
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是拥挤且接近价格战的赛道。 新品整体盈利率只有11.11%,新品牌新品成功率也只有12.20%,而最近一年里 41 个新品牌新品里只有 5 个能赚钱;这不是“还有机会”,而是“多数人在试错”,对大品牌和小商家都不友好。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进。 关键问题不是你 50 万 CNY 不够,而是市场已经接近/进入新品牌拥挤区,且新品整体盈利率只有 10.64%,市场盈利率只有 12.00%,这就是典型的高风险、低回报环境;小商家和大品牌都不应贸然进入。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:已经进入明显的价格战/饱和区,新品牌扩张速度快,但整体成功率太低。 以当前样本看,整体现有可判断产品里只有12.00%盈利,新发布产品盈利率只有10.64%,已经踩到高风险线;而2025年和2026年新入场的新品牌数量都很密集,2025年单年就出现20个新品牌非盈利新品,2026年1~6月又持续出现大量失败新品,说明市场不是“还能挑机会”,而是“多数人都在试错”。
这个市场不值得进入,属于高风险、明显拥挤的门锁细分赛道。 结果不是“还能不能做”,而是“做了大概率只能卷价格和投放”,对大品牌和小商家都不友好。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FD3WMV2T | WYZE | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $79.71 | 2000pcs | $159420.0 | 34.62% | $55191.21 |
![]() | B0GC6V8L9M | eufy Security | 2026-02-26 | Yes | $72.66 | 1000pcs | $72660.0 | 38.81% | $28199.35 |
![]() | B0DKJ6Y85K | GHome Smart | 2024-11-15 | Yes | $41.58 | 300pcs | $12474.0 | 33.0% | $4116.42 |
![]() | B0GLNGBG6Q | GeekTale | 2026-02-05 | Yes | $41.62 | 200pcs | $8324.0 | 30.36% | $2527.17 |
![]() | B0F6CWYGL2 | Linkthai | 2025-04-25 | Yes | $63.61 | 100pcs | $6361.0 | 36.36% | $2312.86 |
![]() | B0F92DDVJT | Bog fang | 2025-05-18 | Yes | $41.35 | 200pcs | $8270.0 | 25.97% | $2147.72 |
![]() | B0FSD498X1 | CANGUUD | 2025-09-24 | Yes | $50.65 | 100pcs | $5065.0 | 28.49% | $1443.02 |
![]() | B0GXZ9D6TM | SawHero | 2026-04-21 | Yes | $68.8 | 50pcs | $3440.0 | 34.7% | $1193.68 |
![]() | B0CN1M83PD | PSOS | 2023-11-09 | Yes | $35.74 | 50pcs | $1787.0 | 26.98% | $482.14 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FD3WMV2T | WYZE | 2025-11-18 | Yes | $79.71 | 2000pcs | $159420.0 | 34.62% | $55191.21 |
![]() | B0GC6V8L9M | eufy Security | 2026-02-26 | Yes | $72.66 | 1000pcs | $72660.0 | 38.81% | $28199.35 |
![]() | B0GLNGBG6Q | GeekTale | 2026-02-05 | Yes | $41.62 | 200pcs | $8324.0 | 30.36% | $2527.17 |
![]() | B0FSD498X1 | CANGUUD | 2025-09-24 | Yes | $50.65 | 100pcs | $5065.0 | 28.49% | $1443.02 |
![]() | B0GXZ9D6TM | SawHero | 2026-04-21 | Yes | $68.8 | 50pcs | $3440.0 | 34.7% | $1193.68 |
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显进入价格战区,而且对新手不友好。 样本里新产品整体成功率只有11.11%,新品牌新产品成功率也只有12.82%,但失败占比高达87.18%;更关键的是,老品牌的新产品成功率是0%,说明成熟品牌在这里也很难复制利润,市场不是“能做”,而是“很难赚钱”。
从品牌和产品看,能赚钱的样本高度集中在少数新品上:WYZE 的 B0FD3WMV2T 月收入约 15.94 万美元,利润率约 34.62%;eufy Security 的 B0GC6V8L9M 月收入约 7.27 万美元,利润率约 31.52%;CANGUUD 的 B0FSD498X1 月收入约 5,065 美元。它们的共同点不是堆功能,而是明显差异化 + 低价/合理价格,并且大多带有老款延伸逻辑;反过来,像 GOODTAC 的 B0C8J3X1YZ、We Technology 的 B0DNCT8GW5、OBO HANDS 的 B0FMK1XBN7 这类产品都因为同质化强、利润薄而失败。对小品牌来说,真正能参考的“合法成功”只有少数:CANGUUD(27 条评价,活跃销售)、GeekTale(19 条评价)、SawHero(14 条评价),都还没到需要怀疑刷评的程度;但市场里已有品牌在靠 491 条评价、2000 件/月的 WYZE 这种强势打法拉高门槛,属于大品牌可复制、小品牌很难正面硬拼的结构。
结论很直接:不建议进入。 你的预算 50 万人民币看起来够做单个 ASIN 的前期投入,但这类市场真正的难点不是首批起盘,而是后续品牌、研发、差异化和持续投放;而且这个类目里大多数产品利润率分布集中在 30%~40% 区间的少数赢家,更多产品连 10% 都难守住,说明竞争已经非常挤。若硬要做,只能走“细分场景差异化”路线去碰 CANGUUD / GeekTale / SawHero 这种小而真的成功样本;但就整体判断,大品牌和小品牌都不该现在进场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战/高风险状态。 近期香港式新品牌涌入后,盈利只剩少数头部样本撑盘:新品牌新上架产品里只有5个盈利,34个不盈利,成功率仅12.82%;而且2026年新品牌新上架里,盈利3个、亏损22个,说明竞争正在明显加剧,后进者更难赚钱。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |