
这个市场不值得进入:已经是明显的价格战区,且新品牌/新品几乎没有跑通的证据。用户预算50万人民币表面上够做单个ASIN的前期启动,但在这个赛道里只能算“够进场、不够打赢”,不是可接受的长期入场机会。
从数据看,利润面已经很差:新上架产品的利润区间是-50.83%到-3.57%,没有任何新产品达到15%以上;可识别的新产品成功率是0.00%,近一年新品牌的成功率也是0.00%。按时间看,近期进入并没有变容易,2026年5月的Brownie Brittle新品是-27.98%,2025年11月的Nairn's和Mightylicious新品也都未能转正,说明这不是短期波动,而是持续的低利润挤压。品牌层面,Brownie Brittle是新品牌里唯一能看到月销的样本,但1499美元月营收只对应100件/月,且直接亏损27.98%;Simple Mills这类老牌在样本里有更强的规模,但其新品同样全亏,像B072HVT8YM月销4000件、月营收193.2万美元,利润仍是-49.31%,说明大品牌也只能靠规模硬撑,不能证明新进入者有机会。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这个市场不值得进入:利润率极差、竞争强度高,而且已经明显进入价格战区。 用户预算 500,000 CNY 虽然足以覆盖单个ASIN前期启动,但在这个赛道里只能算“够入场、不够打赢”,因为样本里可识别利润的产品整体盈利率是 0%,新上架产品盈利率也是 0%,市场的利润区间甚至落在 -50.83% 到 -3.57% 之间。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,原因很直接:核心样本里没有任何可用的盈利新品牌案例,反而出现了明显的高成本、低利润、强竞争特征。 用户预算 50万人民币表面上足够启动单个 ASIN,但在这个赛道里,光靠这笔钱也很难跑出正回报;对大品牌和小品牌都不是好机会。
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显是高风险价格战市场。 关键证据很直接:新产品里没有任何一个落在15%以上利润区间,已知利润样本里4/5是亏损、1/5只是接近打平;新品牌新上架盈利率为0%,老品牌新上架盈利率也为0%,说明不管是新手还是大牌,新品都很难跑通。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes products classified as non-profitable regardless of release date.
![]() | B071Z2HWYC | Simple Mills | 2017-04-07 | No | $4.41 | 20000pcs | $88200.0 | -58.48% | $-51579.36 |
![]() | B072HVT8YM | Simple Mills | 2017-04-07 | No | $4.83 | 4000pcs | $19320.0 | -49.31% | $-9526.69 |
![]() | B000VK43A2 | Annie's Homegrown | 2011-12-16 | No | $4.42 | 1000pcs | $4420.0 | -59.13% | $-2613.54 |
![]() | B0H2WLJ1F9 | Brownie Brittle | 2026-05-25 | No | $14.99 | 100pcs | $1499.0 | -27.98% | $-419.42 |
![]() | B0CB4ZQQDZ | Mi-Del | 2023-09-27 | No | $9.85 | 50pcs | $492.5 | -16.3% | $-80.27 |
![]() | B08TYTQPBN | MAVERICKS | 2021-01-25 | No | $9.4 | 50pcs | $470.0 | -1.63% | $-7.66 |
![]() | B0CB4P253L | Mi-Del | 2023-07-04 | No | $9.79 | -pcs | $- | -21.21% | $- |
![]() | B0DNN3CCKH | Mightylicious | 2024-11-20 | No | $8.58 | -pcs | $- | -25.11% | $- |
![]() | B084DWX4RF | MAVERICKS | 2020-04-01 | No | $10.99 | -pcs | $- | 14.34% | $- |
![]() | B0BMWM4Q5C | Simple Mills | 2022-11-18 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B077Y8NBPW | Annie's Homegrown | 2017-12-07 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0FZXJPZXC | Mightylicious | 2025-11-05 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0DZ1NYCF9 | MAVERICKS | 2024-11-27 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G2G7NPC2 | Nairn's | 2025-11-15 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0DMTN83W9 | Simple Mills | 2024-11-12 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0DK9Z1L79 | ALYSSA'S SINCE 2010 | 2024-10-18 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
New products with negative profitability ranked by lowest profit value. Only includes newly released products classified as non-profitable.
![]() | B0H2WLJ1F9 | Brownie Brittle | 2026-05-25 | No | $14.99 | 100pcs | $1499.0 | -27.98% | $-419.42 |
![]() | B0FZXJPZXC | Mightylicious | 2025-11-05 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
![]() | B0G2G7NPC2 | Nairn's | 2025-11-15 | No | $- | -pcs | $- | -% | $- |
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品牌几乎没有合法成功样本,且整体利润已经进入价格战区。 目前可见的新发布产品利润率成功率是0%,整体可识别利润产品里有4个低于-10%,1个在-10%到0%之间,说明不是“低利润”,而是明显亏损主导。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品成功率极低,而且近期进入的新品几乎都在亏损,已经是高风险的价格战市场。 近一年新品牌新发布产品的盈利率只有0%,非盈利率高达66.7%;在已识别的近期样本里,2025年11月和2026年5月出现的新产品几乎全部未达标,说明竞争不是变少,而是变得更难。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |