
这个市场不值得进入,核心原因不是“没机会”,而是已经明显进入高竞争、低容错状态:新品牌总量只有13个,看起来还没到30+的过度拥挤警戒线,但新品成功率只剩20.59%,新品牌新品成功率也只有26.32%,而且近几个月新品里失败数持续压过成功数,说明竞争在快速变硬,价格压力已经很强。对小商家尤其不友好,因为真正跑出来的新品大多不是普通小品牌,而是带有品牌势能、旧款升级或明显功能差异的玩家。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不适合现在进入。 用户预算50万CNY表面上够做单个ASIN的首批投入,但这类产品后续还要额外吃掉研发、品牌和认证成本;而市场里真正跑出来的新品,基本都不是靠低预算取胜,更多是靠老品牌资源、强品牌认知和更高投放。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,已经接近价格战/过度拥挤区间。整体可盈利产品只占37.72%,而新品里真正盈利的只占20.59%;同时已出现多个新品牌在同类里快速试错,且低价新品的利润率只有11.4%和-16.1%,说明一旦走错定价就直接亏损。
这个市场不值得进入。新品牌新品盈利率只有20.59%,但真正能看见利润的样本里,10%以下利润段占了相当大一块,而且近几个月新品发布明显偏向亏损,说明竞争已经非常拥挤,价格战正在吞掉新进入者的空间。
从数据看,市场里可明确判定为盈利的产品只占37.72%,而新品里更弱,只有20.59%。更关键的是,2025年到2026年的新品发布里,亏损新品数量持续压过盈利新品,2025年8月、2025年12月和2026年1月都出现成批非盈利新品,说明趋势不是扩张红利,而是越打越卷。高利润产品并不多,真正赚钱的大多靠老牌力量和旧款延伸,不是靠普通新品硬冲。比如 B0D1HK3BYG(Rolda)月收入约52,500美元,B0GFGKTT5G(OUAI)约80,000美元,B0GSF2LP1C(Karseell)约37,540美元,这些都不是小品牌轻松复制的路径;而像 B0G94HGBWQ(gcdat)、B0GFXSR6CH(California Naturals)、B0G4N88K2C(Rolda 新品)这些新入局产品都掉进了低利润或亏损区,说明同质化新品很难活下来。当前市场也没有出现任何 >40% 的利润带,利润天花板并不高,更多是靠品牌力、旧款复用和功能微创新撑着。
对大品牌来说,这里只是能进但要重投、而且只能模仿成功老牌打法;对小商家来说,结论更直接:不要进。用户预算 500,000 CNY 虽然看上去够启动单个ASIN,但市场里的可行新入场预算中位数只有约 3,010.96 美元,真正跑出来的样本又高度依赖品牌背书、旧款升级和功能差异化,甚至有些需要更高品牌投入;这类创新不是靠前期进货和投放就能解决的。小品牌如果想活,必须做到非常强的差异化和持续营销,否则只能被低价和大牌流量压死。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B009PAF1WS | Moroccanoil | 2014-03-04 | Yes | $16.0 | 8000pcs | $128000.0 | 29.95% | $38336.0 |
![]() | B0FRB1N4SM | Kitsch | 2025-09-16 | Yes | $14.34 | 8000pcs | $114720.0 | 20.88% | $23953.54 |
![]() | B0GFGKTT5G | OUAI | 2026-01-07 | Yes | $16.0 | 5000pcs | $80000.0 | 27.41% | $21928.0 |
![]() | B08X8Z2777 | TIGI | 2021-04-21 | Yes | $15.69 | 4000pcs | $62760.0 | 24.14% | $15150.27 |
![]() | B08BT948RD | Shea Moisture | 2020-08-05 | Yes | $17.63 | 6000pcs | $105780.0 | 13.66% | $14449.55 |
B0DG2JDD88 | Aveda | 2025-04-30 | Yes | $13.83 | 4000pcs | $55320.0 | 23.7% | $13110.84 | |
![]() | B0GSF2LP1C | Karseell | 2026-03-13 | Yes | $18.77 | 2000pcs | $37540.0 | 28.35% | $10642.59 |
![]() | B0D1HK3BYG | Rolda | 2024-04-11 | Yes | $15.0 | 3500pcs | $52500.0 | 19.52% | $10248.01 |
![]() | B0DGQY77RC | BASK & LATHER | 2024-09-11 | Yes | $16.99 | 2000pcs | $33980.0 | 22.62% | $7686.28 |
![]() | B07PJ7FKTK | Cake Beauty | 2019-03-07 | Yes | $11.1 | 5000pcs | $55500.0 | 12.49% | $6931.95 |
![]() | B075PTW3K4 | Mielle Organics | 2017-09-17 | Yes | $12.81 | 4000pcs | $51240.0 | 11.65% | $5969.46 |
![]() | B08HKB9J2R | Marc Anthony | 2020-09-09 | Yes | $16.9 | 2000pcs | $33800.0 | 17.36% | $5867.68 |
![]() | B079DDZY6L | Kristin Ess | 2018-01-28 | Yes | $11.31 | 4000pcs | $45240.0 | 12.19% | $5514.76 |
![]() | B08KTQH9H4 | Afro Love | 2020-10-07 | Yes | $32.83 | 500pcs | $16415.0 | 31.83% | $5224.9 |
![]() | B08ZJB7CZV | Aquage | 2022-11-16 | Yes | $20.94 | 800pcs | $16752.0 | 30.83% | $5164.65 |
![]() | B0D87FTZ6P | Karseell | 2024-06-27 | Yes | $19.02 | 800pcs | $15216.0 | 28.01% | $4262.01 |
![]() | B07958HT87 | Ouidad | 2018-01-19 | Yes | $9.8 | 3000pcs | $29400.0 | 12.13% | $3566.22 |
![]() | B0DKKHY1K1 | OCOA | 2024-11-18 | Yes | $19.98 | 600pcs | $11988.0 | 27.0% | $3236.76 |
![]() | B00684ANMC | Jessicurl | 2011-12-21 | Yes | $20.71 | 500pcs | $10355.0 | 28.1% | $2909.76 |
![]() | B08RCC44SL | Bumble and bumble. | 2024-05-22 | Yes | $15.43 | 700pcs | $10801.0 | 26.21% | $2830.95 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FRB1N4SM | Kitsch | 2025-09-16 | Yes | $14.34 | 8000pcs | $114720.0 | 20.88% | $23953.54 |
![]() | B0GFGKTT5G | OUAI | 2026-01-07 | Yes | $16.0 | 5000pcs | $80000.0 | 27.41% | $21928.0 |
![]() | B0GSF2LP1C | Karseell | 2026-03-13 | Yes | $18.77 | 2000pcs | $37540.0 | 28.35% | $10642.59 |
![]() | B0GNB7YMKP | DevaCurl | 2026-03-22 | Yes | $14.67 | 200pcs | $2934.0 | 24.4% | $715.9 |
![]() | B0GZRVPZDP | Function of Beauty | 2026-05-06 | Yes | $12.09 | 500pcs | $6045.0 | 11.36% | $686.72 |
![]() | B0G44P8LNK | V&CO | 2025-11-26 | Yes | $15.96 | 100pcs | $1596.0 | 15.48% | $247.07 |
![]() | B0GQ2BS6QG | TUOSHITONG | 2026-02-25 | Yes | $12.86 | 100pcs | $1286.0 | 10.6% | $136.32 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经明显接近/进入过度拥挤和价格战区。 新品里只有20.59%能盈利,而新品牌新品盈利率只有26.32%,失败率高达73.68%;同时2026年新品发布明显增多,但非盈利新品也同步激增,说明竞争在加速而不是变健康。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显走向过度拥挤,且新品牌成功率偏低,价格战风险很高。 现在的走势不是“还能不能做”,而是“进场后大概率会被迫拼价格和投放”,对大品牌和小商家都不友好。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| 2026 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2026/1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |