
这个市场不值得现在进入,结论很明确:已经走到拥挤和价格战边缘,新品牌只有极少数靠明显差异化才跑得通。 20个新品里只有2个赚钱,成功率只有10%;而且这2个成功样本都来自 Veise,价格约39.01–39.85美元,月销50–100单,利润率21.92%–22.3%,说明不是“低门槛普遍机会”,而是靠做出外观和功能区分才勉强成立。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
这不是一个适合现在进入的市场。 结论很直接:你的50万人民币预算能覆盖少数单品的前期进入,但这个赛道已经明显进入价格战和拥挤竞争状态,小品牌不该硬闯,大品牌也不值得在这里做高成本扩张。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合现在进入:整体已经偏拥挤,利润被压到中低区间,新品牌要想活下来只能靠明显差异化;如果只是做常规门把手/门锁款,结果大概率会和大量失败品一样。 但从数据看,真正能跑通的路径也很清楚:要么靠老牌的品牌力和功能升级,要么做出明确的外观或功能区分,否则很难盈利。
这个市场不适合现在进入。 新品里能看见的盈利样本并不多,且成功路径明显偏向老牌大品牌;当前更像是成熟品牌主导的高门槛赛道,而不是适合普通新卖家切入的机会。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B096CKJGX3 | Kwikset | 2021-06-01 | Yes | $29.6 | 2000pcs | $59200.0 | 26.71% | $15812.32 |
![]() | B099ZL2PNT | Kwikset | 2021-07-21 | Yes | $66.94 | 400pcs | $26776.0 | 39.09% | $10466.74 |
![]() | B099ZKW8L6 | Kwikset | 2021-07-21 | Yes | $53.59 | 300pcs | $16077.0 | 35.37% | $5686.44 |
![]() | B0B2C5QWSS | Kwikset | 2022-05-25 | Yes | $39.58 | 400pcs | $15832.0 | 31.94% | $5056.75 |
![]() | B099ZN485N | Kwikset | 2021-07-21 | Yes | $44.71 | 300pcs | $13413.0 | 33.25% | $4459.83 |
![]() | B096CBQL32 | Kwikset | 2021-06-01 | Yes | $35.38 | 400pcs | $14152.0 | 30.73% | $4348.91 |
![]() | B00H7HSRJU | SCHLAGE | 2013-12-09 | Yes | $53.41 | 200pcs | $10682.0 | 35.86% | $3830.57 |
![]() | B00115UP76 | Kwikset | 2011-10-20 | Yes | $49.03 | 200pcs | $9806.0 | 37.27% | $3654.7 |
![]() | B0D8FKPVBJ | DSJJBLL | 2024-06-29 | Yes | $35.99 | 400pcs | $14396.0 | 22.77% | $3277.97 |
![]() | B0BXGGMRPZ | DSJJBLL | 2023-05-13 | Yes | $35.6 | 400pcs | $14240.0 | 22.33% | $3179.8 |
![]() | B001M54AYO | Kwikset | 2011-05-16 | Yes | $45.42 | 200pcs | $9084.0 | 34.76% | $3157.6 |
![]() | B00H7HS5N8 | SCHLAGE | 2014-02-28 | Yes | $43.8 | 200pcs | $8760.0 | 33.81% | $2961.76 |
![]() | B07KXPRL7R | Probrico | 2018-11-28 | Yes | $37.38 | 200pcs | $7476.0 | 27.75% | $2074.6 |
![]() | B0009VLFHW | SCHLAGE | 2011-03-24 | Yes | $31.76 | 200pcs | $6352.0 | 28.47% | $1808.42 |
![]() | B0BXGKSPXQ | DSJJBLL | 2023-05-28 | Yes | $19.99 | 400pcs | $7996.0 | 16.12% | $1288.96 |
![]() | B0D4LZNSY6 | Probrico | 2024-05-20 | Yes | $36.06 | 200pcs | $7212.0 | 17.69% | $1275.81 |
![]() | B0D8FKDZHN | DSJJBLL | 2024-06-29 | Yes | $19.99 | 400pcs | $7996.0 | 15.82% | $1264.97 |
![]() | B0DL58J6H4 | Probrico | 2025-02-07 | Yes | $23.53 | 400pcs | $9412.0 | 12.66% | $1191.56 |
![]() | B07WZRBMKB | Probrico | 2019-08-28 | Yes | $33.9 | 200pcs | $6780.0 | 17.41% | $1180.4 |
![]() | B00M4IRCGQ | SCHLAGE | 2014-07-25 | Yes | $60.15 | 50pcs | $3007.5 | 37.67% | $1132.93 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GCCCCQWC | Veise | 2026-03-31 | Yes | $39.01 | 100pcs | $3901.0 | 21.92% | $855.1 |
![]() | B0GCCNN17Z | Veise | 2026-03-31 | Yes | $39.85 | 50pcs | $1992.5 | 22.3% | $444.33 |
这个市场不适合进入,结论很明确:老品牌强势、90% 的新产品不赚钱,且新品牌真正跑出来的只有 Veise 这一类少数案例。 对小品牌来说,能靠正规打法成功的空间非常窄;对大品牌来说,虽然有资金和品牌优势,但也不是好市场,因为这已经接近价格战和高门槛竞争区。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不建议进入,结论很明确:正在走向过度拥挤,短期看是价格战高风险区。 新品牌的真实成功非常少,最近的盈利集中在少数大品牌式玩家身上,小商家如果硬进,基本只能靠更高预算和激进打法去硬拼。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |