
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入,已经是高压竞争区,新品牌和小商家都不该进。 数据上看,15个新上架里只有1个真正盈利,成功率只有6.67%;而近几个月新增品牌虽然只有2个,但新品牌新上架5个里4个亏损,失败率80%,市场不是在变好,而是在持续走向更强的价格和投放竞争。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:不是“能不能做”,而是“做进去大概率亏”。 用户预算50万CNY,按当前样本看只能覆盖少量起步成本,但市场已经明显偏向低胜率、低利润、强竞争的状态;新品牌想靠正常打法切入,成功率太低,不建议继续。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
结论很直接:这个市场不适合进入,已经接近价格战/高竞争区,不建议小品牌或大品牌继续冲。 目前可见的新品牌里,真正跑通的只有 Marinebaby,而 AIROW 这类新品牌 4 个新上架里 4 个都没达标,说明新进入者大多在亏。
这个市场不适合进入,已经接近低利润价格战区,且对小品牌非常不友好。 现有数据里,新品只有1个真正盈利,15个新发布里成功率仅6.67%,整体盈利产品占比也只有16.95%;更关键的是,能拿到利润的新品几乎都不是“纯小品牌打法”,要么靠老链接/老款延伸,要么靠明显功能差异化和品牌力,普通小商家不靠激进投放很难打进去。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B08NDL2KMB | VEITHI | 2020-11-13 | Yes | $22.61 | 200pcs | $4522.0 | 15.94% | $720.81 |
![]() | B0CNBY76K3 | Laorde | 2023-11-15 | Yes | $23.99 | 100pcs | $2399.0 | 27.66% | $663.57 |
![]() | B0969BDFK8 | KAHACIYO | 2021-06-01 | Yes | $16.96 | 100pcs | $1696.0 | 28.47% | $482.86 |
![]() | B0B6B5JBWN | ZOMCHAIN | 2019-11-21 | Yes | $27.88 | 50pcs | $1394.0 | 31.2% | $434.93 |
![]() | B0F74VZQKW | Laorde | 2025-05-01 | Yes | $12.22 | 300pcs | $3666.0 | 10.69% | $391.9 |
![]() | B0CGV24V12 | ZOMCHAIN | 2019-11-21 | Yes | $24.7 | 50pcs | $1235.0 | 28.47% | $351.61 |
![]() | B0CNBSZLXP | Laorde | 2023-11-15 | Yes | $21.99 | 50pcs | $1099.5 | 28.85% | $317.21 |
![]() | B07FVHZDWH | ZOMCHAIN | 2018-07-25 | Yes | $16.82 | 50pcs | $841.0 | 28.19% | $237.08 |
![]() | B082FVFKRR | ZOMCHAIN | 2018-07-24 | Yes | $18.53 | 50pcs | $926.5 | 24.67% | $228.57 |
![]() | B0GFS7JQS6 | Marinebaby | 2026-02-03 | Yes | $19.53 | 50pcs | $976.5 | 21.63% | $211.22 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GFS7JQS6 | Marinebaby | 2026-02-03 | Yes | $19.53 | 50pcs | $976.5 | 21.63% | $211.22 |
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品牌成功率只有6.67%,老品牌新产品成功率是0%,整体市场已经进入高压价格战,且对新进入者非常不友好。 目前可见的盈利样本几乎都来自老牌玩家,真正的新品牌里只有 Marinebaby 的 B0GFS7JQS6 赚钱,AIROW 的 4 个新产品全部亏损,说明新人不是靠运气就能活下来,而是必须有明显功能差异和更强预算。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:新品牌几乎被打穿了,已经进入高风险价格战区。 近一年新品牌新上架产品里,只有1个成功、4个失败,成功率20%,但放到全部新上架里,真正能盈利的只有6.67%;同时最近12个月新增品牌并不多,但失败新品集中爆发在2025年10月到12月,说明竞争正在快速恶化,而不是变容易。
证据很直接:Marinebaby 作为新品牌只用1个新品就做到 100% 盈利,单品售价 $19.53,月销 50,月收入 $976.5,利润率 21.63%;但 AIROW 作为新品牌一次上了 4 个新品,全部亏损,利润率分别只有 18.52%、17.75%、26.78% 这类看似不差的数字仍然没跑通。 这说明这里不是“有利润率就能赢”的市场,而是对选品、供应链和投放要求极高;对小商家来说,真正能参考的只有 Marinebaby 这种低销量但能转正的真实新品牌案例,而 AIROW、VEITHI、Laorde 这些近期批量失败的新品牌/老品牌新货更像是“高投入也不一定成功”的反面样本。
最关键的短结论:别进。 这个市场已经出现明显的新品失败堆积,且新品牌成功样本太少;如果一定要看,Big Brand 只能参考 Laorde 的老品(如 B0CNBY76K3、B0CNBSZLXP、B0F74VZQKW,利润率 10.69%~28.85%,月销 50~300),Small Business 只剩 Marinebaby 的 B0GFS7JQS6 这一条路,但它也只是单点成功,不能代表市场可复制。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |