
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 目前只有 1 个新品牌 LUMIBOARD、2 个新上架样本,表面成功率 50%,但样本太小,真正可复制的只有 1 个盈利款;另一款新品直接失败,说明这不是稳定赚钱市场,而是靠单品差异化和投放搏出来的单点机会。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这不是一个值得进入的市场。 当前样本里新品牌只有 LUMIBOARD,盈利/亏损各 50%,新品牌新发布产品盈利率只有 50%,说明这只是一个极小样本下的单点成功,不代表市场有稳定机会;更关键的是,能盈利的 B0FN867MG5 只是靠 22.57 美元售价、17.36% 利润率和 400 单/月跑出来,而同品牌的新上架 B0GYN51J7V 已经直接失败,说明复制难度高。市场趋势也不支持扩张:2025 年只有 1 个新产品成功,2026 年又出现 1 个新产品失败,节奏更像试错而不是增长。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:目前样本里只有 1 个新品牌 LUMIBOARD,盈利和亏损各 1 个,成功率 50%,但它只是单一案例,不足以证明可复制性;更关键的是,非盈利款和盈利款都围绕同一套几乎相同的发光涂鸦板,说明这条赛道更像靠差异化包装抢流量,而不是稳定的利润市场。 从趋势看,2025 年只有 1 个盈利新品,2026 年立刻出现 1 个亏损新品,增长不是扩张信号,而是开始出现复制和互相挤压的早期迹象。
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:只有1个新品牌、2个新上架产品,当前样本里盈利率只有50%,但真正可复制的优质案例只有1个,而且另一款新上架直接失败;这不是“可稳进”的市场,而是高度依赖单品差异化和投放的单点机会。 用户预算50万人民币看似够单个ASIN启动,但这类产品要跑出像B0FN867MG5那样的结果,已经不是普通小卖能靠低投入复制的路径。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FN867MG5 | LUMIBOARD | 2025-08-21 | Yes | $22.57 | 400pcs | $9028.0 | 17.36% | $1567.27 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FN867MG5 | LUMIBOARD | 2025-08-21 | Yes | $22.57 | 400pcs | $9028.0 | 17.36% | $1567.27 |
这个市场现在不值得进入,结论很明确:虽然只有2个新上架产品,但新品牌成功率只有50%,且只有1个新品牌、0个老牌,样本太小,不能把它当成健康机会;更关键的是,真正跑出来的盈利款B0FN867MG5虽然利润率17.36%,但它不是靠普通上新,而是靠“基于旧款+功能差异+外观差异”硬做出来的,说明门槛不低。 目前没有看到30个以上新品牌涌入,所以还不能直接判定“超饱和”,但已经能看出这是一个靠差异化和投放撑起来的细分战场,小卖家想靠常规打法切入,风险很高。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入。当前数据只覆盖一个新品牌 LUMIBOARD,但它已经给出明确警讯:同一品牌 2 个产品里,1 个赚钱、1 个亏钱,整体成功率只有 50%,而且最新新增的 B0GYN51J7V 直接亏损;这说明新品牌不是稳定赢面,而是靠单品碰运气。更关键的是,当前样本里新品牌成功与失败各 1 个,最近进入并没有形成持续赚钱能力,不能把它当成可复制的低风险机会。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |