
结论很明确:这个市场不值得现在进入。 利润表面不差,但真正赚钱的基本都被老品牌 Jili 吃掉了,新品牌几乎没有站稳的样本;对小商家尤其不友好,对大品牌也只能靠更高预算和更强产品差异去打,但这不是一个适合普通切入的盘子。
证据很集中:市场里可识别的新品牌数量为 0,说明不是“新品牌不断涌入”的扩张期;近一年新增释放的 3 个产品里,只有 2 个盈利,成功率 66.67%,但样本太小,而且盈利几乎全部来自 Jili。 Jili 旗下 4 个可判断产品全部盈利,品牌盈利率 100%,两款新品利润率分别是 36.41% 和 38.49%,但它的单个 ASIN 前期投入约 6.1 万元人民币级别;Phydge 只有 1 个新产品,直接亏损。市场时间趋势也很清楚:2025 年 10 月 Jili 的新品赚钱,2026 年 4 月 Phydge 的新品亏损,说明不是新玩家变多,而是老玩家继续收口,竞争在往少数强势品牌集中。产品层面也验证了这一点:赚钱的都是“在老款基础上做功能和外观差异”的款,比如一体式保温瓶、奶粉仓、抗胀气奶嘴、防漏盖、便携暖奶器这类组合;失败款则是“缺乏独特性、同质化严重”。
These products have successfully captured market share and are profitable. Their design and features are suggested for your investment, based on market competition, saturation, and demand.
Green indicates better success rate, red indicates poorer success rate. If you are a new brand, focus on the left side; if you are an old brand, focus on the right side.
结论:这个市场可以进,但只适合大预算玩家;对小商家来说不值得进。 你的50万人民币预算足够覆盖单个ASIN的前期起步,但这个类目已经明显偏向老品牌主导,真正能打出利润的产品都靠差异化和品牌势能,不是靠低成本复制。
Some categories may not originally require certain certificates for entry; however, some products may target specific features (e.g. Bluetooth) or customers (e.g. children), and additional certificates may be required in the target marketplace (e.g. FCC, CPC).
Alternative solutions may pose a risk to your investment in certain markets.
这个市场不适合小品牌进入;对大品牌来说可以做,但只能按资源型打法切入,不能用低预算试错。 现在能看到的有效样本几乎都被老品牌 Jili 吃掉:4 个可判断产品全部盈利,品牌成功率 100%,新品也有 2/2 盈利,新品利润率在 36.4%~38.5%,但单个 ASIN 的早期投入约 8550 美元(约 6.1 万元人民币),说明这不是低成本机会,而是大品牌才能稳定复制的盘子。
这不是一个适合现在进入的市场:利润看起来不错,但已经被老品牌和高投入打法占住了,新品牌并没有真正冒出来。 目前样本里可确认的盈利产品占83.33%,但新上架产品里只有66.67%盈利,且能看到的成功几乎全部来自老品牌Jili,说明这不是“新手友好”的机会,而是“老玩家靠品牌和产品差异吃利润”的市场。
All products profit ratio distribution, including all products. For products with insufficient sales or missing profit ratio data, they will be categorized into other rows. This distribution included products that cannot determine the release date.
This are the profit ratios of all new products. There are products without sufficient sales, no more than 100pcs in 3 months, or no profit ratio data, or just released. Those will be considered as 'other'
Most profitable products ranked by profit value. Only includes products with positive profitability and active sales, regardless of release date.
![]() | B0DD56Q622 | Jili | 2024-10-16 | Yes | $49.0 | 100pcs | $4900.0 | 38.49% | $1886.01 |
![]() | B0DDCNY3C5 | Jili | 2024-12-20 | Yes | $49.0 | 100pcs | $4900.0 | 38.49% | $1886.01 |
![]() | B0FX3FGD45 | Jili | 2025-10-20 | Yes | $49.0 | 100pcs | $4900.0 | 36.42% | $1784.58 |
![]() | B0FX3FP6RL | Jili | 2025-10-20 | Yes | $49.0 | 100pcs | $4900.0 | 36.41% | $1784.09 |
![]() | B0F9NWKRQ5 | Phydge | 2025-05-23 | Yes | $45.0 | 50pcs | $2250.0 | 33.31% | $749.48 |
Most profitable new products ranked by profit value. Only includes newly released products with positive profitability and active sales.
![]() | B0FX3FGD45 | Jili | 2025-10-20 | Yes | $49.0 | 100pcs | $4900.0 | 36.42% | $1784.58 |
![]() | B0FX3FP6RL | Jili | 2025-10-20 | Yes | $49.0 | 100pcs | $4900.0 | 36.41% | $1784.09 |
这个市场不值得进入,结论很明确:被老品牌主导,真正能复制的新品成功样本几乎都来自已建立品牌,新品牌的生存空间很窄。 目前样本里新品整体利润率看起来不差,但成功几乎集中在 Jili 这类老品牌手里;唯一的新品牌失败样本是 Phydge,说明新人不是没机会,而是很容易被挤出局。
What is the ratio of profitable products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all profitable new products
What is the ratio of different brands owning all nonprofitable new products
这个市场不值得进入。 近一年新增产品几乎只有老品牌在试水:2025年只看到 Jili 的2个新品都赚钱,而 2026年出现的 Phydge 新品直接亏损;市场不是在扩张,而是已经卡在少量老品牌内循环,说明后续新玩家会更难。
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Y-axis is product counts. X-axis is time period. For each time period, there are 2 column, each column is a released type of a product. Columns are in following orders: New product, New product on old listing
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Header is the profit ratios and first column is different time period. Each cells includes how many products are relased at the specific timerange and has a corresponding profit ratios. Only profitable and with active sales (more than 100 pcs in 3 months) will be considered. Any products without sufficient sold units in 3 months will be marked as 'other'.
| Time/Profit% | x < -10.0% | -10.0% <= x < 0.0% | 0.0% <= x < 10.0% | 10.0% <= x < 20.0% | 20.0% <= x < 30.0% | 30.0% <= x < 40.0% | x >= 40.0% | other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2025/12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2026/5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2026/6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |