
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入,已经明显走向低质量竞争和价格战。 新品牌只有3个,新增品牌成功率仅20%,新品整体成功率20%,而且80%的新上架产品都没跑通;这不是“有机会的早期市场”,而是一个需要重投入、且普通新品牌很难复制成功的市场。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论很直接:这个市场不值得进入。 你有50万CNY预算,表面上能覆盖一部分单品前期投入,但市场里真正能跑出来的样本极少,且新品成功率只有20%,新品牌失败率高达80%,这已经不是普通竞争,而是明显的高风险市场。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合进入,直接判定为高风险且偏饱和。 目前只看到3个新品牌(AFMVV、Baigeda、Geemaker)和1个老品牌(Koiiko),新品牌盈利率只有20%,而且新品牌里已经出现两家新进入者连续失败;这说明不是“宽松机会”,而是需要很强投入才能勉强跑通的市场。
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,属于低质量竞争区,不管大品牌还是小品牌都不应贸然进场。 当前数据里,新品里只有1个能赚钱,但有3个新产品失败/不可盈利,失败占比80%,而且近一年新增品牌里真正跑通的只有AFMVV这一家,成功率20%,其余像Baigeda、Geemaker、Koiiko都没有形成可复制的盈利样本。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
B0FZ9R79BY | AFMVV | 2026-01-01 | Yes | $38.6 | 900pcs | $34740.0 | 38.13% | $13246.37 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
B0FZ9R79BY | AFMVV | 2026-01-01 | Yes | $38.6 | 900pcs | $34740.0 | 38.13% | $13246.37 |
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显偏向高竞争、低容错的价格战区。 目前可识别的盈利产品只有16.67%,新发布产品盈利率也只有20.00%;更关键的是,新品牌新品中80.00%不赚钱,说明新进入者大多在亏,真正能跑出来的只有AFMVV这一家,且它的成功是建立在“基于老款改造”的路径上,不是适合普通新手复制的低门槛模型。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
结论很明确:这个市场不值得进入,已经进入高压竞争区,不适合大品牌也不适合小商家。 近一年里新品牌几乎没有形成稳定胜率,最新样本里新品牌新上架产品成功率只有20%,失败率高达80%,而且最近进入的品牌大多还是亏损,说明市场不是在扩张,而是在快速变成价格战。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |