
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 当前不是健康增长,而是明显的存量对打:新品牌只有7个、但新上架产品19个里真正能赚钱的只有15.79%,最近新产品成功率也只有21.43%,而且 2026 年新上架里 12 个都只能归到“未确认或不赚钱”,说明竞争正在变差,不是在变好。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 500000 CNY 预算在表面上能覆盖单个新品的起步成本,但市场已经进入明显的低利润、强对抗状态,靠这笔钱做单一ASIN入场,不足以支撑长期品牌、研发和认证投入。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:新品牌已经明显堆得太密,而且新入局产品的盈利率只有15.79%,低于你设定的安全线;更糟的是,最近一批新品牌里几乎都是亏损或停滞,市场已经在往价格战和流量战里滑。 以你50万人民币预算看,单个ASIN的起步资金是够的,但这只能证明“能开局”,不能证明“能活下来”;如果要进场,必须按大品牌打法做高预算和强投放,小品牌不适合硬冲。
这个市场不值得进入。新产品盈利率只有15.79%,低于你要求的15%安全线,而且低利润产品占比很高,已经是明显的价格战市场。 虽然表面上有少数高利润案例,但它们基本都依赖老品牌势能、较高投放和更强产品力,不是普通新卖家能复制的路径。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
B09NX4LRJX | Gosky | 2021-12-21 | Yes | $69.07 | 300pcs | $20721.0 | 35.22% | $7297.94 | |
![]() | B0H2YS41D7 | Zensura | 2026-05-26 | Yes | $49.99 | 500pcs | $24995.0 | 25.75% | $6436.22 |
B0DGL4NLD4 | Adasion | 2024-09-10 | Yes | $66.32 | 200pcs | $13264.0 | 34.89% | $4627.81 | |
![]() | B08T95FK9S | SARBLUE | 2021-05-27 | Yes | $49.99 | 100pcs | $4999.0 | 33.43% | $1671.17 |
B0G1M3FNDT | Allenjoy | 2025-11-10 | Yes | $79.99 | 50pcs | $3999.5 | 38.18% | $1527.01 | |
![]() | B0DLB1S4KG | CELTICBIRD | 2024-10-29 | Yes | $49.99 | 50pcs | $2499.5 | 32.83% | $820.59 |
B0GRYZ8P6D | Sogries | 2026-03-10 | Yes | $47.57 | 50pcs | $2378.5 | 31.67% | $753.28 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0H2YS41D7 | Zensura | 2026-05-26 | Yes | $49.99 | 500pcs | $24995.0 | 25.75% | $6436.22 |
B0G1M3FNDT | Allenjoy | 2025-11-10 | Yes | $79.99 | 50pcs | $3999.5 | 38.18% | $1527.01 | |
B0GRYZ8P6D | Sogries | 2026-03-10 | Yes | $47.57 | 50pcs | $2378.5 | 31.67% | $753.28 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显偏向价格战和高竞争,整体对大品牌和小品牌都不友好。 近期新产品成功率只有21.21%,新品牌新发布成功率也只有21.43%,但失败面更大:新品牌新发布里70%不赚钱,老品牌新发布则是100%不赚钱;同时2026年新上架产品明显是7个不盈利对2个盈利,说明市场正在向更激烈的内卷发展,而不是变得更容易做。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场已经偏向饱和,而且最近进入者的赚钱能力在变差,不适合现在进入。 近一年新品牌新上架的成功率只有 15.79%,整体可确认盈利产品也只有 21.21%;更关键的是,2026 年新品牌新上架里只有 2 个盈利、7 个亏损、5 个结果不明,说明竞争正在加剧,且新进入者大多没跑出来。
从时间趋势看,市场不是在变好,而是在变难:2025 年只有 1 个新品牌成功,但 4 个新品牌新上架都没有形成明确盈利;到 2026 年,明确亏损的新品已经明显增多,像 YINMONE 有 3 个亏损新品,IPYNOKC 有 2 个,Zensura、Falcury、Gosky、CAMPCO 也都出现了失败样本。盈利案例也很少,只有 Allenjoy / Zensura / Sogries 各 1 个成功样本,对应 ASIN 分别是 B0G1M3FNDT、B0H2YS41D7、B0GRYZ8P6D;这些成功并不是广泛扩散的机会,而是少数孤立样本,说明市场进入门槛高、复制难度大。利润时间表里,2026 年新品大部分落在“其他/未能确认持续盈利”,这不是健康扩张,而是试错失败居多。
结论:不建议进入。 对大品牌来说,这里没有足够的盈利空间支撑重投入;对小品牌来说,更差,真正可参考的低门槛成功案例太少,反而失败样本更多。如果一定要判断可跟随对象,只能看少数成功 ASIN:B0H2YS41D7、B0G1M3FNDT、B0GRYZ8P6D,但它们数量太少,不能代表可复制机会;而 YINMONE、IPYNOKC 这类连续失败品牌更像是当前市场常态,不是例外。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |