
这个市场不值得进入,结论很清楚:已经是明显的价格战区,而且新品牌几乎全军覆没。 新发布产品里只有2.90%盈利,新品牌新品成功率也只有2.13%,对应67个新产品不赚钱;按时间看,2025年9月、2025年12月、2026年1月到6月几乎都是失败新品堆积,说明竞争不是变好,而是在持续恶化。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入。 你虽然有50万CNY,单个新品的表面预算是够的,但市场已经明显进入价格战和饱和阶段;新品牌大量涌入,却几乎没有成功样本,小企业和大品牌都不应现在入场。
证据很明确。 市场整体可盈利产品占比只有3.57%,新上架产品可盈利率只有2.90%;按月看,2025年7月到2026年6月几乎都是新增非盈利产品,2025年9月出现13个失败新品、2026年1月6个失败新品、2026年3月6个失败新品,说明竞争在加剧而不是变好。新品牌这边更差:新品牌新品盈利率只有21.3%,但非盈利率高达97.87%;更关键的是,Munzong、kaysqdxssy 这类新品牌的新品都没有形成稳定盈利,而老品牌 POVETIRE 依靠 B09ZL5K5DY、B0DR125PLR、B0FKMMDC45 才能维持正利润,其中最强的新品 B0FKMMDC45 也只有10.22%利润率、预算约5638.51 USD,说明要在这里赚钱,必须同时满足高预算、强流量和品牌力。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经是高竞争、接近价格战的市场。 现有数据里,新品整体盈利率只有2.90%,市场可识别盈利产品占比也只有3.57%,这不是可复制的健康赛道;想靠普通选品切入,失败概率非常高。
这个市场不值得进入,结论很直接:已经明显接近/进入过度拥挤状态,且新品牌盈利率太低,属于高风险价格战市场。 现有数据里,按已知利润率看,只有3.57%的产品是盈利的;新产品里盈利率也只有2.90%。新品牌新发产品的盈利率仅21.3%,而非盈利率高达97.87%,这说明大多数新进入者都在亏损或没跑通模型,small business 想靠正常打法成功的概率很低。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B09ZL5K5DY | POVETIRE | 2022-05-05 | Yes | $15.99 | 100pcs | $1599.0 | 16.16% | $258.4 |
![]() | B0FXR95CHX | QUPIVA | 2025-10-25 | Yes | $15.61 | 50pcs | $780.5 | 23.0% | $179.52 |
![]() | B0DR125PLR | POVETIRE | 2024-11-08 | Yes | $13.98 | 75pcs | $1048.5 | 15.3% | $160.43 |
![]() | B0FKMMDC45 | POVETIRE | 2025-11-01 | Yes | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | 10.22% | $71.49 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FXR95CHX | QUPIVA | 2025-10-25 | Yes | $15.61 | 50pcs | $780.5 | 23.0% | $179.52 |
![]() | B0FKMMDC45 | POVETIRE | 2025-11-01 | Yes | $13.99 | 50pcs | $699.5 | 10.22% | $71.49 |
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是明显的超饱和价格战市场。 新品牌成功率只有2.90%,新发布产品97.10%失败;在20个新品牌、69个新发布样本里,真正赚钱的只有2个,说明绝大多数新进入者都被卷进了低利润甚至亏损区。
证据也很硬:老品牌壁垒高,通用款几乎没戏。 POVETIRE 作为老品牌,45个产品里仅3个盈利,42个亏损;它能赚钱的样本 B09ZL5K5DY、B0DR125PLR、B0FKMMDC45,利润率大致在15.3%~16.16%、10.22%这个区间,且都靠“旧ASIN升级 + 外观/功能差异化”才成立。反过来,YOcity 的 B0C6J4LKLB 虽然有841条评价、月销1000、收入84,500美元,仍然不盈利;kaysqdxssy 的 B0GXWRZV44 是 -6.11%,Munzong 的 B0GVF1FQHV 是 -0.72%,都说明有销量不等于能赚钱。市场推荐单个新ASIN启动资金约5,592.53~5,638.51美元,而这只是前期 sourcing、物流、投放成本,不含长期研发、品牌、认证;用户预算500,000 CNY虽然够覆盖起步,但并不能改变这个市场的低胜率事实。
小商家没有真实可复制的低门槛成功案例,大品牌也不应轻易进。 少数新品牌成功样本 QUPIVA 的 B0FXR95CHX,月销50、收入78,050美元、利润约20%~30%,但它依赖明显的外观和功能差异,不是普通小商家能低成本复制的打法。结论:不建议进入;若强行做,只能按 POVETIRE、QUPIVA 这种“旧ASIN升级+强差异化”的路线,并且需要比ASIN预算更高的长期投入。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近/进入过度拥挤状态。 近两年新品牌进入明显增加,但几乎全部新上架都在亏钱:2025年新品牌新产品只有1个赚钱、46个不赚钱,成功率仅2.13%;2026年也仍是26个不赚钱、0个赚钱,说明竞争在加剧而不是变好。
证据很直接:新品牌成功几乎断层,且赚钱样本只来自老品牌POVETIRE与单个新品牌QUPIVA。 POVETIRE这类老品牌里,B0FKMMDC45 以 13.99 USD 定价,利润率10.2%,月销50,前三个月平均50单,早期投入约5,638.51美元;但它的品牌整体成功率只有6.67%(3个盈利 / 45个产品),而且42个产品亏损。真正的新品牌里,QUPIVA 只有 B0FXR95CHX 这一条赚钱样本;其余新品牌大多集中在 cherrboll、NUWAJP、Suncalla、LUSTRIB、JWShang、DFVEY、Munzong 等,都是亏损样本,说明不是“有很多小品牌自然成功”,而是几乎全军覆没。月度数据也在恶化:2025年9月到2026年上半年连续出现大量不赚钱新品,单月亏损新品最高达到13个,最近几个月没有任何明确的新品牌盈利扩散,市场进入门槛在变高。
对两类卖家都不友好:大品牌要打硬仗,小商家更不可能靠常规打法赢。 这里没有看到稳定的“真小商家成功案例”(<300 reviews/year 且可复制),赚钱样本反而更像老品牌或强投放打法;同时部分新品销量能起来,但利润率只是10%左右,已经贴着最低可接受线,预算里还没算研发、品牌和认证成本。按你给的 50万人民币预算,做单个 ASIN 的前期资金是够碰一下,但在这个品类里大概率只是进入价格战,不是建立可持续利润。结论:不要进入。 若硬要做,只能把 POVETIRE、QUPIVA 这类高投放/老品牌打法当对照,但这不是适合小商家的机会。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |