
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经是高风险价格战区。 新品成功率只有8.82%,而且最近新增里82.35%都不赚钱;市场里真正能跑出来的,几乎都是成熟大品牌换外观、换设计后继续吃份额,不是留给普通新手试错的。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:不建议进入,这个市场已经进入明显的价格战区,而且对新进入者不友好。 你的预算 50万人民币(约合 7万美金)能覆盖单个新品前期启动,但面对这个类目里大量低毛利、低成功率和持续上新的竞争者,这点预算不足以把长期品牌战打赢。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品成功率只有 8.82%,失败率高达 82.35%,已经是明显的高风险价格战市场。 更关键的是,2026 年新品牌新品几乎全军覆没,短期内没有“低成本试错就能赢”的窗口;你 50 万 CNY 的预算足够做单个 ASIN 的启动,但不够抵消这个类目里持续压价、靠审美和品牌感硬拼的现实。
这个市场不值得进入,属于高风险、明显偏饱和的价格战市场。 新品牌新款的盈利率只有27.27%,但非盈利率高达72.73%;按利润分布看,新产品里20%以下利润的占比接近一半,10%以下的低利润/亏损产品占比也很高,说明大多数新进入者根本赚不到钱。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0FH1M6ZMD | Fortella | 2025-07-08 | Yes | $39.33 | 2000pcs | $78660.0 | 13.94% | $10965.21 |
![]() | B0G2ZPXJN8 | mushie | 2025-11-19 | Yes | $24.99 | 400pcs | $9996.0 | 19.13% | $1912.24 |
![]() | B0G2ZVN7LZ | mushie | 2025-11-19 | Yes | $24.99 | 500pcs | $12495.0 | 11.38% | $1421.94 |
![]() | B0G2ZV6CCY | mushie | 2025-11-19 | Yes | $24.99 | 300pcs | $7497.0 | 14.66% | $1099.07 |
![]() | B0FJXPD9DV | Blissful Diary | 2025-09-20 | Yes | $26.54 | 150pcs | $3981.0 | 19.03% | $757.59 |
B0DX3DVBRW | Lily Miles | 2025-06-16 | Yes | $24.63 | 200pcs | $4926.0 | 15.03% | $740.38 | |
![]() | B0DX412JPT | Lily Miles | 2025-06-16 | Yes | $24.73 | 200pcs | $4946.0 | 11.53% | $570.28 |
![]() | B0FDKHM6L9 | PeraBella | 2025-06-18 | Yes | $21.87 | 200pcs | $4374.0 | 12.61% | $551.57 |
B0FJXRXPTX | Blissful Diary | 2025-09-20 | Yes | $26.26 | 100pcs | $2626.0 | 18.55% | $487.13 | |
![]() | B0FDKGBJ4G | PeraBella | 2025-06-18 | Yes | $21.72 | 200pcs | $4344.0 | 10.43% | $453.08 |
![]() | B0FB8JTFXG | VKSAO | 2025-05-29 | Yes | $19.4 | 200pcs | $3880.0 | 10.25% | $397.7 |
![]() | B0FLXG5GWH | Kodomoore | 2025-10-01 | Yes | $23.99 | 100pcs | $2399.0 | 11.81% | $283.33 |
![]() | B0FDKHJT9D | PeraBella | 2025-06-18 | Yes | $21.75 | 50pcs | $1087.5 | 10.73% | $116.69 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0G2ZPXJN8 | mushie | 2025-11-19 | Yes | $24.99 | 400pcs | $9996.0 | 19.13% | $1912.24 |
![]() | B0G2ZVN7LZ | mushie | 2025-11-19 | Yes | $24.99 | 500pcs | $12495.0 | 11.38% | $1421.94 |
![]() | B0G2ZV6CCY | mushie | 2025-11-19 | Yes | $24.99 | 300pcs | $7497.0 | 14.66% | $1099.07 |
![]() | B0FJXPD9DV | Blissful Diary | 2025-09-20 | Yes | $26.54 | 150pcs | $3981.0 | 19.03% | $757.59 |
B0FJXRXPTX | Blissful Diary | 2025-09-20 | Yes | $26.26 | 100pcs | $2626.0 | 18.55% | $487.13 | |
![]() | B0FLXG5GWH | Kodomoore | 2025-10-01 | Yes | $23.99 | 100pcs | $2399.0 | 11.81% | $283.33 |
这个市场不值得进入:整体已经接近/进入价格战区,新品成功率只有8.82%,低于10%的高风险线,而且2025年后新上架数量明显增多、2026年继续集中爆发,竞争在加剧而不是变松。 以当前数据看,不管是大品牌还是小商家,都没有“高概率成功”的窗口;小商家若要进场,基本只能靠非常强的差异化和预算硬扛,但这仍然不是好市场。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场现在不适合进入,结论很明确:已经进入过热/价格战区,新品牌成功率低,且最近的新增几乎都在亏损。 2025 年到 2026 年上半年,真正的新品牌里只有 3 个新品达标盈利,但有 8 个新品亏损,成功率只有 27.27%;如果只看新品牌的整体新上架表现,亏损占 72.73%,这已经不是“可尝试市场”,而是明显的高风险市场。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |