
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品牌已经彻底失败,而且整体正在往价格战里滑。 新品牌 5 个、近 12 个月新发布 11 个,盈利成功率都是 0%;新发布产品的可识别利润区间只到 15.11%,但真正跑出来的几乎都不是新品牌,说明这不是“低门槛试错市场”,而是“拼资源、拼品牌、拼长期亏损承受力”的市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入。 用户预算50万人民币表面上够覆盖单个新品前期启动,但市场已经明显偏向价格战,且新品牌几乎没有成功样本;对大品牌和小商家都不是好机会。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入:已经明显过热,而且正在走向价格战。 新品牌新上架的成功率是 0%,市场整体可识别利润产品占比只有 16.67%,而新品牌新发布产品盈利率也是 0%;同时,符合样本里新品牌已出现 5 个,老品牌在新产品中的占比也很高,说明竞争不是“有没有机会”,而是“谁能砸钱扛住亏损”。
证据很直接:新品牌里,Good Sense Foods 的 B0FN8LH25T 售价 11.96 美元,月销 50、月营收约 5,980 美元,但仍是不盈利,利润率只有 10.27%;go Raw 的 B0H3Q9VNK8、B0GTWSTS8T 也都不盈利,且完全没有跑出收入。反过来,真正赚钱的样本几乎都来自老品牌:TOP FOX 的 B087Z5GC4M 售价 23.94 美元,利润率 14.39%,月营收约 9,576 美元;B0B6L9JM4X 利润率 14.93%,月营收约 7,188 美元;Nuts.com 的 B0CLF8TKP4 月营收约 17,577 美元。成功打法也非常集中:大包装、无壳、低碳、高蛋白、便携小袋/可重复密封,而失败样本几乎都死在“外观普通、卖点通用、没有独特结构或口味区隔”。
对两类入场者的结论都一样:大品牌可以考虑,但前提是要按老品牌标准重投、做更强品牌和差异化;小品牌不建议进。 如果硬要对标,大品牌应跟:TOP FOX 的 B087Z5GC4M、B0B6L9JM4X,Nuts.com 的 B0CLF8TKP4;小品牌最可参考的“真成功新品牌”几乎找不到,Good Sense Foods 目前是失败案例,不该当成功模板。你如果想进,至少要避开“通用健康零食”这条路,否则只会落入低毛利、低转化、靠促销硬撑的困局。
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:已进入明显的价格战区,而且对新品牌极不友好。新产品里只有1/12能做到10%以内利润,8.33%刚刚达到低利润线,另外66.67%根本没有有效利润数据,说明真正能跑通的新机会非常少;整体已知利润分布里,10%以下的产品占了35.82%,而且非盈利样本大量集中在9.98美元和11.96美元这类低价位,典型就是低价互卷。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0CLF8TKP4 | Nuts.com | 2023-10-19 | Yes | $25.11 | 700pcs | $17577.0 | 17.89% | $3144.53 |
![]() | B0CLF35YF5 | Nuts.com | 2023-10-19 | Yes | $22.32 | 700pcs | $15624.0 | 13.42% | $2096.75 |
![]() | B087Z5GC4M | TOP FOX | 2020-05-01 | Yes | $23.94 | 400pcs | $9576.0 | 14.39% | $1377.99 |
![]() | B0B6L9JM4X | TOP FOX | 2022-07-26 | Yes | $23.96 | 300pcs | $7188.0 | 14.93% | $1073.17 |
![]() | B087Z5CTG3 | TOP FOX | 2020-05-01 | Yes | $23.96 | 300pcs | $7188.0 | 14.9% | $1071.02 |
![]() | B087Z5TGWS | TOP FOX | 2020-05-01 | Yes | $23.88 | 300pcs | $7164.0 | 14.75% | $1056.69 |
![]() | B0FD12YHNM | TOP FOX | 2020-05-02 | Yes | $23.96 | 300pcs | $7188.0 | 12.27% | $881.97 |
![]() | B0B6KT7TRD | TOP FOX | 2022-07-14 | Yes | $23.96 | 100pcs | $2396.0 | 14.56% | $348.86 |
![]() | B07CG6KM7R | Oh! Nuts | 2018-04-12 | Yes | $37.39 | 50pcs | $1869.5 | 13.89% | $259.68 |
![]() | B014XG1Q5O | SuperSeedz | 2015-09-02 | Yes | $15.99 | 50pcs | $799.5 | 20.11% | $160.78 |
![]() | B014XG1OIS | SuperSeedz | 2015-09-02 | Yes | $14.95 | 50pcs | $747.5 | 15.6% | $116.61 |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0G45ST9X7 | We Got Nuts | 2025-11-26 | No | $17.99 | 50pcs | $899.5 | 4.98% | $44.8 |
![]() | B0FN8LH25T | Good Sense Foods | 2025-08-21 | No | $11.96 | 50pcs | $598.0 | 10.27% | $61.42 |
![]() | B0H3Q9VNK8 | go Raw | 2025-11-26 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FP6M2448 | Sunhill Naturals | 2025-08-29 | No | $13.99 | -pcs | $- | 3.85% | $- |
![]() | B0FSHFLZN5 | OZ ERCIYES | 2025-09-24 | No | $9.08 | -pcs | $- | -17.93% | $- |
![]() | B0GTWSTS8T | go Raw | 2026-03-25 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GHGXL7KZ | Yupik | 2026-01-17 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0H37WGC3Q | GIANTS SUNFLOWER SEEDS | 2026-05-28 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GKYXGW6Q | OZ ERCIYES | 2026-02-01 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FS6J9FGV | SuperSeedz | 2026-02-27 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0GSS8HPX4 | Farm Fresh Nuts | 2026-03-16 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显进入高竞争、低利润的价格战区域。 11个新发布样本里,全部都没有跑出盈利,新品牌新发布的成功率是0%,老品牌新发布的成功率也是0%;而整体可识别样本里,盈利率也只有16.67%,多数产品利润率集中在0%到20%之间,说明真正能赚到钱的并不多,且新产品几乎都在亏。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品牌已经全部失败,最近一年持续偏向亏损,属于高竞争、低容错的市场。 用户预算 500,000 CNY 远高于单个新 ASIN 的早期建议投入 2,426.56 USD,但钱不是问题,问题是成功率和利润结构太差,单靠常规打法进场大概率亏损。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |