
这个市场不建议进入,而且对小商家和大品牌都不是好赛道:新品牌已经有20个,最近一年新上架产品108个里只有11个盈利,成功率10.19%,而且89.81%都不赚钱;这已经是明显的价格战和快速拥挤市场,不是机会型增长。用户50万人民币看起来够做单个ASIN,但在这个赛道里只能覆盖启动,不足以抵消持续投放、品牌和迭代压力,真正能活下来的多数都靠更强的设计差异和投放能力。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
不建议进入这个市场。 结论很直接:用户预算50万人民币表面上能覆盖单个ASIN的启动资金,但这个赛道已经出现明显的价格战信号,且新品牌成功率太低,投入后很容易被迅速打穿利润。
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:新品已经被大量品牌挤满,且多数新入局者都在亏损或接近亏损,属于明显的价格战高风险市场。 你能看到 2026 年新增新品里,非盈利样本远多于盈利样本;按已识别产品算,盈利率只有 10.00%,新品盈利率也只有 10.09%,而且 3 月、4 月、5 月连续出现大量新品牌上新但大多不赚钱,市场不是机会型增长,而是快速变成内卷。
这个市场不适合进入,属于明显的价格战+快速拥挤市场。 新品牌新上架产品里,盈利率只有10.89%,但非盈利率高达88.12%;最近12个月新品牌已经涌入18个,且2026年新上架数量明显暴增,3月至5月连续高位,说明竞争正在加速加剧,不是机会窗口而是挤压窗口。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0GCBJBQCL | Inshere | 2025-12-24 | Yes | $23.99 | 200pcs | $4798.0 | 25.08% | $1203.34 |
![]() | B0DP661XD8 | BOHEMIABY | 2025-01-17 | Yes | $17.19 | 100pcs | $1719.0 | 18.1% | $311.14 |
![]() | B0G3B3LL7B | Winatehr | 2025-11-21 | Yes | $21.93 | 100pcs | $2193.0 | 13.52% | $296.5 |
![]() | B0C14N1VTL | STEAMEDBUN | 2023-03-31 | Yes | $19.89 | 100pcs | $1989.0 | 14.7% | $292.39 |
![]() | B0G6JL3KCD | Winatehr | 2025-12-12 | Yes | $23.18 | 75pcs | $1738.5 | 16.39% | $284.95 |
![]() | B0FKTC2BKH | JAYOBGO | 2025-08-01 | Yes | $34.6 | 50pcs | $1730.0 | 15.66% | $270.92 |
![]() | B0GZGC4WKT | myrtle sky | 2026-05-04 | Yes | $22.99 | 100pcs | $2299.0 | 11.5% | $264.39 |
![]() | B0FSKD4F4X | Winatehr | 2025-09-25 | Yes | $21.94 | 100pcs | $2194.0 | 11.49% | $252.1 |
![]() | B0FMKBNYR6 | Winatehr | 2025-08-15 | Yes | $24.61 | 75pcs | $1845.75 | 10.06% | $185.69 |
![]() | B0G1XZTCR9 | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.3 | 50pcs | $1165.0 | 15.14% | $176.39 |
![]() | B0G1XTCDDZ | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.27 | 50pcs | $1163.5 | 13.44% | $156.38 |
B0G1XTBMH5 | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.26 | 50pcs | $1163.0 | 11.63% | $135.26 | |
![]() | B0G1XXF9G9 | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.17 | 50pcs | $1158.5 | 11.56% | $133.93 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0GCBJBQCL | Inshere | 2025-12-24 | Yes | $23.99 | 200pcs | $4798.0 | 25.08% | $1203.34 |
![]() | B0G3B3LL7B | Winatehr | 2025-11-21 | Yes | $21.93 | 100pcs | $2193.0 | 13.52% | $296.5 |
![]() | B0G6JL3KCD | Winatehr | 2025-12-12 | Yes | $23.18 | 75pcs | $1738.5 | 16.39% | $284.95 |
![]() | B0FKTC2BKH | JAYOBGO | 2025-08-01 | Yes | $34.6 | 50pcs | $1730.0 | 15.66% | $270.92 |
![]() | B0GZGC4WKT | myrtle sky | 2026-05-04 | Yes | $22.99 | 100pcs | $2299.0 | 11.5% | $264.39 |
![]() | B0FSKD4F4X | Winatehr | 2025-09-25 | Yes | $21.94 | 100pcs | $2194.0 | 11.49% | $252.1 |
![]() | B0FMKBNYR6 | Winatehr | 2025-08-15 | Yes | $24.61 | 75pcs | $1845.75 | 10.06% | $185.69 |
![]() | B0G1XZTCR9 | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.3 | 50pcs | $1165.0 | 15.14% | $176.39 |
![]() | B0G1XTCDDZ | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.27 | 50pcs | $1163.5 | 13.44% | $156.38 |
B0G1XTBMH5 | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.26 | 50pcs | $1163.0 | 11.63% | $135.26 | |
![]() | B0G1XXF9G9 | KJEYOB | 2025-11-12 | Yes | $23.17 | 50pcs | $1158.5 | 11.56% | $133.93 |
这个市场不适合进入,已经进入明显过热和价格战区域。新品牌进入数量达到20个,且新上架产品盈利率只有10.09%,接近临界线;更关键的是,绝大多数新上架产品仍然亏损,说明不是“还有空间”,而是“能活下来的太少”。
证据很直接:市场里新品牌很多,但真正常规、合法地跑出来的案例极少。新品牌里只有 Winatehr、KJEYOB、JAYOBGO 这类少数品牌有盈利样本,其中 Winatehr 4个盈利、11个亏损,品牌层面约26.67%可盈利;但它的亏损产品更多,说明它靠的是持续试错和较强投放,不是轻松复制的成功。JAYOBGO 的 B0FKTC2BKH 虽然盈利,利润率15.7%,月销50、月收入1730美元,但早期总投入高达5190美元,广告就占1352.51美元,说明想做成并不便宜。相反,老品牌 STEAMEDBUN 的新品全部未盈利,KeAiDMon、QUDUME、Sanwuta 这类老品牌新品也几乎/完全失败,说明老牌优势没有转化成新机会,反而体现出市场对新品非常不友好。
对小商家来说,结论更明确:几乎不值得进;对大品牌来说,也不是好市场。真正能当“小商家成功案例”的只有极少数新品牌下的低评论样本,例如 Winatehr 的部分盈利款只有 38~90条评论、JAYOBGO 的盈利款 11条评论,但这两者都需要持续投放和较高启动预算,不是低成本自然起量;而 200+ 评论的 STEAMEDBUN 旧款更像成熟品牌样本,不应算小商家。你当前预算 50万人民币看似足够,但在这个市场里,预算不是核心问题,核心问题是成功率太低、亏损样本太多、竞争太密。结论:不要进入。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入,已经明显进入超饱和和价格战区。 最近一年新增新品牌只有 11 个成功新产品,对应 89 个失败新产品,成功率只有 11%;而旧品牌的新产品成功率直接是 0%,说明连成熟玩家都没法轻松赚钱。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 67 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |