
这个市场不值得进入,且已经进入明显的价格战和拥挤状态。 新品整体盈利率只有13.64%,而新品牌新品成功率仅3.45%,失败率高达93.33%;最近一年新增44个新品里,35个直接亏损,最近几个月新增几乎清一色失败,说明市场不是在扩张,而是在快速内卷。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进,且用户预算只能覆盖入场门槛的一小段,连“长期打赢”的资金都不够。 新品建议预算的最低线是4585.6312美元,中位数是20036.189472美元,最高到23650.305781美元;而用户预算是500000.00 CNY(约7万美元级别),表面上够过最低线,但在这个类目里真正的难点不是“能不能下单”,而是大量新品靠重投放和品牌势能才能跑出来,普通新卖家很难复制。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合现在进入。 核心原因很直接:新品牌里成功率只有13.64%,而且新品牌样本里已经出现了明显的低利润和失败样本,说明这里不是“新手友好”市场;同时,成熟品牌能赚钱主要靠更高客单价、功能差异和更强品牌势能,普通新卖家很难复制。
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,属于高竞争、接近价格战的市场,且正在快速被新品牌挤压。 新品里能稳定赚钱的只剩少数老牌/强势品牌,新品牌想靠普通打法成功概率很低,小商家尤其不适合硬闯。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B09BVDKSTN | Kitchen in the box | 2021-08-04 | Yes | $82.12 | 1000pcs | $82120.0 | 27.51% | $22591.22 |
![]() | B000TVWFEY | Cuisinart | 2017-08-24 | Yes | $49.88 | 1000pcs | $49880.0 | 33.52% | $16719.78 |
![]() | B09Y9LHFJ5 | Hamilton Beach | 2022-04-19 | Yes | $95.31 | 500pcs | $47655.0 | 27.38% | $13047.94 |
![]() | B0D2RC6MYG | Yomelo | 2024-04-26 | Yes | $48.38 | 850pcs | $41123.0 | 29.11% | $11970.91 |
![]() | B08XFJ7CKG | Hamilton Beach | 2021-02-24 | Yes | $33.27 | 2000pcs | $66540.0 | 17.3% | $11511.42 |
![]() | B0F8QK4SDB | Yomelo | 2025-05-15 | Yes | $45.84 | 850pcs | $38964.0 | 26.83% | $10454.05 |
![]() | B07PH42R3H | Hamilton Beach Professional | 2019-03-08 | Yes | $42.87 | 900pcs | $38583.0 | 26.4% | $10185.92 |
![]() | B0F8QLZFH4 | Yomelo | 2025-05-15 | Yes | $45.48 | 700pcs | $31836.0 | 27.65% | $8802.66 |
![]() | B0BGRW6DSJ | Yomelo | 2022-09-29 | Yes | $44.76 | 700pcs | $31332.0 | 26.22% | $8215.26 |
![]() | B0D9YBRB4Z | Yomelo | 2024-08-22 | Yes | $40.85 | 700pcs | $28595.0 | 24.62% | $7040.09 |
![]() | B0CZL3VB11 | Yomelo | 2024-04-01 | Yes | $37.18 | 700pcs | $26026.0 | 24.07% | $6264.46 |
![]() | B0CP58QF81 | Yomelo | 2023-11-29 | Yes | $39.19 | 700pcs | $27433.0 | 22.53% | $6180.66 |
![]() | B0D2R8S7N5 | Yomelo | 2024-04-26 | Yes | $36.88 | 700pcs | $25816.0 | 23.81% | $6146.79 |
![]() | B0F8QKFZCP | Yomelo | 2025-05-15 | Yes | $36.75 | 700pcs | $25725.0 | 23.73% | $6104.55 |
![]() | B0F8QKV9KL | Yomelo | 2025-05-15 | Yes | $35.88 | 700pcs | $25116.0 | 23.07% | $5794.27 |
![]() | B0CMTB9VYY | Yomelo | 2023-11-07 | Yes | $37.82 | 700pcs | $26474.0 | 21.61% | $5721.04 |
![]() | B0BLV8BKTF | Yomelo | 2022-11-09 | Yes | $37.29 | 700pcs | $26103.0 | 21.07% | $5499.91 |
![]() | B0D1DHY12C | Hamilton Beach | 2024-04-10 | Yes | $39.58 | 600pcs | $23748.0 | 22.76% | $5405.05 |
![]() | B0DPNKPWK2 | BELLA | 2024-12-05 | Yes | $59.96 | 500pcs | $29980.0 | 17.8% | $5336.44 |
![]() | B00OFU083U | Hamilton Beach | 2014-10-13 | Yes | $65.26 | 500pcs | $32630.0 | 15.91% | $5191.44 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FL19V1NN | Lord Eagle | 2025-08-03 | Yes | $33.12 | 200pcs | $6624.0 | 22.68% | $1502.33 |
![]() | B0FL186TTC | Lord Eagle | 2025-08-03 | Yes | $32.99 | 200pcs | $6598.0 | 20.56% | $1356.55 |
![]() | B0GH8M88L3 | Lord Eagle | 2026-01-16 | Yes | $48.98 | 100pcs | $4898.0 | 26.96% | $1320.51 |
![]() | B0GF15TVX8 | LILPARTNER | 2026-01-05 | Yes | $32.44 | 200pcs | $6488.0 | 17.84% | $1157.46 |
![]() | B0G4RBWTJP | LILPARTNER | 2025-12-02 | Yes | $32.23 | 200pcs | $6446.0 | 17.68% | $1139.66 |
![]() | B0G2GLC6LH | Vikaluz | 2025-11-16 | Yes | $65.32 | 50pcs | $3266.0 | 12.28% | $401.07 |
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:新品牌几乎没有真实空间,已经接近价格战/高门槛市场。 新品总体盈利率只有13.64%,新品牌新品盈利率只有3.45%,而新品牌新品不盈利率高达93.33%;同时市场里老品牌新品盈利率35.71%,明显强于新品牌,说明机会被成熟品牌和已有链接型产品牢牢占住。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场已经进入高风险、偏过度拥挤的状态,不建议新卖家继续进场。 近一年新品成功率只有13.64%,而新品牌新品成功率更差,只有3.45%;同时,最近新品牌持续涌入,但几乎都在亏损,说明竞争正在加速变硬,不是变好。
证据非常直接: 市场里新品牌有8个,但旧品牌有13个;最近一年新增新品44个,其中只有6个算成功,35个明确亏损,成功率是13.64%,失败率高达85.37%。按时间看,2025年还能看到少量可赚钱新品,但到了2026年,几乎清一色变成亏损新品:2026年新增新品里,亏损样本大幅增加,3月、5月都出现集中爆发式上新,但对应的都是失败;这不是健康增长,而是典型的越卖越卷、越上越亏。价格层面也不友好,整体新产品可见利润区间只有2.75%到20.03%,说明大多数新品利润空间已经被压得很薄,属于明显的价格战环境。新品牌这边更惨,29个新品牌新品里只有1个成功,成功率3.45%;而且真正跑出来的只有 Vikaluz 的 B0G2GLC6LH,其他像 Showvigor、NEWBULIG、ChefCrafts 都是失败样本。再看 fake review 风险,Showvigor 的 B0G1TL1JKS 有1975条评论,已经很像高压营销型打法;NEWBULIG、ChefCrafts、Showvigor 多个新品都没有利润、没有销量,若要硬拼,很可能需要更激进的推广甚至更重的营销手段。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |