
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,当前已经处在高强度竞争和明显新品失败阶段。 新品整体盈利率只有25%,而且近几个月的新品里72.73%不赚钱;看起来整体盈利率60%并不差,但真正决定新人能不能活下来的,是新品这一层,而这里明显偏弱,且成功样本几乎都被少数强势品牌拿走。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场现在不适合进入。 你预算 50万CNY 只能覆盖少数单品的前期铺货和投放,但市场里新品盈利率只有25%,整体盈利率也只有60%,而且已经出现明显的品牌高投入、价格分层和新品失败信号;这不是一个值得小品牌硬冲的市场,也不值得大品牌在没有强创新和强预算的情况下进入。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,已经出现明显过热和价格战信号。当前样本里新品牌只有1/4新发布产品盈利,成功率25%,看似不差,但失败样本集中在同一赛道、同质化严重,而且近几个月新发布里非盈利产品明显更多,说明后进者很容易被压住。
这不是适合进入的市场,已经进入高风险的价格战区,且明显偏向大品牌和高投入玩家;小商家不建议进入。 现有数据里,能赚钱的新品几乎都不是“轻量新卖家”能复制的路径:要么靠老牌实力,要么靠高投入、高定价和强品牌心智。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
B0DK4Y2YP3 | celimax | 2024-10-16 | Yes | $18.83 | 100000pcs | $1883000.0 | 32.99% | $621201.71 | |
B00PBX3L7K | COSRX | 2014-10-30 | Yes | $18.09 | 90000pcs | $1628100.0 | 30.06% | $489406.86 | |
B0DG1DQ2S7 | ANUA | 2024-09-04 | Yes | $21.16 | 70000pcs | $1481200.0 | 28.74% | $425696.88 | |
B0GZ19T1SM | celimax | 2026-05-08 | Yes | $42.84 | 10000pcs | $428400.0 | 43.52% | $186439.68 | |
B07VWSN95S | CeraVe | 2019-08-14 | Yes | $18.49 | 30000pcs | $554700.0 | 33.05% | $183328.35 | |
B0FQV2J48Q | celimax | 2025-09-12 | Yes | $37.98 | 5000pcs | $189900.0 | 41.13% | $78105.87 | |
B0C2TQ24VY | VT COSMETICS | 2023-06-17 | Yes | $23.37 | 8000pcs | $186960.0 | 34.17% | $63884.24 | |
![]() | B0DCJ7952P | medicube | 2024-08-08 | Yes | $18.76 | 10000pcs | $187600.0 | 28.98% | $54366.48 |
B0C1Y8652X | COSRX | 2023-04-10 | Yes | $35.0 | 3000pcs | $105000.0 | 40.95% | $42997.5 | |
B07XJ7XWLW | CeraVe | 2019-09-09 | Yes | $20.43 | 3000pcs | $61290.0 | 35.06% | $21488.28 | |
B0DQCLFJCB | medicube | 2024-12-13 | Yes | $21.17 | 3000pcs | $63510.0 | 33.51% | $21282.21 | |
B0D16L5F2M | medicube | 2024-04-08 | Yes | $18.46 | 4500pcs | $83070.0 | 24.66% | $20485.07 | |
![]() | B0C2TSK62Y | VT COSMETICS | 2023-06-20 | Yes | $31.07 | 1000pcs | $31070.0 | 40.04% | $12440.43 |
![]() | B0GNTW9PPM | IOPE | 2026-02-28 | Yes | $48.55 | 300pcs | $14565.0 | 43.86% | $6388.21 |
![]() | B0DQW3P7VX | medicube | 2024-12-19 | Yes | $22.03 | 1000pcs | $22030.0 | 25.33% | $5580.2 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
B0GZ19T1SM | celimax | 2026-05-08 | Yes | $42.84 | 10000pcs | $428400.0 | 43.52% | $186439.68 | |
B0FQV2J48Q | celimax | 2025-09-12 | Yes | $37.98 | 5000pcs | $189900.0 | 41.13% | $78105.87 | |
![]() | B0GNTW9PPM | IOPE | 2026-02-28 | Yes | $48.55 | 300pcs | $14565.0 | 43.86% | $6388.21 |
这个市场不适合进入,尤其不适合小品牌;它不是“还能试试”的市场,而是已经被老牌和大牌卡住、且新产品大面积失败的高压市场。 新品里只有25.00%能达到可接受盈利,75.00%不赚钱;更关键的是,连续出现的高成功品牌几乎都来自老牌体系,说明真正的新品机会被少数强势品牌拿走了。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合现在进入:新品牌成功率只有25%,而新品牌新品里75%都失败;更关键的是,最近新增品牌并不多,但失败集中、利润又被少数大品牌和老品牌拿走,说明门槛高、竞争硬。 你如果硬进,只能押注少数高预算、强品牌背书、且带明显创新的打法;对小 бизнес 来说,这不是可复制的顺风市场,而是明显偏向大品牌和重营销的战场。
2025到2026年,市场新增新品数量很少,但“能跑出来”的样本几乎只有 IOPE 的 B0GNTW9PPM 和 celimax 的 B0GZ19T1SM / B0FQV2J48Q。其中 IOPE 的 B0GNTW9PPM 目前是唯一的强样本:售价 $48.55,毛利率 43.9%,月销 300,最近月利润 $6,388.21,早期投入 $41,757.86;但同品牌另一款 B0GTX4MGJX 直接失败。celimax 也一样,B0GZ19T1SM 和 B0FQV2J48Q 虽然都能赚钱,毛利率分别 43.52% / 41.13%,但它们背后对应的总投入分别达到 923,214.6 和 1,398,867.42 美元级别,明显不是普通单品预算能轻松复制的打法。反过来,SUNGBOON EDITOR 的 B0H6ZC893H、ARENCIA 的 B0GKJHFD74、medicube 的 B0GWMM2QRN / B0GVY4RDDS、COSRX 的 B0H3NN446B 都是新近失败样本,说明最近进入者并没有形成稳定的成功面。**
对大品牌来说,能进,但必须按“高投入 + 强品牌 + 明显产品差异化”去打;对小 бизнес 来说,只有非常少的真成功案例,而且都不是低预算玩法。IOPE 是最该跟的样本,跟它的 B0GNTW9PPM;celimax 里可参考 B0GZ19T1SM 和 B0FQV2J48Q,但它们本质上都是高投入换结果,不是便宜试错。结论很直接:不要进入;如果非进不可,只适合大品牌复制 IOPE/celimax 这种高预算打法,小品牌没有足够安全边际。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |