
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显的价格战区,而且对大品牌和小品牌都不友好。 近36个新品里只有2个赚钱,成功率只有5.56%,而且新产品利润区间只到21.45%,多数新品实际利润在10%以下,典型是低容错、高竞争、越卖越卷的市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入,这个市场已明显进入价格战区,且小品牌几乎没有可复制的盈利空间。 用户预算 500,000 CNY(约 69k USD)表面上能覆盖部分单个 ASIN 的前期投入,但对真正能跑通的新品来说,这笔钱仍然只够“试水”,不够支撑长期研发、品牌和认证成本;更关键的是,市场里新品利润表现分化很大,很多新品利润率已低于 10%,这不是适合大品牌或小品牌入场的环境。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显进入价格战+高失败率状态。 新品牌虽然有少数成功样本,但整体新品牌新品盈利率只有22.22%,新品牌新品不盈利率高达77.78%;更关键的是,市场里老品牌新品不盈利率达到96.30%,说明这不是“谁都能做”的增量市场,而是强竞争、强压价市场。
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显接近/进入价格战区,新品牌成功率太低。 关键问题不是“能不能卖”,而是“要花很多钱去换很低的胜率”;对小商家尤其不友好,只有少数新品牌能跑出来,而且这些成功案例并不代表低成本可复制。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0BX6L5JVS | DWVO | 2023-03-01 | Yes | $121.14 | 100pcs | $12114.0 | 20.13% | $2438.55 |
![]() | B0GH6MC613 | BIVODA | 2026-01-16 | Yes | $69.14 | 100pcs | $6914.0 | 19.14% | $1323.34 |
![]() | B0DZXH9KJF | Cinnvoice | 2025-05-10 | Yes | $76.37 | 50pcs | $3818.5 | 27.71% | $1058.11 |
![]() | B0GH63J6YP | BIVODA | 2026-01-16 | Yes | $69.09 | 75pcs | $5181.75 | 18.78% | $973.14 |
![]() | B0FFFRKPJK | KAAPSAM | 2025-06-25 | Yes | $76.15 | 50pcs | $3807.5 | 19.46% | $740.94 |
![]() | B0C4YKPVCR | TeoKJ | 2023-05-11 | Yes | $81.99 | 50pcs | $4099.5 | 10.78% | $441.93 |
![]() | B0DPZLV5T8 | Cinnvoice | 2024-12-10 | Yes | $43.61 | 50pcs | $2180.5 | 17.87% | $389.66 |
![]() | B0CPLGXYNY | Plant Castle | 2023-12-06 | Yes | $40.07 | 50pcs | $2003.5 | 15.59% | $312.35 |
![]() | B0FCRDPW4F | Fashion&cool | 2024-02-06 | Yes | $29.07 | 50pcs | $1453.5 | 15.0% | $218.03 |
![]() | B0FCRNN4Y5 | Fashion&cool | 2024-02-06 | Yes | $25.91 | 50pcs | $1295.5 | 12.39% | $160.52 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GH6MC613 | BIVODA | 2026-01-16 | Yes | $69.14 | 100pcs | $6914.0 | 19.14% | $1323.34 |
![]() | B0GH63J6YP | BIVODA | 2026-01-16 | Yes | $69.09 | 75pcs | $5181.75 | 18.78% | $973.14 |
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战/饱和区。 以当前数据看,新品成功率只有5.71%,整体可识别盈利率只有7.81%,新品牌新品成功率更低,只有22.22%,但样本里真正能赚钱的只有BIVODA两款;其余大多数新品都在亏,说明不是“有机会的蓝海”,而是“高竞争、低容错”的市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是价格战+高饱和市场。 最近新品牌的新上架几乎都在失败,2025年新上架里只有2个可确认盈利,33个不盈利,成功率只有5.71%;按新品牌口径看,盈利占比也只有22.22%,而失败占77.78%,这已经低于你要求的10%高风险线,且明显没有形成可复制的新增利润空间。
证据很直接:近一年新品牌主要是BIVODA、Ultym在试水,但真正赚钱的只有BIVODA的B0GH63J6YP(约5181.75美元/月)和B0GH6MC613(约6914.00美元/月);相反,BIVODA还有B0GH66XX9G、B0GKNSQH46等亏损款,Ultym也有B0GF7LLMPM、B0GF833QSC亏损。更糟的是,老品牌在这个赛道的新上架表现是26个全部不盈利,成功率0%,这说明不是“老品牌更强”,而是整个赛道对新上架非常不友好。市场总样本里可识别利润产品占比只有7.81%,新上架盈利率5.56%,最近月份从2025年底到2026年初大量上新却大多不赚钱,趋势是更难,而不是更容易。
对大品牌和小品牌都不友好:你当前预算500000 CNY,按市场推荐的新产品启动预算约589755 USD,已经远超你的预算上限;而且成功款大多不是“真新品硬创新”,而是基于老款做外观/功能微调的成熟款,说明要打赢通常需要更重的品牌、营销和持续投入,不是普通单品能轻松切入。小品牌这边没有看到可信的“<300评论/年”的真实成功样本,反而大量品牌像Cinnvoice(13个亏损)、MUMTOP(5个亏损)和多家老品牌都在亏,说明这里更像是被少数产品和营销型上架挤压的市场;若没有明显差异化和更高预算,不建议进入。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2026/1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |