的迹象,继续推进只会更依赖投放和品牌势能。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不适合进入。 你有50万人民币,单个新品的入场资金是够的,但市场已经明显过热:新品牌有22个,新发布产品46个,且新品牌新品盈利率只有34.38%,非盈利率高达56.25%,这不是可复制的好机会,而是竞争已经把失败率抬高的市场。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入:虽然表面上看新产品利润率不低,但新品牌与旧品牌都在高频进入,且新品牌新上架成功率只有34.38%,失败率56.25%,说明竞争已经很挤,继续做大概率会被价格和投放成本压住。 对小商家来说,只有极少数真正跑出来的低成本案例能看,不能把老品牌的成功当成自己的模板;对大品牌来说,能做,但必须靠明显的品牌势能和更高预算去抢,不是稳健机会。
这个市场不建议进入:新品利润集中在20%~40%,但真正可复制的机会几乎都被老品牌和头部大牌吃掉了;新品牌有利润的比例约34.38%,但新品牌新品不赚钱的比例更高,约56.25%,这说明“能活下来”的多是强品牌或重营销,而不是普通小卖家。 你的预算500000元看起来充足,但市场不是钱不够,而是进入后很容易被压进同质化竞争里,尤其近一年新品中不赚钱的数量已经明显偏多,属于竞争升温、机会在变窄的市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
B0DBF65JYY | medicube | 2024-10-04 | Yes | $18.76 | 60000pcs | $1125600.0 | 32.48% | $365594.88 | |
![]() | B0DCJ7952P | medicube | 2024-08-08 | Yes | $18.76 | 10000pcs | $187600.0 | 28.98% | $54366.48 |
B0FR4QYNK5 | medicube | 2025-09-15 | Yes | $19.08 | 9000pcs | $171720.0 | 28.82% | $49489.71 | |
![]() | B0D137TMRB | medicube | 2024-04-07 | Yes | $19.86 | 6000pcs | $119160.0 | 32.03% | $38166.95 |
![]() | B0FYN9CJKC | medicube | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $14.45 | 10000pcs | $144500.0 | 23.99% | $34665.55 |
B0G29RKZ1H | medicube | 2025-11-14 | Yes | $17.28 | 7000pcs | $120960.0 | 26.46% | $32006.02 | |
![]() | B0GGGCV238 | GOODAL | 2026-01-13 | Yes | $21.01 | 4000pcs | $84040.0 | 30.48% | $25615.4 |
B0DQCLFJCB | medicube | 2024-12-13 | Yes | $21.17 | 3000pcs | $63510.0 | 33.51% | $21282.21 | |
![]() | B0CP3C7TTJ | K-SECRET | 2023-11-28 | Yes | $17.69 | 3000pcs | $53070.0 | 30.24% | $16048.37 |
![]() | B0GTXV3BY2 | Beauty of Joseon | 2026-03-26 | Yes | $17.38 | 3000pcs | $52140.0 | 29.43% | $15344.81 |
![]() | B0DXV9WQ7L | medicube | 2025-02-20 | Yes | $18.32 | 3000pcs | $54960.0 | 27.9% | $15333.85 |
![]() | B0DRNYBX1T | medicube | 2024-12-27 | Yes | $17.33 | 2000pcs | $34660.0 | 33.0% | $11437.8 |
![]() | B07ZKHPV9Y | SKIN1004 | 2019-10-25 | Yes | $12.56 | 4000pcs | $50240.0 | 20.94% | $10520.26 |
B0BTRWGQNV | SKIN1004 | 2023-02-03 | Yes | $14.06 | 3000pcs | $42180.0 | 20.67% | $8718.61 | |
![]() | B0GQ9PPV61 | SKIN1004 | 2026-02-26 | Yes | $16.7 | 2000pcs | $33400.0 | 25.16% | $8403.44 |
![]() | B0H2Q7FYZN | mixsoon | 2026-05-25 | Yes | $21.01 | 1000pcs | $21010.0 | 32.87% | $6905.99 |
![]() | B0F4QRGK2N | VT COSMETICS | 2025-04-14 | Yes | $20.85 | 1000pcs | $20850.0 | 33.09% | $6899.27 |
![]() | B0CPY3Y418 | VT COSMETICS | 2023-12-11 | Yes | $19.55 | 1000pcs | $19550.0 | 32.86% | $6424.13 |
![]() | B0FSJ7CQY6 | ANUA | 2025-01-10 | Yes | $18.0 | 1000pcs | $18000.0 | 33.47% | $6024.6 |
![]() | B0DQCJ9T9N | medicube | 2024-12-13 | Yes | $19.17 | 1000pcs | $19170.0 | 31.36% | $6011.72 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
B0FR4QYNK5 | medicube | 2025-09-15 | Yes | $19.08 | 9000pcs | $171720.0 | 28.82% | $49489.71 | |
![]() | B0FYN9CJKC | medicube | 2025-10-31 | Yes | $14.45 | 10000pcs | $144500.0 | 23.99% | $34665.55 |
B0G29RKZ1H | medicube | 2025-11-14 | Yes | $17.28 | 7000pcs | $120960.0 | 26.46% | $32006.02 | |
![]() | B0GGGCV238 | GOODAL | 2026-01-13 | Yes | $21.01 | 4000pcs | $84040.0 | 30.48% | $25615.4 |
![]() | B0GTXV3BY2 | Beauty of Joseon | 2026-03-26 | Yes | $17.38 | 3000pcs | $52140.0 | 29.43% | $15344.81 |
![]() | B0GQ9PPV61 | SKIN1004 | 2026-02-26 | Yes | $16.7 | 2000pcs | $33400.0 | 25.16% | $8403.44 |
![]() | B0H2Q7FYZN | mixsoon | 2026-05-25 | Yes | $21.01 | 1000pcs | $21010.0 | 32.87% | $6905.99 |
![]() | B0FMXQBQLX | Dr.Althea | 2025-08-19 | Yes | $17.76 | 900pcs | $15984.0 | 26.88% | $4296.5 |
![]() | B0GJ332LJH | Kuri Nuka | 2026-01-22 | Yes | $19.97 | 700pcs | $13979.0 | 30.03% | $4197.9 |
![]() | B0GHY29YHR | SKSOYT | 2026-03-29 | Yes | $16.59 | 550pcs | $9124.5 | 24.57% | $2241.89 |
![]() | B0FNRLBW86 | SKSOYT | 2025-10-19 | Yes | $15.68 | 550pcs | $8624.0 | 23.9% | $2061.14 |
![]() | B0GK2HW2Z5 | Tree of Life | 2026-06-04 | Yes | $15.28 | 400pcs | $6112.0 | 29.01% | $1773.1 |
B0FDXXJT66 | SKIN1004 | 2025-08-13 | Yes | $12.35 | 700pcs | $8645.0 | 20.41% | $1764.45 | |
![]() | B0GMKBWV7L | NIDA | 2026-02-09 | Yes | $15.49 | 400pcs | $6196.0 | 26.32% | $1630.79 |
![]() | B0FKMKZGSG | MEDIHEAL | 2025-07-31 | Yes | $16.75 | 300pcs | $5025.0 | 28.48% | $1431.12 |
![]() | B0FMFBGW9N | CELDYQUE | 2025-09-26 | Yes | $18.22 | 100pcs | $1822.0 | 29.63% | $539.86 |
![]() | B0G2CKD7M9 | MAREE | 2025-12-20 | Yes | $9.84 | 400pcs | $3936.0 | 11.32% | $445.56 |
![]() | B0FRKCFLBR | Dr.nineteen | 2025-09-18 | Yes | $23.18 | 50pcs | $1159.0 | 33.05% | $383.05 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经接近价格战和品牌挤压区,不论大品牌还是小商家,都不应继续推进。 关键原因很直接:新品牌新品成功率只有 37.93%,失败率 62.07%;整体新品成功率 38.10%,但真正能被认可的盈利新品并不集中在新入局者身上,而是被老牌和强势品牌拿走了大头。
证据很明确:头部盈利几乎被老牌控制,且很多新品牌在亏损。 旧品牌新品里,盈利集中在 medicube(3个盈利款)、SKIN1004(2个)、MEDIHEAL(1个)、CELDYQUE(1个);而亏损端也有 SKIN1004、medicube、WELLDERMA、CELDYQUE、WELLAGE、SKIN DEVA 等老牌在内,说明连强品牌都要持续烧钱竞争。具体到可落地的案例,SKIN1004 的 B0FDXXJT66 仍能做到 20.4% 利润率、月销 700、月营收约 8645美元,但它的早期投入约 12038.29美元,这不是轻量试错,而是带品牌力和投放能力的打法;medicube 的 B0FYN9CJKC 更强,月销 10000、月营收约 14450000(按数据口径),并且它本身是成熟老牌,不是小商家的可复制模板。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入过度拥挤状态,而且最近新品竞争正在明显加剧。 近一年新品成功率只有39.13%,但最近月份里盈利新品明显变少,2026/4全是亏损新品,2026/5与2026/6也只是零星盈利,说明不是“还能轻松做”的市场,而是越来越难做、越来越靠品牌和营销硬推的市场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 18 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |