
结论很明确:这个市场不该进入。 近端新品牌几乎没有跑通,利润率整体偏低,已经是明显的价格战市场;无论大品牌还是小商家,直接照搬现有款式都很难赚钱。
市场数据很硬:可识别盈利率只有8.49%,新上架产品盈利率是0%,而且近几个月新发布几乎全部落在亏损或未能验证盈利的区间。按时间看,2025年到2026年新增产品里没有形成稳定盈利的证据,说明市场不是在扩张,而是在被老品牌和低价竞争持续挤压。品牌层面,像 Leicraft 这类老品牌已经吃掉了大量销量,Leicraft 单品牌可识别月收入约18,801,950,24,050件;而新品牌 Wislist 只有2个产品,0个盈利,虽有1个产品做到约167,200收入、200件月销,但这是靠单款撑起来,且另一个新品 B0G47LZX6P 直接无销量,说明小品牌并没有稳定复制能力。CREATCABIN 更弱,3个新品全部亏损,0收入,0销量,进入后很难靠正常打法翻身。
对两类玩家都不友好:大品牌要面对成熟老品牌的强势占位,小商家则会被低利润和高投放成本直接吞掉。 现有能作为参考的盈利老品牌主要是 Leicraft、muso wood、HeZone、YUXUN、Dunzoom、MaxGear、Bivvclaz,但这些都属于老品牌资源位,不该当作小商家成功案例;真正的新品牌成功样本几乎没有。产品成功模式也很清楚:能赚钱的款都靠“在老款基础上做外观或功能差异”,比如胡桃木、透明亚克力、分层展示等;而失败款普遍是普通木质/金属网格、缺少差异化、利润只有个位数。如果你预算只有500,000 CNY,钱是够做单款入场,但不够对抗这个市场的长期内卷和品牌消耗。 结论:不要进入。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不适合进入。 500,000 CNY 预算只能覆盖少量入场成本,但市场已经明显被价格战和品牌堆量压低利润,新品牌想靠常规打法赚钱,成功概率很低。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,原因很直接:新品牌在持续涌入,但几乎没有新品牌跑出稳定盈利,已经是明显的过热竞争区。 目前新上架产品盈利率只有0%,整体可识别盈利产品占比也只有8.49%,而2025年和2026年新发布产品几乎全部是亏损:2025年新发布13个全亏,2026年又有9个新发布全亏,说明这不是“有机会的成长市场”,而是低利润、强内卷、上新即亏的价格战市场。
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战/过度拥挤区,且新品牌几乎没有真正跑通的证据。 价格带里大多数产品利润率都低于10%,新上架产品里可识别的盈利率是0%,这意味着无论大品牌还是小商家,进入后都很容易被低利润和高投放成本吞掉。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B09M6BG5R8 | YUXUN | 2021-11-18 | Yes | $17.99 | 300pcs | $5397.0 | 20.2% | $1090.2 |
![]() | B07T628TZ7 | MaxGear | 2019-07-01 | Yes | $13.95 | 300pcs | $4185.0 | 22.78% | $953.35 |
![]() | B0D4K1CHSC | Bivvclaz | 2024-05-19 | Yes | $12.95 | 200pcs | $2590.0 | 19.92% | $515.93 |
![]() | B0CCDBTLCP | muso wood | 2023-07-20 | Yes | $9.99 | 400pcs | $3996.0 | 11.5% | $459.54 |
![]() | B0B6BFYNH6 | Vicenpal | 2022-07-12 | Yes | $15.18 | 200pcs | $3036.0 | 13.26% | $402.58 |
![]() | B0CDP3VJBT | muso wood | 2023-08-04 | Yes | $15.99 | 100pcs | $1599.0 | 23.12% | $369.69 |
![]() | B09WQNVH27 | HeZone | 2022-03-29 | Yes | $18.7 | 50pcs | $935.0 | 21.3% | $199.16 |
![]() | B0CXDQSH22 | Dunzoom | 2024-03-07 | Yes | $16.99 | 50pcs | $849.5 | 17.42% | $147.99 |
![]() | B0C65J47M5 | HeZone | 2023-05-24 | Yes | $9.85 | 100pcs | $985.0 | 10.67% | $105.1 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0G1R4SFB9 | Axrivonte | 2025-11-11 | No | $9.85 | 50pcs | $492.5 | 0.04% | $0.2 |
B0G353GZX8 | Wislist | 2025-11-20 | No | $8.36 | 200pcs | $1672.0 | 1.92% | $32.11 | |
![]() | B0GVH6JQFQ | SANRUI | 2026-03-31 | No | $9.48 | 300pcs | $2844.0 | 4.73% | $134.53 |
![]() | B0GT4D58ZP | YUXUN | 2026-04-23 | No | $8.51 | 300pcs | $2553.0 | 5.36% | $136.85 |
![]() | B0G46G2VPC | SANRUI | 2025-11-27 | No | $9.57 | 300pcs | $2871.0 | 5.74% | $164.8 |
![]() | B0GR54T5F2 | ZMZKKLL | 2026-03-04 | No | $9.99 | 200pcs | $1998.0 | 9.11% | $182.02 |
![]() | B0G46H42GV | SANRUI | 2025-11-27 | No | $15.02 | 300pcs | $4506.0 | 17.03% | $767.38 |
![]() | B0FQ5V3L4Q | CREATCABIN | 2025-09-20 | No | $12.2 | -pcs | $- | 11.32% | $- |
![]() | B0GSZ1CPVD | SANRUI | 2026-03-18 | No | $14.88 | -pcs | $- | 16.11% | $- |
![]() | B0G46G8HCY | SANRUI | 2025-11-27 | No | $19.3 | -pcs | $- | 19.48% | $- |
![]() | B0FQ5S4GL9 | CREATCABIN | 2025-09-20 | No | $11.57 | -pcs | $- | 14.08% | $- |
![]() | B0FM7W33SL | Uniclife | 2025-08-13 | No | $12.99 | -pcs | $- | 19.22% | $- |
![]() | B0GF1YDFZB | Londehuhai | 2026-01-05 | No | $11.12 | -pcs | $- | -6.84% | $- |
![]() | B0G46FVT49 | Saycker | 2025-11-27 | No | $9.33 | -pcs | $- | 2.5% | $- |
![]() | B0GXZHQCGG | Bivvclaz | 2026-04-30 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | 6.41% | $- |
![]() | B0GSZ3NL3C | SANRUI | 2026-03-18 | No | $18.94 | -pcs | $- | 19.66% | $- |
![]() | B0H3P59Z6S | Uniclife | 2026-06-02 | No | $16.99 | -pcs | $- | 16.78% | $- |
![]() | B0GR4Y2S8T | ZMZKKLL | 2026-03-04 | No | $9.99 | -pcs | $- | 7.86% | $- |
![]() | B0G46CQS37 | SANRUI | 2025-11-27 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FQ5X2XF3 | CREATCABIN | 2025-09-08 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显进入价格战/过度拥挤状态,新品牌几乎没有可验证的成功窗口。 现有数据里,新发布产品成功率为0%,新品牌新发布产品成功率也是0%;整体可识别盈利率只有8.49%,低于10%的高风险线,属于高失败率市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经进入明显的价格战和过度拥挤状态。 近端新上架几乎全是失败:2025年新发布产品里可确认的成功率为0%,2026年目前也是0%可见成功;同时近一年出现的新品牌已经有Londehuhai、Saycker、Wislist、Axrivonte、CREATCABIN等多家,但几乎全部新品牌新品都不盈利,说明不是“还能捡漏”,而是新进场就被淘汰。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |